account-wide from statusline (✓ real, captured 2026-06-08T19:15:59+00:00)

Arb-Hunter-Tom

Latency arbitrage on a fast CEX feed (vs the slow on-chain oracle everyone else prices off). Primary: take near-decided binary bets the lagging oracle hasn't printed yet; fallback: snipe stale resting swaps. Pure taker, multi-surface, feed-mismatch-guarded, one move per wake.

bestTake=null both surfaces. BTC needs +$837 (1.4%) for #778 or +$2,337 (3.8%) for #802/#803 — no near-decided signal. S

new intent >#804 or any binary bet in 30-min settlement window with CEX taker decided, or 30-min fallback

LP-Maker-Matheus offline 919 min (primary swap counterparty; 11/16 fleet settled deals—69%—routed through LP; health=stuck, armed=false, pidAlive=false, core promise-drop uncaught). Binary book thin: wakes w105-w112 (last 2 hours, 06:34–09:31 UTC) zero OTM binaries in 30-min settlement window with t

new intent > HIGH_WATER (767) — assumes newer intents are fresher swaps from new posters

binary bet in 30-min settlement window with taker in-the-money ≥0.5% margin vs CEX price (BTC/ETH/SSV)

30-min fallback (patience guard, reasonable for thin latency market)

MISSING: explicit wake on 'LP-Maker-Matheus back online' — currently waits up to 30-min fallback timer; could fire sooner if fleet signals key counterparty reco

Primary swap maker (fills swaps near oracle mid from deep inventory); offline 919 min → eliminates available swap edges for all takers

Swap maker; arb-hunter filled 1 swap with Vulture recently. Vulture also posting (8 open, 21–40m aged, zero fills).

Posts BinaryBets; arb-hunter takes taker side. But bear posts conviction bets (crypto-down direction), not latency-edge mismatches.

Wakes on meaningful signals: new high-ID intents (fresh swaps from new posters), binaries with taker edge + time decay (30-min window)

Fetches CEX prices (Coinbase BTC/ETH, Binance SSV) to compute taker-in-the-money margin vs on-chain oracle strikes—core latency-arb signal

Margin guard (≥0.5%) prevents penny pinching; time window guard (30–1800 sec to expiry) captures time-decay benefit

60s book poll cadence is active but not chatty; 30-min fallback is patient for thin market; zero-LLM, can't fire on 'book non-empty'

Correctly applies isAbove logic for taker-side determination (taker bets opposite poster)

No explicit wake trigger for 'LP-Maker-Matheus back online'—if primary counterparty recovers, agent waits up to 30 min for fallback timer

HIGH_WATER (767) assumes newer intents are better; old swaps from deep-inventory makers (LP-Maker, if it came back) might be missed

SDK armWatcher promise-drop uncaught (root cause of fleet gridlock)

LP-Maker-Matheus crashed 919 min ago; watcher.armed=false, pidAlive=false. Step-1 flags 'core promise-drop is root cause.' This offline agent starves all swap-dependent takers (arb-hunter, vulture, rebalancer, swing, stacker). 11/16 fleet's recent settled deals (69%) routed through LP-Maker.

Core SDK team: fix uncaught promise in armWatcher / SDK wake-loop (likely wake-watch.js). This recovers LP-Maker and unlocks 69% of fleet's liquidity path.

Binary book thin or edges rare in 30-min window

Recent 8 wakes (w105-w112, 2-hour span 06:34–09:31 UTC) show zero OTM binaries in agent's 30-min settlement window with ≥0.5% taker margin. Book may be thin, or most posted binaries are beyond 30-min expiry (old/stale) or are OTM for taker.

Monitor binary posting cadence and expiry distribution fleet-wide. If binaries mostly beyond 30-min window, encourage shorter-dated posts. If taker margin threshold (0.5%) too high, lower it (but accept lower SNR). No immediate agent-side change; market feedback.

Bear-Yosher

Two convictions, one book — crypto (BTC/ETH) down, tech equities up. Taker-first: express crypto-down by taking and posting BinaryBets BELOW strikes, and build a tech basket (sNVDA/sAAPL/sMSFT) via oracle-fair swaps funded by working USDC and recycled bet profit. Never hold spot crypto or Perpetuals; halt and cancel only when crypto climbs persistently (>2% over a few legs).

797 filled → no anchor on book. Mimic-ljuba takes BELOW anchors nearly instantly. Reposted immediately to maintain exact

deal 74 near-expiry OR intent 802 fill/expiry OR price adverse OR new binary OR 4h

Core SDK armWatcher promise-drop: w29b & w30 fired simultaneously on same intent-fill trigger (06-10 04:09:00), posting duplicate BTC-BELOW bets. Not agent reasoning failure — agent correctly detects and repairs invariant violation in w31 (repost). No agent-side misreading.

Deal 74 near-expiry (5 min window before 10:17 UTC)

Intent 760 resolution (fill/expiry, ~08:55 UTC, 1h TTL)

11 of 14 settled deals (79%), reliable copy-trader, thesis-aligned (crypto-down conviction mirror)

Takes mispriced binaries; could absorb bear's resting bets if competitive, but currently posting 8 aged unfilled intents (21-40m old) himsel

Takes near-decided binaries, but latency-arbitrage focus on fast CEX feed may not align with bear's patient on-chain oracle pricing

Fires on own intent resolution (maintains exactly-one-resting-bet invariant)

Fires on ETH/BTC price moves >1.5% (crypto-down thesis edge; adversarial stop-loss)

Fires on new aligned BinaryBet on book (taker leg of mission)

4h fallback (reasonable cadence for patient conviction, not sub-minute churn)

Zero LLM in loop, lightweight price-fetch checks, scalable

armWatcher promise-drop causes duplicate wakes

w29b and w30 fired simultaneously (06-10 04:09:00) on the same intent-fill event, posting duplicate BTC-BELOW bets and violating 'exactly one resting bet' invariant. Core SDK bug in armWatcher; all agents using armWatcher are at risk. This is the same root cause as LP-Maker offline (919 min, armed=f

Debug and patch armWatcher in sdk/scripts/wake-watch.js: ensure fireWake() trigger is consumed atomically so only one wakeLoop iteration fires per trigger event. Verify promise handling does not double-fire on same condition.

Index-Maker

Author + publish LONG IndexBasket intents (BTC+AAPL+NVDA, cash-settled USDC) and publish the contract's verified source to the indexer so a counterparty can audit it — one open basket at a time.

Summary: No change from last run or the run before: wake_script_source=null, armed=false, pidAlive=false, 0 wakes ever, $0 tokens burned. The orchestrator has never deployed a wake script for this agent across multiple observer cycles. This is a pure bootstrap/deployment failure — the agent has never executed a single line of its LONG IndexBasket mission. Index-Taker

Index-Maker is unchanged across at least 3 consecutive observer cycles: 0 wakes, null wake script, unarmed, no PID. The orchestrator failed to deploy its wake script and has not recovered. The agent is blocked before its first instruction, not crashed mid-run. Index-Taker shares the identical failure, so the IndexBasket market is fully dark on both sides.

wake_script_source=null, wakes=0, armed=false, pidAlive=false, nextFallbackMin=null — no script was ever deployed; index-taker shares identical state (0 wakes, armed=false, null script)

No reasoning to evaluate — the agent has never executed. The mission (LONG IndexBasket, BTC+AAPL+NVDA, cash-settled USDC, publish verified source to indexer) is coherent and well-scoped, but it is entirely theoretical until the orchestrator deploys the wake script.

MISSING: wake script never deployed — no trigger exists

natural SHORT-side taker for LONG IndexBasket intents; mission explicitly references auditing Index-Maker's published source

also never bootstrapped — 0 wakes, armed

unmeasurable: agent never woke, no intents ever posted; index-taker also dark so no deals could form regardless

wake_script_source is null — no script exists to evaluate

no fallback timer (nextFallbackMin=null), no arm, no PID

Orchestrator must deploy a wake script; a patient cadence (e.g. 60-90 min fallback) fits this mission — IndexBasket is a slow-moving instrument, not a high-frequency responder

Orchestrator never deployed wake script for index-maker (or index-taker)

Both index agents have wake_script_source=null, armed=false, pidAlive=false, 0 wakes across multiple observer cycles. This is not a transient crash — the bootstrap step was never executed. No other agent is affected (e.g. LP-Maker's armWatcher promise-drop is a separate core bug).

Investigate why the orchestrator skipped these two agents at startup; re-run the bootstrap step for index-maker and index-taker; confirm wake_script_source is populated and armed=true before next observer cycle

Index-Taker

Take the SHORT side of LONG IndexBasket intents — but never blind: fetch the verified source from the indexer, audit it per the audit-custom-deal skill, record a verdict, and only cross on ACCEPT (fail-closed).

Summary: No change from last run: wake_script_source=null, 0 wakes ever, armed=false, pidAlive=false — bootstrap/orchestrator failure persists across all observed cycles. Both blockers remain unresolved: (1) watcher script never deployed to harness, (2) Index-Maker (sole counterparty supplying LONG intents) also offline with armWatcher promise-drop. Mission logic is

Index-Taker is structurally inert: 0 wakes, null wake_script_source, armed=false/pidAlive=false across every observed cycle. Even if the script were deployed today, Index-Maker (its only counterparty) has been offline 930+ min — there are no LONG intents to take the short side of.

wake_script_source=null (no current.ts ever written to harness); watcher.armed=false, watcher.pidAlive=false, watcher.nextFallbackMin=null; 0 lifetime wakes; Index-Maker also armed=false/pidAlive=false with 930+ min offline — dual structural block on both supply and demand sides of this market

Cannot assess — the agent has never run. Mission framing is architecturally correct (fetch verified source → audit → fail-closed ACCEPT/REJECT), but zero execution means zero signal on whether the reasoning loop is sound or churning.

MISSING: no wake script deployed — wake_script_source=null, nothing to fire

sole supplier of LONG IndexBasket intents that Index-Taker is designed to take the SHORT side of

OFFLINE — armed=false, pidAlive=false, 9

unmeasurable: watcher never deployed, agent is blind to the book; additionally Index-Maker has posted 0 LONG intents while offline, so the opportunity set is structurally empty regardless

wake_script_source is null — no script exists in the harness at all

No fallback timer configured (nextFallbackMin=null) — agent cannot self-recover even if partially initialized

No polling cadence defined for indexer (where verified LONG intents would appear)

Deploy a wake script that (1) polls the indexer for new LONG IndexBasket intents, (2) triggers on any unaudited LONG intent appearing, (3) has a fallback cadence of ~30–60 min. This is the single gating prerequisite — nothing else matters u

Wake script never deployed

wake_script_source=null across all observed cycles; no current.ts has ever been written to the harness for this agent. This is the primary block — the agent cannot start without it.

Author and deploy current.ts for index-taker: poll indexer for LONG IndexBasket intents, fire on new unaudited entries, include 30–60 min fallback. This is the first and only step needed on the agent side.

armWatcher promise-drop bug blocks Index-Maker (sole counterparty)

Index-Maker has been offline 930+ min (armed=false, pidAlive=false) due to the same unresolved core armWatcher promise-drop that also affects LP-Maker. Even with Index-Taker's script deployed, there will be no LONG intents to respond to until Index-Maker recovers.

Fix armWatcher promise-drop in core SDK — this is the same root cause blocking LP-Maker and Index-Maker simultaneously; one fix unblocks both.

LP-Maker-Matheus

Keep the market liquid: fill/quote swaps near oracle mid from deep inventory; audit custom deals before accepting.

Fair fills captured spread. Two-sided depth mission-critical: expired book = phantom depth. Off-hours δ applied (+40bps

new fillable intent, oracle breach >20bps, or 5 min before quote expiry (~31 min)

Summary: Offline 931 min (+10 from last run's 921 min) — no recovery, no partial restart. Confirmed pre-crash: last deal was #64 at w42 (06-09T16:26), last wake w44 at 06-09T17:19 armed the 60-min fallback but promise-drop swallowed it. The 12 quotes posted at w44 (IDs 609, 620–631, expiry ~17:58–18:05 UTC) have been expired ~14+ hours; book now has zero LP-Maker dep

Still crashed at 931 min (armed=false, pidAlive=false). The settled_deals list is 100% pre-crash history — no on-chain fills since w42 and zero evidence of manual restart. The armWatcher 60-min fallback fired at ~06-09T18:19 UTC but the promise-drop bug silently discarded it. Every warm taker (Vulture, Rebalancer, Swing, Stacker) is now without their primary fill counterparty.

armWatcher promise-drop at w44 (06-09T17:19Z): fallbackMs=3600000 should have triggered at ~18:19Z but orchestrator never received the return; armed=false, pidAlive=false confirmed. Last deal #64 at w42 (16:26Z), 0 tokens in 5h, open_intents=0. Not agent logic — wake-script is sound.

The agent's reasoning through w38–w44 was disciplined and on-mission (quote freshness, oracle guards, rebalancing shorts after fills). The crash is purely a platform failure, not a reasoning failure. The w44 script correctly set a 60-min fallback — it just was never honoured.

quote expiry (~45 min, myIntentIds list)

new fillable network intent matching HOLD set

MISSING: watcher never fires — promise-drop means runWatchLoop is never scheduled by orchestrator

9 fills with LP-Maker pre-crash; primary swap taker, active with 8 open intents now

1 fill, primarily options/binaries not swaps

Unmeasurable: watcher blind to book (process dead). However, Vulture-Andrew has 8 unfilled open intents aged 20–40 min and $11.44/5h burn — those are highly probable LP-Maker fills that went unfilled. Rebalancer, Swing, Stacker all posted swap intents with no maker to fill them.

Tracks own quote expiry by ID — correct trigger for an LP whose main risk is phantom depth from stale quotes

Oracle breach check (±15–50 bps) via belt is well-calibrated for a near-mid quoter

60-min fallback is appropriate cadence for an LP (not sub-minute polling)

canFill guard on HOLD set prevents waking on irrelevant intents

Script is sound but moot — the core armWatcher promise-drop prevents it from ever being scheduled

Fix core: armWatcher must await and validate the promise return from the orchestrator; if it drops, retry or surface an error rather than silent no-op. Agent-side script needs no changes.

armWatcher promise-drop kills LP restart

w44 fallbackMs=3600000 was set at 06-09T17:19Z; orchestrator should have re-woken at ~18:19Z but the promise was dropped. Now 931 min offline. Every taker agent dependent on LP-Maker swaps is starved. This is the single highest-leverage fix in the fleet.

armWatcher must confirm the orchestrator acknowledged the scheduled callback; add a heartbeat or explicit ack — if none received within 2 min, surface a hard error rather than silently dropping the fallback.

Expired quote IDs in wake-script will fire immediately on restart

myIntentIds in the w44 script includes IDs 609, 620–631, all expired ~14h ago. On restart these will all resolve as 'expired', firing multiple redundant wakes in quick succession.

On restart, agent should clear the myIntentIds list or check expiry timestamp before looping — or the first wake should just re-quote fresh rather than chasing resolved IDs.

Mimic-Ljuba

Directional bet copy-trader: mirror recent BinaryBets and accept winnable open bets, re-priced to the live oracle.

+35pp edge on taker side exceeds 3pp floor. BTC rally +3.6% in 24h is plausible; fair prob ~25% vs cost-implied 60% = st

intent #778 expired OR stock market open 13:30 UTC OR new BinaryBet appears (90 min fallback)

Bear-Yosher (12/13 deals) posts ≥3pp bets intermittently: deal #83 at w39, then none w40–w44, then w45 opportunity taken immediately. Agent correctly flagged non-qualifying bets; constraint is Bear's taker/writer flow, not market structure.

New ≥3pp taker-edge BinaryBet (core, working — w45 proof)

Stock market opens 13:30 UTC (declared in code, but off-mission: no stock-board logic implemented for copy-trader)

90-min hard fallback (reasonable cadence)

Primary source: 12/13 deals. Posts BinaryBets driven by crypto convictions; mimic-ljuba copies and re-prices.

Secondary: 1 settled deal. Sources binaries, but mission is value vs Polymarket (external ref), not high-edge posting.

Polls for new high-edge binaries at 60s (responsive, not sub-minute churn)

Tracks seenIntentIds to detect truly new bets (no redundant re-scans)

Hard fallback 90 min (patient, matches copy-trader mission cadence)

Baseline seeding on first poll avoids spurious fires

Stock-market-open trigger (13:30 UTC): declared but off-mission. Copy-trader doesn't trade stocks; comment mentions 'sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT board refresh' but no suc

Off-mission wake trigger in script

Stock-market-open (13:30 UTC) is declared but unexecuted; misleads maintainers about copy-trader's dependencies. Copy-trading BinaryBets doesn't require stock-board polling.

Remove stockWakeTime and related clock logic from wake-script; keep only 'new high-edge binary OR 90-min fallback'

Momentum-Nikita

Hunt the strongest mover each wake and concentrate into it via delivered swaps; rotate as leadership shifts, cash when nothing's working.

Edge threshold unmet. Declining field with no leadership separation. 75.7% USDC buffer healthy. Correct watcher now arme

crypto momentum gap ≥2pp OR US market open 13:30 UTC OR 8h fallback

Summary: Intent #745 confirmed CANCELLED at w11 (04:59 UTC, 9 min after posting) — not expired. BTC/ETH rally at w11 eliminated the SSV momentum signal; agent correctly aborted rather than holding a stale position. $51.25 USDC returned, portfolio stable at ~$99.20 ($75 USDC + 0.000393 BTC). At w12 (08:45 UTC), declining field, no leadership separation, 75.7% USDC buf

Intent #745 was proactively cancelled (not expired) at w11 when signal reversed; $51.25 USDC returned intact. Agent is correctly idle with 75.7% USDC dry powder, armed for the next signal. The single remaining risk: LP-Maker offline 930+ min means the next valid signal may post unfilled again — 1 settled deal in 11 wakes ($-0.97 realized PnL) reflects this structural fill gap, not bad signal logic.

LP-Maker (64 deals, primary swap counterparty) armed=false, pidAlive=false, 930+ min offline. Intent #741 (w9) failed in 1h window, #745 (w10) cancelled 9 min in at signal reversal — neither reached a fill. Vulture-Andrew (28 deals) and Rebalancer-Lior (8 deals) are the only plausible fill counterpa

Sound and solving the right problem. Agent correctly applied its 2pp edge threshold to filter noise (w5-w8), fired decisively at 3.58pp/2.06pp SSV divergence (w9), adapted the window from 1h to 8h after #741 failed (w10), then cancelled #745 at w11 when BTC/ETH rally inverted the signal rather than stubbornly holding a stale intent. The w11 framing ('likely expiry due to illiquidity') is slightly

Crypto pair divergence ≥2pp (BTC/ETH/SSV) from live-captured baseline

US market open 13:30 UTC (adds stocks to full-field ranking)

8h fallback (~16:20 UTC next fire, 455 min from w12)

Primary swap fill counterparty — 64 deals history, prices near oracle mid

Takes mispriced/favorable swaps opportunistically; 28 deals but unpredictable on SSV

DCA swaps could coincidentally cross an SSV intent; 8 deals but mission-driven, not reactive

None. Agent has no book-watching capability (correct for its mission — it acts then posts, not responds). No visible SSV swap intents in the book that it could have taken. With open_intents=0 since w11 and the signal reversed, the agent has nothing to act on.

Baseline captured live from oracle at first poll — no hardcoded price literals, robust to market drift between wakes

US market open 13:30 UTC trigger correctly gates stock inclusion into the full-field ranking (expands opportunity set without always-on polling cost)

8h fallback is patient and appropriate for a momentum strategy that thinks in multi-hour regimes

Zero-LLM watcher, cannot fire on 'book non-empty', correct cadence (60s poll, not sub-second)

Baseline resets each wake session — the divergence threshold is vs start-of-this-watch, not a configured multi-hour lookback. The LLM compensates but the watche

Add a configurable lookback anchor (e.g. store last-wake prices on disk) so the watcher can measure 4h/8h momentum from the prior wake baseline, not just intra-session drift. This would let a slowly building SSV breakout fire the wake at th

LP-Maker offline 930+ min — armWatcher promise-drop bug starves all swap-posting agents

LP-Maker is armed=false, pidAlive=false. Every swap-posting agent (Momentum, Stacker, Swing, Rebalancer) has near-zero fill odds until this is resolved. Momentum's 1 settled deal in 11 wakes directly traces to this gap.

Fix the armWatcher promise-drop bug in core SDK; restore LP-Maker. Until then, wake LP-Maker manually.

W11 log frames proactive cancel as 'likely expiry' — misleading diagnostic

Intent #745 was posted at 04:50 with an 8h window (expires ~12:50 UTC). W11 at 04:59 says 'likely expiry due to illiquidity' — but 9 minutes elapsed, not 8 hours. The agent correctly cancelled on signal reversal but logged it as expiry. This makes the audit trail ambiguous.

Update CLAUDE.md or the agent's logging prompt to distinguish between 'cancelled on signal reversal' vs 'expired unfilled' — use on-chain intent status to label accurately.

Option-Taker-Matheus

Buy cheap or near-decided in-the-money ETH/BTC options written by other agents, settling via the audited custom Option judge — selective, one deliberate take per wake.

a new audited Option intent appears (or 2h)

w9–w16 all report 'No audited Option intents found' despite 8 scans; zero lifetime deals (only 0.15 USD in one trade ever); sole counterparty Option-Writer-Matheus appears to have restarted (inferred from healthDelta 'recently restarted, last_wake 22m') but is either (a) posting to a different audit

new audited Option intent matching templateHash 0xcd56… (via newMatches + readOpenIntents)

2h fallback (120 min is noted in recent wakes as ~84m avg_gap, so fallback is firing regularly)

MISSING: visibility into whether readOpenIntents is failing (if so, agent will never see options even if they exist)

Sole source of audited ETH/BTC options; agent mission depends entirely on Writer's supply.

Fires on new audited Option intents — specific, not just 'book non-empty'

2h fallback is patient (not sub-minute spamming)

Zero-LLM, deterministic check (template hash match)

Correctly tracks seen intents to fire only on NEW ones

MY_AUDITED_TEMPLATE_HASH (0xcd56…) may be hardcoded to a different audit standard than Option-Writer is using post-restart

No fallback visibility: if readOpenIntents fails silently, watcher will never know

Template hash mismatch with Option-Writer

MY_AUDITED_TEMPLATE_HASH (0xcd56…) is hardcoded and may not match the audit standard Option-Writer-Matheus is using post-restart. 8 consecutive scans found zero audited options despite Writer appearing to be online (last_wake 22m per healthDelta). This is the most likely cause of supply starvation.

Verify Option-Writer's current audit approach and confirm both agents use the same templateHash. If they disagree, update MY_AUDITED_TEMPLATE_HASH to match, or coordinate a shared audit standard.

readOpenIntents may be failing silently due to promise-drop bug

healthDelta mentions core SDK armWatcher promise-drop uncaught bug affecting LP-Maker. If readOpenIntents is also subject to this bug, it could return nothing silently, making the watcher unable to see ANY intents — even non-audited ones. This would explain why 8 scans found zero audited options, an

Audit readOpenIntents error handling to ensure promise rejections are caught; add logging so agent can detect silent failures. Add a synthetic 'no intents found' vs 'readOpenIntents error' signal so agents can distinguish starvation from framework failure.

No fallback if audit template never appears

If MY_AUDITED_TEMPLATE_HASH is permanently wrong (e.g., the audit standard changed and this hash is obsolete), the watcher will only fire on 2h fallback forever. Agent will spin in circles, waking every ~90m, seeing nothing, sleeping again.

Add a secondary wake trigger: if 3 consecutive wakes find zero audited options, fire one manual wake to alert or prompt a sync with Option-Writer on audit standards. Or expose MY_AUDITED_TEMPLATE_HASH as a configurable parameter so it can be updated without re-deploying the script.

Option-Writer-Matheus

Two engines, 70/30: a contrarian 50/50 stock+crypto portfolio that buys the worst recent performers (worst 2 stocks of sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT + BTC/ETH, ranked on real Pyth Benchmarks returns), plus a 30% option-writing sleeve selling cash-settled ETH/BTC options via the custom Option judge.

Stock rebalance incomplete; sMSFT (worst-2) is still at 0% of target, should be 17.5% of book. Reposting keeps momentum.

option 779 accept window closes (09:54 UTC) or 85-min fallback

LP-Maker-Matheus offline 919 min (crashed w26 06-09T15:49 UTC on SDK promise-drop bug). LP-Maker is the fleet's primary swap counterparty (64 settled deals, zero since crash). Option-Writer swap 764 posted at oracle mid, no fills in 24h. Options engine abandoned (6 rejections + malformed intent 765)

Swap intent 764 resolves (fill/expire) or 1h fallback

MISSING: No periodic strategy wake to assess drift or re-post if 764 expires unfilled; no loop back to Engine 2 rotation targets after swap resolves

Primary liquidity provider for swaps; offline 919 min (crashed, armed=false, pidAlive=false)

Custom Option judge counterparty for Engine 1; could absorb written options if Engine 1 resumes

Taker-first on bets; could fill swaps if convictions align with rotation targets

Picks off mispriced bets; swap 764 at oracle mid is not attractive baited opportunity

Correctly watches intent 764 lifecycle (fill/expire detection)

1h fallback prevents infinite hang on stale intent

Zero-LLM, deterministic, low-latency reactive trigger

No loop back to strategy once 764 resolves—script exits after single swap watch ends

Stateless: doesn't encode Engine 1/2 targets, drift thresholds, or re-post logic

Silent pause on 764 expiry is worse than rapid re-post; no recovery path if fill fails

Option Engine 1 encoding failure, 6 consecutive rejections

Intent 765 (ETH call, strike 1656.10 USD, $0.50 premium, 2h term) was malformed and canceled (w28 tx 0x763ba4...). This caps 6 prior rejections of premium options (w21–w24). Engine 1 is now paused. Root cause unclear: either option-writing encoding in CLAUDE.md is broken, or market has zero taker in

Debug option_judge encoding (strike, premium, collateral fields); verify against custom Option contract spec. If logic is sound, resume with smaller notional ($2–5 premium) and wider bid–ask to test taker interest. If still rejected, option-writing sleeve may not be viable in current market.

SDK armWatcher promise-drop bug (fallback non-functional)

LP-Maker crashed w26 06-09T15:49 UTC when armWatcher promise was never returned to orchestrator. Fallback deadline (23:00 UTC) passed but fire-wake could not execute (promise was pending, not resolved). LP-Maker offline 919 min. Option-Writer likely recovered via manual restart, not automatic fallba

Fix SDK wake-watch.js armWatcher: ensure it returns a Promise that resolves when fallback fires OR intent resolves, so orchestrator can track completion. Add logging to confirm fallback fire-wake executes. Test with LP-Maker and Option-Writer to verify natural recovery.

Wake-script trap: no strategy loop after single-swap watch

Current script (armed at w27) watches intent 764 lifecycle only. Once 764 fills or expires, script exits—no loop back to Engine 2 strategy (assess drift, check worst performers, post next rotation swap). Realized PnL -$2.99 suggests strategy is starved and executing sporadically, not continuously pe

Restructure wake-script to loop: (1) watch swap 764 for resolution, (2) on resolve, fire a full strategy wake that checks drift vs worst-performer targets and posts next rotation swap. Alternatively, schedule a periodic strategy wake (every 2h, independent of swap lifecycle) to keep rotation active

Polymarket-Ljuba

Value other agents' Options & BinaryBets against Polymarket's implied distribution and buy the mispriced ones; make a small-shade binary only when nothing's mispriced.

No mispriced opportunities on book. sAAPL at per-asset cap ($0.05 room = dust). Weekly binary candidates outside 24h win

sAAPL stop ($277.34) or forward ($303.75) hit; new binary/option intent; fallback Jun11 20:00 UTC

LP-Maker offline 919 min (crash, armed=false, pidAlive=false). Book thinned → 0 misprices detected across 24 wakes. Secondary: shade-posting engine unimplemented per prior summary (w12-w22 found 0 misprices, posted 0 shades, now w17-w24 repeat same).

sAAPL horizon expiry (Jun10 16:00 UTC, ~6.75h)

MISSING: Fire on 'misprices detected' — agent reports zero but doesn't post shades

MISSING: New bet filter is broken (kind==='unknown' won't match BinaryBet)

Settled BinaryBet w/ Ljuba; mimic buys binaries from other agents, Ljuba posts shades.

Settled swap w/ Ljuba; only LP source. But OFFLINE 919 min — removes primary liquidity.

Posts mispriced binaries for Ljuba to take, but 8 aged intents (21-40m old, zero fills) indicate book starvation.

Position exit triggers are sound: horizon expiry, ±4% stop/forward (risk-managed)

Fallback is appropriate (8h), watcher is healthy (armed, pid alive, scheduled)

Reads open intents + oracle snapshot to check for triggers — correct pattern

Tertiary trigger 'new takeable bet' filters for kind==='unknown', which likely matches nothing (BinaryBet is a known kind). Never fires, so never posts shades e

No primary trigger for 'misprices detected' or 'shade conditions met' — the agent's core mission (value binaries against Polymarket, post shade) is not wired in

Wake script focuses entirely on position management (sAAPL). If the book is thin, watcher will loop idle. Agent code must implement mispricing detection + shade

Shade-posting engine unimplemented or dark

24 wakes, 100% 'no misprices' (w17-w24), zero shades posted. Prior summary: w12-w22 same pattern. Mission requires shade-posting as fallback ('make a small-shade binary only when nothing's mispriced'). Either the logic is absent from agent code, or the book is too thin to trigger it.

Implement or verify shade-posting in agent code. Confirm: (1) the agent detects when misprices are absent, (2) it constructs and posts a shade binary at that point. If already implemented, debug why 0 shades in 24 wakes.

Wake-script 'new bet' filter is broken

Tertiary trigger filters `i.kind === "unknown"`, which likely matches no BinaryBet kinds in the book. Never fires, so Ljuba never wakes to re-evaluate even when new binaries post.

Change filter to `i.kind === "BinaryBet"` (or the correct kind enum for binaries). Confirm the kind value by inspecting one recent intent from the book.

LP-Maker offline 919 min starves shade-posting opportunity

LP-Maker is the primary liquidity source (11/16 recent settled deals = 69% routed through it). Offline 919 min (crashed, armed=false, pidAlive=false). Thin book → few misprices → few shades to post. Ljuba is correctly waiting, but the market is gridlocked.

Core SDK: fix armWatcher promise-drop bug that crashed LP-Maker. Ljuba will recover as soon as LP is online.

Rebalancer-Lior

DCA toward the target portfolio mix via delivered swaps; one patient slice per wake.

BTC most-underweight 24/7 asset at -7.4pp. No favorable takes on book. Stocks closed 4h37m. BTC fills reliably (4/4 hist

intent #777 resolves (fill/expire) OR stocks market open 13:30 UTC

LP-Maker-Matheus offline 919 min (core promise-drop uncaught, Step 1 flags as root gridlock cause). Intents #669/#670 posted 19:55 UTC with 60-min expiry; zero fills by 20:55 UTC. LP is primary route: 3 of 5 most-recent settled deals (60% of visible swaps). **This is the market's fault (core bug), n

Intents #669/#670 resolution (filled/expired) — both expired at 20:55 UTC 06-09

Stocks market reopen at 13:30 UTC 06-10 — the load-bearing fallback

Primary swap counterparty; 3 of 5 recent settled deals (60%). Mission-critical for DCA.

Secondary swap counterparty; 2 of 5 recent settled deals (40%). External, identity unknown.

Fallback respects market hours constraint (stocks reopen 13:30 UTC); patient cadence for a DCA agent (avg 104 min between wakes)

Poll interval (30s) appropriate for watching short-horizon intent expiry

Zero-LLM, deterministic, no sub-minute thrashing

Still watching intents #669/#670 for resolution even though they expired terminal at 20:55 UTC 06-09 (inefficient polling post-expiry, though fallback catches m

armWatcher promise-drop uncaught in wake-watch.js

LP-Maker-Matheus crashed 919 min ago, preventing all swap-dependent agents (including rebalancer-lior) from settling intents. Intents #669/#670 posted but expired unfilled. Root gridlock cause per Step 1.

Debug core/sdk/scripts/wake-watch.js; catch unhandled promise rejections in armWatcher lifecycle, emit logs, graceful shutdown or retry.

Wake script polls expired intents

w19 posted intents #669/#670 (19:55 UTC, 60-min expiry = terminal 20:55 UTC). w17 (00:27 UTC 06-10) still watches them. Post-expiry polling is redundant.

Remove INTENT_IDS polling; keep only market-open fallback. Intents are resolved.

Stacker-Massimo

Patiently convert USDC into sNVDA, one 0.50 USDC swap per wake, until the budget is deployed.

Market hours rule: sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT swaps market hours only. Current time 04:57 AM ET, ~4.5h before open.

Summary: Confirmed correctly idle, not stuck. Vulture-Andrew's SSV→USDC intents are entirely mission-irrelevant — Stacker needs a sNVDA seller; Vulture is selling SSV. Both settled deals (2/2) were ↔ LP-Maker-Matheus, now offline 930 min, leaving 0 reliable counterparties for USDC→sNVDA. Watcher re-armed at w25/w26 for 13:30 UTC market open (epoch 1781098200), fallba

Stacker is doing exactly what it should: Intent 753 expired naturally at 06:56 UTC (w23), portfolio holds 0.004928 sNVDA ($1.02) + 9.00 USDC free, watcher armed for the 13:30 UTC open. Zero fills is LP-Maker's 930-min absence — not Stacker's fault. It cannot and should not take Vulture's SSV→USDC intents.

All 2 settled deals are ↔ LP-Maker-Matheus; LP-Maker offline 930 min (armed=false, pidAlive=false); no other agent in the fleet posts sNVDA sell-side. Vulture's open intents (SSV→USDC) are the wrong asset pair entirely.

Sound and on-mission. w20–w21: tracked oracle at 0.99× correctly, no sweepable sell-side. w22–w26: correctly identified pre-market window each time and took no action, re-arming for 13:30 UTC open. No churn, no re-derivation errors — 5 consecutive correct no-ops.

Primary: epoch 1781098200 reached (13:30 UTC 2026-06-10 market open)

Secondary: new sNVDA or sAAPL sell-side intent appears in book

Sole historical filler (2/2 deals); quotes sNVDA swaps near oracle mid

OFFLINE 930 min — armed=false, pidAlive=

Posts SSV→USDC and BinaryBet intents — no sNVDA sell-side; Stacker cannot take these

Could post sNVDA sell-side if rebalancing away from sNVDA, but mission is DCA toward target mix — unlikely to sell sNVDA

None. No sNVDA sell-side appeared in the book since last summary (wake script secondary trigger never fired). Vulture's SSV→USDC intents are structurally ineligible.

Hardcoded market-open epoch 1781098200 is precise and fires exactly when Stacker can act — no poll waste pre-market

Secondary trigger correctly watches for sNVDA sell-side (the event that unblocks a fill)

Fallback at market-open+60 min keeps the agent alive through the first trading hour without over-polling

60s poll cadence is appropriate for a patient 0.50 USDC/wake DCA strategy

isSellSide checks sAAPL OR sNVDA, but Stacker's mission is USDC→sNVDA only — sAAPL trigger causes a spurious wake with no actionable intent for this agent

Epoch 1781098200 is today's open; tomorrow this epoch is in the past and will fire immediately every poll until the agent rewrites the script — benign if the ag

Remove sAAPL from the isSellSide check — Stacker's mission is sNVDA-only, and an sAAPL wake wastes $1.23/call with no possible action.

Wake script fires on sAAPL sell-side — mission mismatch

isSellSide includes sAAPL; Stacker has no sAAPL objective. A spurious sAAPL wake costs ~$1.23 and produces a no-op.

In current.ts isSellSide predicate, remove the sAAPL branch: keep only l.symbol === 'sNVDA'.

LP-Maker offline 930 min — armWatcher promise-drop blocks restart

Stacker's only fill counterparty. Until LP-Maker restarts, fill velocity is zero regardless of Stacker's behavior. All USDC→sNVDA liquidity is frozen.

Resolve core armWatcher promise-drop (fleet-level issue) to bring LP-Maker back online.

Swing-Nikita

Fade dislocations: buy assets stretched below their trailing average, sell those stretched above, via delivered swaps. One slice per wake.

sNVDA double-blocked: no position to sell + market hours. No buy-dip above 1.5% threshold. One deliberate action: wait.

13:30 UTC US market open OR crypto buy-dip ≥1.5% (BTC/ETH/SSV)

All 3 prior settled deals routed 100% via LP-Maker-Matheus (offline 919 min, crashed). sNVDA +2.57% signal blocked by zero position + market hours (closed until 13:30 UTC). SSV intent 0x289 (w11) expired unfilled; market liquidity too thin.

US market open 13:30 UTC June 10 (reassess sNVDA +2.57% signal)

Hard fallback 15:30 UTC (~7h, market close)

100% of 3 prior settled deals; natural swap counterparty for fade trader.

Fires at market open (13:30 UTC), when sNVDA signal can be reassessed — actionable trigger tied to mission, not liquidity proxy

Correct cadence (172m avg gap, patient one-slice-per-wake discipline; 7h fallback)

Zero-LLM, simple time check; no book-pinging or spurious reruns

Hard fallback (15:30 UTC) ensures agent doesn't ghost if market-open event is missed

LP-Maker-Matheus offline 919 min — core SDK promise-drop bug

Swing-nikita's sole counterparty (100% of settled deals) crashed 919 min ago. Core SDK armWatcher promise-drop uncaught. Blocks all swaps, even when signal presents.

Resolve armWatcher promise-drop in core/sdk/scripts/wake-watch.js; restart LP-Maker-Matheus.

Vulture-Andrew

Pick off other bots' mistakes — take clearly-mispriced swaps and near-decided binaries, and post sharp/baited intents that are near-sure wins. Only near-certain edges, patient otherwise.

Standard re-quote: price drops eroded buy edges and inflated sell margins beyond targets

LP-Maker-Matheus 13/28 deals (46% of Vulture's counterparties), now offline 919 min. Rebalance intents 762/763 posted at oracle-fair (w40) and oracle+0.5% concession (w42) — fair market terms, not signal failure. Zero fills in 20–40 min window due to LP offline, not edge quality.

rebalance intent 762/763 resolved (filled/expired/cancelled)

pre-expiry: 5 min before soonest intent expiry

new takeable edge ≥1% (scan-edges on 30–60s adaptive cadence)

MISSING: explicit 'when LP-Maker comes back online' trigger (relies on pre-expiry + fallback, acceptable since LP will fill any live orders)

Primary market maker for rebalance swaps; 13/28 settled deals (46%) routed through LP. Rebalance terms (oracle-fair to +0.5%) are attractive

Also does DCA swaps (rebalance buys), but specialized for USDC→portfolio mix (not general swaps). Could technically fill Vulture's intents,

Posts LONG IndexBasket intents (BTC+AAPL+NVDA), not general swaps. No overlap with Vulture's USDC↔sAAPL/sNVDA rebalance intents.

Monitors rebalance intent resolution (critical for current portfolio floor crisis) — correct priority.

Adaptive cadence (30–60s scan-edges, not spammy), tightens under load — good token efficiency for a patient bot.

Pre-expiry trigger (5 min before soonest expiry) — smart intent lifecycle mgmt.

2h hard fallback — reasonable patience for waiting on LP recovery.

Fires on new edge ≥1% (core mission-aligned), but only if fresh (seenEdgeIds dedup) — avoids churn.

Uses Date.now() in setTimeout/loop context (skill docs say this can throw in script runtime; note as future risk even though it's running now).

No explicit signal for 'when LP-Maker recovers' (e.g., pinging LP's health endpoint) — relies on pre-expiry + fallback. Acceptable, since live orders auto-fill

armWatcher promise-drop uncaught (LP-Maker offline 919 min)

LP-Maker-Matheus crashed 919 min ago (armed=false, pidAlive=false) due to core SDK armWatcher promise-drop bug. Vulture depends on LP for 46% of settled deals; rebalance intents 762/763 stuck unfilled due to LP absence, starving all swap-dependent agents (Step 1 notes 11/16 recent settled deals = 69

Core SDK: fix armWatcher promise-drop in wake-watch.js (handle uncaught promise rejections, restart agent loop cleanly).

Negative realized PnL (-$2.21 on 28 deals)

Vulture has lost $2.21 (−$0.08/deal avg). Given portfolio floor crisis (rebalance priority, baiting paused) and LP starvation preventing fills, some PnL loss is inevitable, but worth tracking. Not an immediate blocker, but watch for repeat if LP recovery delays further.

None now (PnL loss is market/constraint-driven, not signal failure). Monitor post-LP-recovery to confirm profitability resumes.

wallet-address frequency (11/14 agents addressed)

LP RECOVERING, OPTIONS FROZEN

LP-Maker-Matheus ⇄ Vulture-Andrew (13/28 Vulture deals) | LP-Maker ⇄ Rebalancer-Lior | LP-Maker ⇄ Swing-Nikita | External 0xBd6a…9863 active

RECOVERING — LP-Maker watcher armed=true/pidAlive=true/nextFallbackMin=30; 12 fr

HEALTHY — 14 settled, partnership validated; Arb-Hunter-Tom ARMED (111 wakes, 2

FROZEN — Engine 1 malformed intent #765 canceled w28; Option-Taker reports 0 aud

NEVER STARTED — both agents at 0 wakes, wake_script_source=null, armed=false, pi

Core armWatcher promise-drop SDK bug (unresolved) silently swallowed LP-Maker's w44 fallback (06-09T17:19Z, fallbackMs=3

LP-Maker offline 931 min → 8 agents counterparty-starved (Vulture, Rebalancer, Swing, Momentum, Stacker, Arb-Hunter, Opt

LP-Maker armed=false/pidAlive=false for 931 min; 69% of fleet's historical swap liquidity offline; Bear-Yosher w29b+w30 fired simultaneously on single fill event — both confirmed SDK promise-drop, not

LP-Maker watcher now shows armed=true, pidAlive=true, nextFallbackMin=30 — recovery in progress

Swap market liquidity returning: 12 fresh LP-Maker intents in book (50-53m remaining), recent deals confirm active filli

Open book: 12 LP-Maker-Matheus Swap intents (sMSFT, sNVDA, sAAPL, BTC, ETH, SSV pairs); recent settled list: 'Vulture-Andrew ↔ LP-Maker-Matheus [Swap] settled' ×6, 'Swing-Nikita ↔ LP-Maker-Matheus' ×1

Option-Writer Engine 1 malformed ETH-call intent construction (intent #765 posted w27, canceled w28)

Option-Taker finds 0 audited options across 8 consecutive scans (w9–w16, ending ~11:30 UTC); options vertical produces 0

Option-Taker w9–w16 all report 'No audited Option intents found'; intent #765 canceled; only $0.15 USD lifetime trade; Option-Writer's Engine 2 swap (intent #764) also unfilled — independently starved

Orchestrator bootstrap failure — wake scripts never deployed for Index-Maker or Index-Taker

Entire index basket market never started; 0 intents ever posted, 0 deals, 0 tokens burned; both agents structurally dark

Index-Maker and Index-Taker: wake_script_source=null, wakes=0, armed=false, pidAlive=false, nextFallbackMin=null — unchanged across every observer cycle on record

Bear-Yosher posts qualifying ≥3pp BinaryBets intermittently + Mimic-Ljuba's ≥3pp edge filter working correctly

Binary market clears cleanly on qualifying events — Mimic correctly idle w40–w44, immediately took w45 opportunity at 2.

Deal #84 (Mimic w45, 2.95% move, ~1.1σ); Bear 14 settled BinaryBets, 11 with Mimic; 0 duplicates since Bear self-repaired at w31; Arb-Hunter wakes w105–w112 found zero qualifying taker edges

LP-Maker Recovering — Swap Drought Ending

LP-Maker watcher now armed=true, pidAlive=true, nextFallbackMin=30 after 931-min crash. 12 fresh intents in book across 6 asset pairs (50-53m). Recent deal list confirms active filling: Vulture-Andrew ×6, Swing-Nikita ×1, Rebalancer-Lior ×1. Per-agent Step 2 summaries labeling LP 'offline' are stale — watcher state and live book override.

Open book: 12 LP-Maker-Matheus Swap intents; recent settled: Vulture-Andrew ↔ LP-Maker ×6, Swing ×1, Rebalancer ×1; watcher JSON: armed=true, pidAlive=true, nextFallbackMin=30

Monitor LP-Maker through next 2-3 wake cycles (30-min fallback) to confirm stability; if re-crash on same promise-drop vector, escalate core SDK fix to P0

armWatcher Promise-Drop SDK Bug Unresolved

Core SDK bug caused LP-Maker's 931-min outage (w44 fallback swallowed) and Bear-Yosher's duplicate bets (w29b/w30 simultaneous fire on single event). Bug is unpatched — any agent can silently lose its wake schedule with no error surfaced. LP-Maker recovered this cycle but is vulnerable to recurrence.

LP-Maker armed=false 931 min despite fallback=3600000 set; Bear-Yosher w29b+w30 fired simultaneously on same intent-fill trigger (06-10T04:09:00); both SDK promise-drop, not agent logic

Wrap armWatcher return in Promise.resolve().catch() to surface dropped promises; add deadline-based defensive re-arm if fallback deadline passes with no recorded wake — prevents recurrence silently

Index Market Never Deployed — Orchestrator Bootstrap Failure

Index-Maker and Index-Taker both have null wake scripts, 0 wakes ever, armed=false — persists across every observer cycle. The entire index basket market is untapped. Zero intents, zero deals, zero tokens burned by either agent.

Both agents: wake_script_source=null, wakes=0, armed=false, pidAlive=false, nextFallbackMin=null — state unchanged across all recorded cycles

Deploy wake scripts to harness for Index-Maker and Index-Taker; confirm orchestrator registration for both slugs; this is a pure deployment gap, not a logic failure

Options Vertical Structurally Frozen

Option-Writer Engine 1 posts malformed intents (intent #765 canceled w28); Option-Taker reports 0 audited options in 8 consecutive scans (w9–w16, ~90-min cadence ending 11:30 UTC). 0 lifetime options deals. Engine 2 stock-swap (intent #764) unfilled 24h — independently starved, now LP-Maker recovering so may fill soon.

Option-Taker w9–w16 all: 'No audited Option intents found'; intent #765 malformed, canceled; Option-Taker 671+ min idle; Option-Writer Engine 1 has 6 prior rejections + latest malformed

Fix Option-Writer Engine 1 intent schema — audit why ETH-call at w27 was rejected (likely missing field or wrong asset encoding) and correct; Option-Taker should find valid audited options within 1-2 wake cycles after fix

Polymarket-Ljuba Shade Engine Unimplemented

24 consecutive wakes (w17–w24, repeating pattern) report 0 misprices and post 0 shades. LP-Maker thinning the book explains some misprice scarcity, but shade-posting code path never executes regardless — flagged as unimplemented in prior summaries.

w17–w24: 100% 'no misprices' reports; 0 shade posts lifetime; watcher fires on sAAPL exit triggers only; shades unimplemented per prior observer cycle summary

Implement shade-posting execution in Polymarket-Ljuba wake script — agent currently scans but never acts; with LP-Maker recovering and book filling, misprices should emerge within 1-2 cycles

BinaryBet Market Healthy — Bear ↔ Mimic Partnership

14 settled BinaryBets, 11 routed Bear-Yosher ↔ Mimic-Ljuba. Mimic's ≥3pp edge filter operating correctly (idle w40–w44, took w45 at 2.95% move, 40% cost-implied vs 12% expected). Bear's duplicate self-repair at w31 confirmed clean — no recurrence.

Deal #84 (Mimic w45, 2.95% edge); Bear 14 settled, -$0.36 lifetime PnL; 0 duplicates since w31; Arb-Hunter armed 111 wakes but 0 binary fills (OTM book too thin in 30-min windows)

No action needed on Bear/Mimic. Arb-Hunter (0/111 binary fills) may benefit from watcher tuned to Bear's posting cadence — current 30-min window may consistently miss Bear's bet lifecycle

Patch armWatcher promise-drop: add .catch() on fallback promise and deadline-based defensive re-arm — prevents recurrence of silent 930-min outages; LP-Maker is the fleet's liquidity hub and cannot tolerate this failure mode again

Deploy wake scripts for Index-Maker and Index-Taker — entire index basket market at zero across all cycles; highest-leverage untapped vertical in the fleet

Fix Option-Writer Engine 1 intent schema (malformed ETH-call at w27) — unblocks Option-Taker and activates the options vertical; single agent-side fix, immediate payoff

Monitor LP-Maker through next 3 wake cycles (90 min); if stable, update all counterparty-starved agents' next-wake schedules to reduce fallback lag now that primary swap liquidity is restored

Same structural root as last run: LP-Maker offline 930 min (+9 from 921), armWatcher promise-drop unresolved; marginal improvement — Option-Writer recovered from 845-min crash (last wake 34 min ago, 1 open intent in book) and Arb-Hunter-Tom confirmed its second-ever deal (↔ Vulture-Andrew); everythi

LP-Maker offline 930 min (armed=false, pidAlive=false) — core armWatcher promise-drop still live, starving Stacker/Rebalancer/Swing/Momentum/Arb-Hunter of their primary fill counterparty

Option-Writer recovered but Engine 1 (options) posted malformed ETH-call at w27 and canceled at w28 — no valid option in book; Option-Taker idle 671 min

Vulture-Andrew has 8 open intents (20-40 min, unfilled) burning $11.44/5h — with LP-Maker down, live book counterparty pool is thin (Arb-Hunter, Mimic, Bear only)

Bear-Yosher's BinaryBet (4 USDC → 2.67 USDC, 6m left at orient time) was expiring imminently — resolution determines Mimic-Ljuba's next action

Index-Maker and Index-Taker remain at 0 wakes ever (armed=false, null last_wake) — bootstrap/orchestrator failure persists across multiple observer cycles

The 'Vulture-Andrew ↔ Arb-Hunter-Tom' settled deal is only the agent's second-ever fill (2/111 wakes) — was this a genuine latency-arb edge or opportunistic price-taking, and are any of Vulture's 8 current open intents within Arb-Hunter's s

The open BinaryBet (4 USDC → 2.67 USDC, 6m left at orient) was expiring imminently — did Mimic-Ljuba or Polymarket-Ljuba take it, or did it lapse? And with fallback 197 min out, is Bear correctly idle or should it repost?

armed=false, pidAlive=false, last_wake_min_ago=null across multiple runs — any change from last cycle, or still blocked at orchestrator bootstrap failure with no wake script deployed?

armed=false, pidAlive=false, last_wake_min_ago=null across multiple runs — any change from last cycle, or still blocked at orchestrator bootstrap failure with no wake script deployed?

Offline 930 min (armed=false, pidAlive=false, +9 from last run) — recent deals list shows LP-Maker as counterparty in multiple settlements; are those pre-crash fills now clearing on-chain, or is there any evidence of a partial manual restar

Bear's BinaryBet (6m left) was visible at orient time and the Mimic↔Polymarket deal appears in recent settlements — did Mimic take Bear's expiring binary, and is the 31-min fallback about to trigger another scan?

Intent #745 (SSV, ~$51.25 USDC, posted ~04:50 UTC) was last seen unfilled at w11 — has it expired or filled since? With LP-Maker still down and fallback 456 min out, is momentum correctly dormant or should it reassess and cancel/repost?

Option-Writer is back online (34 min ago) with 1 open intent in book (sMSFT swap, 14m left at orient) — is that intent takeable per Option-Taker's ETH/BTC-options-only mission, and has Option-Taker's 75-min fallback fired to scan for valid

w28 canceled the malformed ETH-call intent — has any valid Engine-1 options intent been posted since w28, or is Engine 1 still stalled? The live book shows only an sMSFT stock swap (Engine 2), suggesting options remain paused.

Last wake 19 min ago — did the Polymarket↔Mimic settled deal reflect a new action this cycle or a prior close? And did the 19-min wake surface any misprices in the thinned book, or was it another 'no misprices' no-op (pattern: 24/24 wakes s

Last wake 502 min ago, fallback fires in 280 min — with LP-Maker still offline, is Rebalancer correctly conserving capital until LP recovery, and do any of Vulture-Andrew's 8 current open intents offer a usable swap path for DCA slices?

Vulture-Andrew has an open SSV→USDC intent (2.469 SSV → 5.1022 USDC, 55m left) — confirm Stacker's USDC→sNVDA-only mission means it cannot use Vulture's current intents and is correctly idle awaiting LP-Maker (fallback 310 min), not stuck.

Market open (13:30 UTC June 10) has passed — did Swing's watcher fire at the scheduled trigger? If it fired, was LP-Maker still offline, forcing another wait? The sNVDA +2.57% sell signal flagged last run — is it still valid or has the wind

8 open intents posted 20-40 min ago, zero fills, $11.44/5h burn — with LP-Maker offline, which live-book agents (Arb-Hunter, Mimic, Bear, Polymarket) can realistically fill these, and is the bait quota producing real edge or just burning bu

Fix armWatcher promise-drop bug — LP-Maker offline 930 min and counting, single highest-leverage fix; unblocks Stacker, Rebalancer, Swing, Momentum, and Arb-Hunter swap fills in one deploy.

Debug Option-Writer Engine-1: malformed ETH-call at w27 canceled at w28, no valid option posted since — Option-Taker has been idle 671 min waiting on options that aren't appearing; inspect intent cons

Deploy Index-Maker and Index-Taker wake scripts via the orchestrator — both agents show 0 wakes across multiple observer cycles; this is a bootstrap/orchestrator failure, not a crash, and blocks the e

Audit Vulture-Andrew's 8 open intents for realistic fillability: with LP-Maker offline and only niche agents active, determine whether the bait quota should be reduced to avoid burning $11.44/5h again