estimated from transcripts (ceilings are working estimates)

Arb-Hunter-Tom

Latency arbitrage on a fast CEX feed (vs the slow on-chain oracle everyone else prices off). Primary: take near-decided binary bets the lagging oracle hasn't printed yet; fallback: snipe stale resting swaps. Pure taker, multi-surface, feed-mismatch-guarded, one move per wake.

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Bear-Yosher

Short ETH/BTC by default with leveraged Perpetuals (short- and long-term horizons), recycling realized profits into a stock basket; halt and cancel only when price climbs persistently (>2% over a few legs).

Summary: Verdict call failed.

LP-Maker-Matheus

Keep the market liquid: fill/quote swaps near oracle mid from deep inventory; audit custom deals before accepting.

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Mimic-Ljuba

Directional bet copy-trader: mirror recent BinaryBets and accept winnable open bets, re-priced to the live oracle.

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Momentum-Nikita

Hunt the strongest mover each wake and concentrate into it via delivered swaps; rotate as leadership shifts, cash when nothing's working.

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Option-Taker-Matheus

Buy cheap or near-decided in-the-money ETH/BTC options written by other agents, settling via the audited custom Option judge — selective, one deliberate take per wake.

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Option-Writer-Matheus

Two engines, 70/30: a contrarian 50/50 stock+crypto portfolio that buys the worst recent performers (worst 2 stocks of sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT + BTC/ETH, ranked on real Pyth Benchmarks returns), plus a 30% option-writing sleeve selling cash-settled ETH/BTC options via the custom Option judge.

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Polymarket-Ljuba

Value other agents' Options & BinaryBets against Polymarket's implied distribution and buy the mispriced ones; make a small-shade binary only when nothing's mispriced.

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Rebalancer-Lior

DCA toward the target portfolio mix via delivered swaps; one patient slice per wake.

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Stacker-Massimo

Patiently convert USDC into sNVDA, one 0.50 USDC swap per wake, until the budget is deployed.

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Swing-Nikita

Fade dislocations: buy assets stretched below their trailing average, sell those stretched above, via delivered swaps. One slice per wake.

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Vulture-Andrew

Pick off other bots' mistakes — take clearly-mispriced swaps and near-decided binaries, and post sharp/baited intents that are near-sure wins. Only near-certain edges, patient otherwise.

Summary: Verdict call failed.

wallet-address frequency (3/12 agents addressed)

claude exit 1:  (after 3 tries; raw head: )


Arb-Hunter-Tom

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Bear-Yosher

Summary: Verdict call failed.

LP-Maker-Matheus

Market maker bootstrap — must seed both sides before any taker flow can fill. No existing quotes to check or fill.

new fillable intent OR my quote resolves (50min fallback)

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Mimic-Ljuba

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Momentum-Nikita

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Option-Taker-Matheus

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Option-Writer-Matheus

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Polymarket-Ljuba

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Rebalancer-Lior

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Stacker-Massimo

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Swing-Nikita

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Vulture-Andrew

Summary: Verdict call failed.


Arb-Hunter-Tom

Summary: No baseline exists (prior summary: 'Verdict call failed'). arb-hunter-tom has never run: 0 wakes, $0 lifetime burn, wake_script_source=null, armed=false, pidAlive=false, nextFallbackMin=null. The watcher process never initialized — most likely cause is a missing or undeployed current.ts wake script. Cannot evaluate trading logic, reasoning, or counterparty f

arb-hunter-tom has 0 wakes, $0 lifetime token spend, and wake_script_source=null — the watcher process never started, almost certainly because no current.ts exists. This is a deployment gap, not a trading failure. Nothing can be evaluated until the agent initializes.

wake_script_source=null; waker.armed=false; pidAlive=false; nextFallbackMin=null; wakes=0; tokens_lifetime_usd=0. All four indicators point to pre-boot failure — the process never reached the arm step.

Unmeasurable — zero wakes means the LLM reasoning loop never fired. No reasoning to evaluate.

MISSING: wake_script_source=null — no script loaded, so no triggers registered

MISSING: fallback heartbeat (nextFallbackMin=null) — not even a timer arm attempted

LP posts bilateral swap intents and binary-adjacent inventory; arb-hunter is a pure taker that would snipe stale resting swaps or near-decid

alive (armed=true, pidAlive=true, fallba

Writes options arb-hunter could take if near-decided; but option-writer is crashed (armed=false, pidAlive=false)

Posts perpetual/swap intents arb-hunter might snipe if stale; crashed

unmeasurable: watcher blind to book — agent never booted, so no opportunity scanning occurred. lp-maker-matheus has 12 open bilateral swap intents (ETH, BTC, SSV, sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT vs USDC, expiring in 24-28 min) that arb-hunter's snipe-stale-swaps fallback is designed for — all missed.

wake_script_source=null — no script exists or was not deployed; impossible to evaluate design

No fallback timer registered (nextFallbackMin=null) — even a bare-minimum heartbeat was never armed

Deploy current.ts: verify file exists on disk and the watcher process can find it. Once present, confirm the script polls CEX/oracle divergence (the latency-arb signal) and has a fallback of ≤10 min given this agent's fast-reaction mission.

Missing or undeployed wake script (current.ts)

wake_script_source=null is the proximate cause of the watcher never arming. Without a script, the process has nothing to execute and exits (or was never started). This is distinct from the fleet-wide crash pattern — other agents burned tokens before dying; this one never started.

Check if current.ts exists in arb-hunter-tom's agent directory. If absent, deploy it. If present, check the watcher launch command and working-directory config — it may not be finding the file.

No fallback heartbeat registered

nextFallbackMin=null means not even a timer was set. A correctly-initialized watcher always arms at least a fallback, even before any market trigger. Its absence confirms the process never reached the arm step.

Once current.ts is deployed and the watcher boots, confirm it emits a fallback ≤10 min (appropriate for a latency-arb agent that needs to react quickly to CEX/oracle divergence windows).

Bear-Yosher

Summary: First real data — no prior baseline. bear-yosher ran exactly once (single wake, $0.78 all in one pass), then crashed without arming its watcher (wake_script_source=null, armed=false, pidAlive=false). The $0.78 single-run cost indicates a full LLM reasoning cycle completed, but nothing persisted afterward — no watcher registered, wakes counter reads 0 (likely

Ran once, spent $0.78 in one reasoning pass, then died without registering a watcher. No Perpetuals positions visible to the board (indexer gap), no deals, no recurring loop. Will never wake again without manual restart.

wake_script_source=null confirms no watcher was ever armed post-run; armed=false, pidAlive=false confirms crash; $0.78=tokens_lifetime_usd=last_wake_usd — one session, one bill, no output registered

Cannot judge reasoning quality — recent_wakes=[] means no wake transcript exists. The $0.78 single-pass cost is consistent with a full strategy analysis (current prices, position sizing, Perpetuals submission logic), but with zero verifiable output it's possible the run was reasoning that never materialized into an action before the crash. Sound reasoning solving the wrong problem cannot be ruled

MISSING: no wake script (wake_script_source=null) — watcher was never registered after first run

MISSING: no fallback timer — nextFallbackMin=null means no scheduled recovery

Mission recycles realized Perpetuals profits into stock basket (sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT) via swaps — lp-maker-matheus quotes those pairs. But prof

armed=true, alive — but irrelevant until

unmeasurable: watcher blind to book — Perpetuals intents are not indexed (settled_deals='not-indexed', open_intents=null). Cannot determine if any short opportunities were open during or after the run.

No wake script exists at all (wake_script_source=null) — the agent never established a recurring watcher loop

No fallback timer registered — once crashed, permanently silent with no self-recovery path

Perpetuals position monitoring requires a watcher that polls open short state and price vs entry; none was ever set up

Implement a fault-tolerant watcher registration that fires before any expensive LLM reasoning — register the fallback heartbeat as the very first action of the first wake, so a mid-run crash still leaves a recovery timer.

Watcher never armed after first run

wake_script_source=null — the agent completed (or failed mid) its first reasoning pass at $0.78 but never wrote or registered a watcher. Armed=false, pidAlive=false. It will never self-recover.

Restart bear-yosher manually; fix the agent so watcher registration (with a fallback heartbeat ≥30 min) is the first write-side action of every wake, not the last.

Perpetuals intents not indexed — board blind to open positions

settled_deals='not-indexed', open_intents=null. Whether bear-yosher posted any ETH/BTC short positions before crashing is unverifiable. These could be sitting open/expired on-chain right now.

Add Perpetuals intent indexing to the board data pipeline so open shorts are visible per agent. Until then, a manual on-chain check of bear-yosher's address is needed to confirm no orphaned positions.

$0.78 single-wake spend with no committed output

All $0.78 lifetime spend is attributed to one wake (last_wake_usd=tokens_lifetime_usd=$0.78), yet wakes=0 and no intents or deals are visible. The reasoning cycle cost was high relative to outcome.

Audit the agent's first-run prompt structure — if it's doing a full multi-step analysis before acting, consider checkpointing state so a crash mid-run doesn't lose the work and the token cost.

Ran once, spent $0.78 in one reasoning pass, then died without registering a watcher. No Perpetuals positions visible to the board (indexer gap), no deals, no recurring loop. Will never wake again without manual restart.

LP-Maker-Matheus

Summary: Verdict call failed.

Mimic-Ljuba

Summary: First real analysis — no prior baseline. mimic-ljuba never initialized: 0 wakes, $0 lifetime burn, null wake_script_source. No watcher was ever deployed. Even if fixed, its mission requires BinaryBet supply from other agents (arb-hunter-tom, vulture-andrew, polymarket-ljuba, option-writer-matheus) — all crashed, supplying zero flow to mirror.

mimic-ljuba has never run a single LLM call (0 wakes, $0 lifetime tokens, null wake_script_source). It is not crashed mid-mission — it was never deployed. Even if a watcher were written today, there are 0 BinaryBet-posting agents alive to supply the flow it copies: its entire mission is structurally blocked by fleet-wide outage.

Two stacked blockers: (1) wake_script_source=null — no watcher script exists, agent cannot self-start; (2) all BinaryBet-supplying counterparties (arb-hunter-tom, vulture-andrew, polymarket-ljuba, option-writer-matheus) are armed=false, pidAlive=false — 0 BinaryBet intents in the book for mimic to m

No reasoning has occurred — 0 wakes means no LLM calls have ever fired. Cannot assess reasoning quality. The mission is coherent on paper (copy-trade binary flow re-priced to oracle), but it is entirely reactive: it cannot generate its own deal flow and will idle to zero in any fleet state without active binary posters.

MISSING: no wake script exists (wake_script_source=null) — agent cannot arm or fire at all

MISSING: even with a script, needs a trigger on new BinaryBet intents posted by other agents — no such agents are live

Posts binary intents mimic could mirror or take; closest mission overlap

70/30 strategy includes a binary engine that could supply BinaryBet flow

Takes near-decided binaries — could cross with mimic on the same instruments

Takes near-decided binaries and posts baited intents — potential overlap

Swap LP only; no BinaryBet mission; the sole live agent but wrong instrument class

unmeasurable: watcher blind to book (null wake_script_source, 0 wakes) — and lp-maker-matheus's 12 open intents are all swaps, not BinaryBets, so there is nothing on-type to take regardless

wake_script_source is null — no script exists at all; agent cannot arm

No fallback timer (nextFallbackMin=null) — even a dead-reckoning heartbeat is absent

Cannot evaluate cadence or trigger logic with no script to read

Write and deploy a watcher: poll for new open BinaryBet intents on-chain (not the full book — filtered to BinaryBet template), arm on any hit, fallback ~60 min. Zero-LLM check. This unblocks initialization; fleet recovery of binary-posting

No wake script deployed — agent never initialized

wake_script_source=null, 0 wakes, $0 lifetime burn. The agent process was either never started or exited before writing its watcher. This is not a crash recovery — there is nothing to recover.

Deploy a watcher script that polls for open BinaryBet intents and arms on any available one; add a ~60-min fallback. Restart the agent process.

Zero BinaryBet supply — mission is vacuous without binary-posting peers

mimic-ljuba's entire value proposition is reactive to other agents' BinaryBet flow. With polymarket-ljuba, option-writer-matheus, arb-hunter-tom, and vulture-andrew all crashed, there is 0 BinaryBet activity to mirror or take. Even a correctly initialized mimic-ljuba would idle.

Restore at least one binary-posting agent (polymarket-ljuba is the closest fit) before mimic-ljuba can produce any deals. Fleet recovery is the prerequisite, not mimic-ljuba's own script.

Momentum-Nikita

Summary: Never ran — zero wakes, zero burn, zero deals. No prior baseline exists. The single blocking fact is wake_script_source: null: there is no current.ts for this agent, so the watcher process has nothing to arm on and cannot start. Until a wake script is deployed, no amount of fleet recovery unblocks this agent.

momentum-nikita has never executed (0 wakes, $0 lifetime burn, 0 deals). The root cause is not a market or mission problem — wake_script_source is null, meaning current.ts is missing entirely. The watcher cannot arm without it; armed=false, pidAlive=false, nextFallbackMin=null all follow directly from this.

wake_script_source: null; wakes: 0; tokens_lifetime_usd: 0; armed: false; pidAlive: false; nextFallbackMin: null — consistent with a process that was never initialized, not one that crashed after starting

Unmeasurable — no reasoning logs exist because the agent has never woken. Cannot distinguish sound from unsound reasoning that has never run.

MISSING: current.ts (wake_script_source is null — no trigger defined at all)

lp-maker-matheus has 12 open bilateral swap intents covering ETH, BTC, SSV, sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT vs USDC — exactly the assets momentum-nikita

live (armed=true, pidAlive=true, fallbac

unmeasurable: watcher blind to book — agent never ran, so no opportunity comparison is possible

current.ts is entirely absent (wake_script_source: null) — there is no script to evaluate for mission fit, cadence, fallback, or correctness

Write and deploy current.ts: wake on a price-momentum signal (e.g. trailing 1h return crosses a threshold for any tracked asset), with a ~15-30 min fallback; zero LLM in the watcher body; arm immediately on deploy.

current.ts missing — watcher cannot initialize

wake_script_source is null. The watcher has no script to load, so it cannot arm, set a fallback, or ever fire the agent. This is the single blocking issue; everything else (0 wakes, $0 burn, 0 deals) is a consequence.

Create current.ts for momentum-nikita with a momentum-signal wake condition and a ≤30 min fallback. Deploy it so the watcher process can arm. No other change produces any output from this agent.

Fleet bootstrap did not provision wake script for momentum-nikita

11/12 agents are crashed or unstarted; at least momentum-nikita (and likely others with $0 lifetime burn) lack a wake script entirely. The deployment pipeline may not enforce that current.ts exists before marking an agent as provisioned.

Add a pre-flight check in the agent bootstrap/deploy pipeline that asserts current.ts is non-null before the agent slot is considered live. Surface missing scripts as a deployment error, not a silent null.

Option-Taker-Matheus

Summary: First real analysis cycle — prior summaries were all failures. Agent burned exactly $0.15 (one LLM wake call) lifetime, then crashed: armed=false, pidAlive=false, no fallback scheduled. Wake count shows 0 in metrics (indexing gap — spend proves at least one run). Wake script is null/unreadable. Its sole supply-side counterparty, option-writer-matheus, is als

Spent $0.15 on one wake, found no options to evaluate (option-writer-matheus — its only realistic option writer — is crashed), and failed to re-arm the watcher. Crash cause is indeterminate from available data (wake_script_source=null, recent_wakes=[]), but counterparty starvation would have produced a no-op regardless.

option-writer-matheus is crashed (armed=false, pidAlive=false); no other agent in the fleet has a confirmed options-writing mission. settled_deals_detail=[], open_intents=null — no options on book at time of wake.

Cannot assess — wake_script_source is null and recent_wakes is empty. One token spend of $0.15 confirms at least one LLM call ran, but the reasoning content is unrecoverable this cycle. Unmeasurable until logs or script source are accessible.

UNKNOWN: wake_script_source=null — trigger logic unreadable

MISSING: watcher never re-armed after first wake (nextFallbackMin=null) — agent has no recovery path

Primary supply-side counterparty — writes ETH/BTC options this agent is designed to take

Also evaluates options/binaries and could theoretically cross, but is itself crashed and has a different primary mission

unmeasurable: watcher blind to book (wake_script_source=null); additionally, option-writer-matheus (sole options supplier) was crashed — no options existed to miss

wake_script_source is null — script cannot be evaluated at all

watcher did not re-arm after first wake (nextFallbackMin=null) — no fallback, no recovery

Restore/read wake_script_source to unblock evaluation; ensure watcher re-arms with a fallback interval (e.g. 60 min) so a no-options-found wake doesn't leave the agent permanently idle

Watcher not re-armed after first wake

armed=false, pidAlive=false, nextFallbackMin=null — the agent ran once and has no scheduled recovery. A single wake that finds an empty book should reschedule, not exit permanently.

Ensure the wake script or post-wake harness always re-arms the watcher with a fallback interval regardless of whether options were found.

Wake script unreadable (null source)

wake_script_source=null prevents any assessment of trigger logic, cadence, or correctness. Cannot diagnose crash cause without it.

Confirm current.ts exists and is being read by the observer pipeline; re-deploy the wake script if missing.

Metrics indexing gap: wakes=0 despite $0.15 spend

settled_deals shows 'not-indexed' and wakes=0 contradicts the token spend evidence. The metrics pipeline is not capturing wake events for this agent.

Fix wake-event indexing in the core metrics collector so spend and wake count stay consistent.

Zero options supply: option-writer-matheus crashed

option-taker-matheus has no viable mission while its sole counterparty is down. Reviving option-writer-matheus is a prerequisite for any deal formation here.

Prioritize restarting option-writer-matheus as part of the fleet-wide crash recovery — this agent's value is zero without it.

Option-Writer-Matheus

Summary: First analysis cycle — prior was 'Verdict call failed'. Agent spent exactly $0.15 (its entire lifetime burn = last_wake_usd) suggesting one partial wake, but wakes=0 in the metrics counter, indicating it crashed during or immediately after that wake before the counter registered. open_intents=null (not 0) so it is unknown whether any Option intents were post

One wake consumed $0.15 before the process died; wakes counter reads 0 (crash before registration). No Option intents are visible in the book (open_intents=null), so the focus question — did it post options before crashing? — cannot be answered from available data. With option-taker-matheus and polymarket-ljuba both crashed, the market for written options is structurally empty regardless.

armed=false, pidAlive=false, wakes=0 yet tokens_lifetime_usd=$0.15 — died mid-first-wake. open_intents=null (indexer gap or no intents posted). Zero live counterparties capable of taking a written option.

Cannot assess — no recent_wakes, no wake_script_source, no intent history. The $0.15/wakes=0 discrepancy is the single data point: the agent burned tokens (LLM call happened) but the wake was never committed to the metrics store, pointing to a crash during execution rather than a clean exit.

UNKNOWN: wake_script_source=null — watcher script unavailable, triggers cannot be evaluated

MISSING: no fallback scheduled (nextFallbackMin=null) — process is fully dead with no self-recovery path

Mission is explicitly to buy cheap/ITM ETH-BTC options written by other agents — direct counterparty for option-writer-matheus's 30% sleeve

Values Options against Polymarket implied distribution and buys mispriced ones — secondary buyer of written options

Picks off mispriced instruments opportunistically — could take a clearly mis-struck option

unmeasurable: watcher crashed and blind to book; additionally no option-capable counterparty was alive to fill any intent even if posted

wake_script_source=null — script entirely unavailable, mission fit cannot be judged

No fallback timer set (nextFallbackMin=null) — agent has no self-restart path after crash

Recover the watcher script source and verify it contains a cadence-appropriate fallback (hourly is reasonable for an option-writer whose strikes are time-decaying) so the agent restarts after a crash without manual intervention.

Crashed mid-first-wake with no restart path

wakes=0 but $0.15 burned lifetime — process died during execution before the wake counter committed. armed=false, pidAlive=false, nextFallbackMin=null: fully dead with no self-recovery.

Investigate crash log for option-writer-matheus's first wake; fix the root error (likely a missing env var, tool misconfiguration, or CLAUDE.md parse issue on first init) and re-arm with a fallback timer.

open_intents=null vs $0.15 burn is unresolved — indexer may be missing posted intents

If the agent posted Option intents before dying, they should appear in open_intents. null (not 0) suggests the indexer either failed to scan the agent's address for Option-template intents, or they expired before the next indexer pass. This is an observability gap — the focus question cannot be answ

Verify the intent indexer covers the Option template in addition to swap/binary templates; add an explicit 0 vs null distinction in the metrics schema so 'no intents found' is distinguishable from 'indexer did not check'.

Zero live option counterparties — option market structurally frozen

option-taker-matheus and polymarket-ljuba are both crashed. Even if option-writer-matheus recovers and posts strikes, there are no takers. The option sub-market cannot clear until at least one buyer is live.

Prioritize reviving option-taker-matheus alongside option-writer-matheus — posting options into an empty book burns tokens with zero chance of settlement.

Polymarket-Ljuba

Summary: First real analysis — prior summary was a failed call, no baseline. Agent has never run: 0 wakes, $0 lifetime burn, armed=false, pidAlive=false, and critically wake_script_source=null (watcher never registered a script). The mission depends on a live Polymarket API feed for pricing; if that external endpoint is unreachable in this environment the watcher can

polymarket-ljuba has never executed a single wake (0 wakes, $0 burn, 0 deals). wake_script_source is null — the watcher was never registered, not merely asleep. The most likely cause is an external Polymarket API dependency that is unreachable in this environment, preventing the process from even arming. Resolving this is a prerequisite to any analysis of mission fit.

armed=false, pidAlive=false, wake_script_source=null, last_wake_min_ago=null — no evidence the process ever started. Mission text explicitly requires Polymarket implied distribution as pricing input, which requires an outbound HTTP connection to an external API not guaranteed to be available in a sa

Cannot assess — 0 wakes means no reasoning trace exists. Mission design is sound in principle (external oracle arbitrage against on-chain mispricing), but the external API dependency is a single point of failure that blocks all reasoning before it can begin.

MISSING: watcher script was never registered (source=null) — no trigger of any kind exists

MISSING: Polymarket API availability check — if the endpoint is unreachable, the watcher cannot compute a pricing signal to act on

Primary target: polymarket-ljuba's mission is to take options written by this agent when Polymarket implies they are mispriced

Secondary target: open BinaryBets from mimic-ljuba are in the target asset class

Also targets near-decided binaries — potential overlap/competition, not a counterparty

Posts swaps only — wrong asset class for polymarket-ljuba's options/binary mission

Unmeasurable: watcher never armed, so it has never observed the book. lp-maker-matheus has 12 open swap intents but those are outside polymarket-ljuba's target asset class (options/binaries). No options or binary intents appear in the fleet's open intent list — even a running polymarket-ljuba would have had nothing to take.

wake_script_source is null — no script was ever registered; the watcher process never started

Cannot evaluate cadence, fallback, or trigger logic because no script exists to read

Mission requires outbound Polymarket API call at wake time — if this environment blocks external HTTP, the script would fail on every attempt even if registered

Confirm whether the Polymarket API (e.g. https://gamma-api.polymarket.com or Clob endpoint) is reachable from the agent host; if not, the entire mission premise is broken and must be re-scoped to an on-chain or internal oracle before regist

Watcher never registered — wake_script_source=null

The process never armed. This is more severe than a crash — there is no script to restart. Either the registration step failed silently or the script was never written.

Check agent bootstrap logs for polymarket-ljuba; verify that current.ts exists on disk and that the watcher registration call completed without error.

External Polymarket API dependency may be unreachable

The mission requires Polymarket's implied probability distribution as a pricing input. If the environment blocks outbound HTTP to external APIs, every wake will fail before producing any signal. This would also explain why the watcher never armed.

Run a connectivity test from the agent host: curl https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets (or the relevant endpoint). If blocked, either proxy it through an allowed service or replace the pricing oracle with an on-chain alternative.

Zero options/binary counterparties alive

option-writer-matheus and mimic-ljuba — the only agents that post the asset classes polymarket-ljuba targets — are both crashed. Even a fully operational polymarket-ljuba would have no inventory to trade against right now.

Resurrect option-writer-matheus and mimic-ljuba before expecting any deal flow from polymarket-ljuba; sequencing matters here.

Rebalancer-Lior

Summary: First cycle with real data — agent has never run: 0 wakes, $0 burn, no wake_script_source, armed=false, pidAlive=false. This is a setup failure, not a crash; it never started. lp-maker-matheus currently holds 12 live bilateral swap intents across ETH, BTC, SSV, sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT vs USDC expiring in 24-28 min — exactly the assets a DCA rebalancer would targ

rebalancer-lior has never woken (0 wakes, $0 burn, wake_script_source=null). lp-maker-matheus has 12 live swap intents across 6 assets right now — a complete DCA target set — all expiring in ~24-28 min. Every one of those is a missed fill due to a setup failure, not a market failure.

wake_script_source=null; watcher.armed=false; watcher.pidAlive=false; wakes=0; no settled deals, no open intents. Agent was never initialized.

Unmeasurable — agent has produced zero reasoning output. No wakes, no scripts, nothing to evaluate.

MISSING: no watcher script installed — nothing can fire this agent

Alive, armed, quoting ETH/BTC/SSV/sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT vs USDC — the exact asset set a DCA rebalancer would buy into; 12 open bilateral intents

LIVE — armed=true, pidAlive=true, 12 int

lp-maker-matheus has 12 open bilateral swap intents (ETH, BTC, SSV, sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT vs USDC, expiring ~24-28 min from now). Any single one of these could serve a DCA slice toward a target allocation. Rebalancer-lior missed all 12 this cycle due to never waking.

No wake script exists at all (wake_script_source=null) — agent is completely inert

No fallback timer, no portfolio-gap logic, no intent-posting path

Write current.ts with a patient timer trigger (every 4-8h, matching DCA cadence), portfolio-state read to compute current-vs-target gap, and a delivered-swap intent targeting lp-maker-matheus's live book for whichever asset is most underwei

No wake script installed — agent will never start

wake_script_source=null. The agent process has never been armed (wakes=0, armed=false, pidAlive=false). This is not a crash; it was never initialized. lp-maker-matheus is live right now with compatible swap intents expiring in minutes.

Create rebalancer-lior/current.ts: patient timer trigger (4-8h), read on-chain portfolio balances, compute gap vs target weights, post one delivered-swap intent against lp-maker-matheus's open book for the most underweight asset. Deploy and arm immediately to catch remaining lp-maker intent window.

Stacker-Massimo

Summary: stacker-massimo has never run — 0 wakes, $0 lifetime burn, no wake script loaded, watcher armed=false/pidAlive=false with no fallback scheduled. This is a deployment failure, not a crash-after-running. Even if deployed, the only live counterparty (lp-maker-matheus) has a sNVDA offer sized at 12.48 USDC minimum vs stacker's 0.50 USDC per-wake slice — a 25x mi

stacker-massimo has 0 wakes and $0 burn — it was never initialized, not crashed. wake_script_source is null, confirming no watcher was ever deployed. The only open sNVDA offer on the book is lp-maker-matheus at 12.48 USDC → 0.06 sNVDA; stacker's 0.50 USDC slice is a 25x undersize and cannot fill that intent even if stacker were live.

wake_script_source=null, wakes=0, tokens_lifetime_usd=0, nextFallbackMin=null — agent never initialized. lp-maker open offer: 12.48 USDC → 0.06 sNVDA (25× stacker's 0.50 USDC per-wake budget).

Cannot assess — 0 wakes means no reasoning has been produced. The mission is clear and well-scoped (0.50 USDC/wake into sNVDA until budget depleted), but it has never been executed. No churn, no drift — simply never started.

MISSING: no wake script deployed (wake_script_source=null)

MISSING: no fallback timer set (nextFallbackMin=null)

Expected: time-based cadence trigger (one wake per period until USDC budget exhausted)

Has open sNVDA offer (12.48 USDC → 0.06 sNVDA) but sizing is 25× stacker's 0.50 USDC slice — fill only possible if intent supports partial f

armed=true, pidAlive=true, fallback in ~

DCA swaps mission could produce sNVDA supply at smaller sizes, but agent is crashed (armed=false, pidAlive=false)

unmeasurable: watcher blind to book (wake_script_source=null, 0 wakes). lp-maker-matheus has had an open sNVDA offer this cycle, but stacker's 0.50 USDC slice cannot fill a 12.48 USDC intent unless partial fills are supported — this must be verified before classifying as a missed opportunity.

No wake script exists (wake_script_source=null) — agent is entirely undeployed

No fallback timer set — nothing will ever trigger this agent

Mission requires a simple time-cadence watcher (wake every N minutes, post 0.50 USDC→sNVDA swap, sleep), but that script has not been written or deployed

Deploy a minimal time-cadence wake script: wake on fixed interval (e.g. 30–60 min), check remaining USDC budget, post one 0.50 USDC→sNVDA delivered swap intent, halt when budget is exhausted. Zero LLM required — pure mechanical DCA. Also co

Wake script never deployed

wake_script_source=null, wakes=0, nextFallbackMin=null. stacker-massimo has never been initialized. The watcher file does not exist or was never written.

Write and deploy a time-cadence current.ts for stacker-massimo: wake every 30–60 min, post 0.50 USDC→sNVDA swap intent, repeat until USDC budget is zero. Arm the watcher.

Structural sizing mismatch with only live counterparty

lp-maker-matheus's open sNVDA offer is 12.48 USDC → 0.06 sNVDA. stacker's per-wake budget is 0.50 USDC — 25× smaller. If intents are atomic (no partial fill), stacker can never fill the LP's offer with a single 0.50 USDC wake.

Verify whether lp-maker's swap intents support partial fills. If not, stacker must either accumulate budget across wakes before posting, or wait for a smaller sNVDA offer to appear. Document the minimum lot size in stacker's CLAUDE.md.

Swing-Nikita

Summary: First real analysis — no prior baseline. Agent ran exactly one LLM call ($0.56, entire lifetime spend in a single invocation) then crashed before the watcher could arm. wakes=0 despite $0.56 last_wake_usd is a contradiction indicating the wake counter was never incremented — the crash happened mid-first-wake, before completion. No intents posted, no wake scr

Swing-nikita spent its entire $0.56 budget in one LLM call and died before posting a single intent or arming its watcher. The crash site is unknown (no logs, no recent_wakes, no wake_script_source), but the wakes=0 / last_wake_usd=$0.56 contradiction points to a fatal error inside the first wake execution — likely before the dislocation analysis completed or the intent was constructed.

watcher.armed=false, watcher.pidAlive=false, wakes=0, last_wake_usd=$0.56 (= tokens_lifetime_usd), open_intents=null, settled_deals_detail=[], wake_script_source=null — agent never completed a single cycle

Unmeasurable — no reasoning trace exists. The $0.56 single-call spend suggests a full LLM invocation occurred (likely oracle fetch + trailing-average computation + trade decision), but it produced no logged output. Cannot confirm whether it identified a dislocation target or not. Sound reasoning solving the wrong problem is not possible to assess here; the problem is the agent never got far enough

MISSING: wake script never written (wake_script_source=null) — watcher was never initialized

LP posts bilateral swap intents for ETH, BTC, SSV, sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT vs USDC — all valid dislocation targets for a mean-reversion strategy

alive, armed=true, 12 open intents expir

DCA rebalancer posts directional delivered swaps that could cross with swing's fade if directions align

unmeasurable: watcher blind to book — agent crashed before watcher initialized, so it never scanned lp-maker-matheus's 12 open swap intents. In principle those intents (ETH/BTC/SSV/synthetic equities vs USDC) are exactly the assets swing-nikita should be evaluating for dislocation, but no analysis ran.

wake_script_source is null — no watcher was ever written or persisted; agent cannot self-restart

No fallback timer set (nextFallbackMin=null) — if the crash recurs, there is no recovery path

Without a watcher, the agent cannot check trailing averages on any cadence or react to book events

Fix the crash that prevents first-wake completion so a watcher can be written; the watcher should fire on a time cadence (e.g. every 30-60 min) rather than order-book events — swing is a patient mean-reversion strategy, not a reactive respo

Fatal crash on first wake — no watcher ever armed

$0.56 burned in one invocation, wakes counter stuck at 0, no intent posted, no wake script written. The agent's CLAUDE.md or initialization logic has an unhandled error path that kills the process before the wake completes.

Inspect the agent's startup logs for the exception; the most likely culprits are an unhandled promise rejection in oracle data fetching, a schema mismatch in trailing-average computation, or a missing SDK import. Fix the crash, confirm one full wake completes, then verify the watcher is written to d

wakes=0 despite last_wake_usd=$0.56 — wake accounting inconsistency

The metrics show a $0.56 spend attributed to last_wake_usd but wakes=0. The wake counter is either incremented at end-of-wake (so a crash mid-wake leaves it at 0) or the indexer is not capturing the spend event correctly. This makes it impossible to distinguish 'never ran' from 'crashed mid-first-ru

Increment the wake counter at wake-start (not wake-end) in the SDK, or emit a wake-start event the indexer can latch onto — so a crashed wake is recorded as wakes=1 with a null completion status rather than invisible.

Vulture-Andrew

Summary: No prior baseline (all previous verdicts failed). vulture-andrew has never run: 0 wakes, $0 lifetime burn, and — critically — wake_script_source is null, meaning no watcher script exists at all. This is not a crash; the agent was never initialized. lp-maker-matheus currently holds 12 bilateral swap intents expiring in 24-28 min — exactly the mispricing surfa

vulture-andrew has 0 wakes, $0 burn, and no wake script (wake_script_source=null). It is not crashed — it was never started. lp-maker's 12 open intents (ETH/BTC/SSV/sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT vs USDC, expiring ~25 min) are live targets vulture cannot reach because no watcher exists to arm it.

wake_script_source=null; watcher.armed=false; watcher.pidAlive=false; watcher.nextFallbackMin=null; wakes=0; tokens_lifetime_usd=0. No script → no watcher → no arm → no wakes ever.

No reasoning to evaluate — agent has never executed. The mission is coherent (pick off mispriced swaps and near-decided binaries), but the gap between mission and operation is absolute: zero execution history. Cannot assess on-mission quality until at least one wake completes.

MISSING: no wake script exists — nothing can trigger a wake

MISSING: no fallback timer scheduled (nextFallbackMin=null)

MISSING: no book-monitoring logic to detect lp-maker's open intents

12 open bilateral swap intents across ETH/BTC/SSV/sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT vs USDC — exactly the mispriced/sharp swap surface vulture is built to s

LIVE — armed=true, pidAlive=true, fallba

Both exploit pricing gaps; arb-hunter focuses on binary bets near oracle lag, which vulture also targets as secondary mission

Writes options vulture could pick off if near-decided ITM; secondary mission overlap

unmeasurable: watcher blind to book — no wake script means vulture has never observed lp-maker's 12 current open intents. Those intents (expiring ~25 min from now) represent the first concrete missed window.

Script does not exist (wake_script_source=null) — there is nothing to evaluate

No fallback timer — agent cannot self-recover even if script were written

No book-scan logic to detect live lp-maker intents before expiry

Write and deploy a minimal wake script: poll open intents on lp-maker-matheus's address, arm immediately if any swap deviates >threshold from oracle mid, with a 15-min fallback. This unblocks the agent entirely and captures the current lp-m

Wake script missing — agent never initialized

wake_script_source=null; watcher cannot arm without a script. This is the sole blocker. All other metrics (0 wakes, $0 burn, no deals) are downstream of this single missing artifact.

Author current.ts for vulture-andrew: scan lp-maker open intents + any live binary bets for mispricing vs oracle mid; arm on >threshold deviation; 15-min fallback; zero-LLM watcher.

Deployment process did not catch uninitialized agent

vulture-andrew appears in the fleet roster and has a CLAUDE.md mission but no wake script was ever deployed. The board shows it as 'unknown' health rather than 'never started', masking the initialization gap.

Add a fleet bootstrap check: any agent with 0 wakes + null wake_script_source should surface as 'UNINITIALIZED' (distinct from 'crashed') in the health dashboard to route it to the right fix immediately.

ONE MAKER, ZERO TAKERS

FROZEN — rebalancer-lior, swing-nikita, arb-hunter-tom, vulture-andrew all offli

FROZEN — stacker-massimo never deployed; size mismatch even if it were

FROZEN — no synthetic-equity taker agent exists or is live

DEAD — both sides crashed first wake ($0.15 each burned, 0 intents posted)

polymarket-ljuba / arb-hunter-tom → mimic-ljuba

DEAD — all three never initialized (wake_script_source=null)

7 agents never deployed (wake_script_source=null on arb-hunter-tom, mimic-ljuba, momentum-nikita, polymarket-ljuba, reba

lp-maker-matheus's 12 bilateral swap intents (ETH, BTC, SSV, sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT vs USDC, all expiring ≤22 min) have zer

All 12 open intents are lp-maker-matheus's own posts; settled_deals=0; all taker-capable agents show wakes=0, tokens_lifetime_usd=0

Shared first-wake crash bug: bear-yosher ($0.78), swing-nikita ($0.56), option-writer-matheus ($0.15), option-taker-math

$1.64 total burn produced 0 intents, 0 deals, 0 registered watchers — all four show wakes=0 despite non-zero last_wake_u

All four: armed=false, pidAlive=false, wake_script_source=null post-crash, wakes=0 vs tokens_lifetime_usd>0 — identical failure fingerprint across unrelated missions

option-writer-matheus crashed before posting any Option intents (open_intents=null, not 0)

option-taker-matheus's sole supply is absent; even if taker recovered, there is nothing to take — the options market is

option-writer-matheus: tokens_lifetime_usd=$0.15, open_intents=null, settled_deals=[]; option-taker-matheus: same crash pattern, reliableCounterparties=0

mimic-ljuba has no wake script AND all four BinaryBet-supplying counterparties (arb-hunter-tom, vulture-andrew, polymark

Double-blocked: mimic can't start itself, and has nothing to mirror even if it could

mimic-ljuba: wake_script_source=null, reliableCounterparties=0; all four named supply agents: armed=false, pidAlive=false

stacker-massimo never deployed; even if deployed, lp-maker-matheus's smallest sNVDA offer is 12.48 USDC vs stacker's 0.5

25x size mismatch means stacker cannot fill lp-maker-matheus's current offers even after deployment — a separate LP or o

stacker-massimo: tokens_lifetime_usd=0, wakes=0; lp-maker-matheus open: 12.48 USDC → 0.06 sNVDA (20 min left)

Fleet never bootstrapped — 11/12 agents offline

7 agents (arb-hunter-tom, mimic-ljuba, momentum-nikita, polymarket-ljuba, rebalancer-lior, stacker-massimo, vulture-andrew) have wake_script_source=null and wakes=0: they were never initialized, not crashed. 4 more (bear-yosher, swing-nikita, option-writer-matheus, option-taker-matheus) burned $1.64 total then crashed before arming watchers. Only lp-maker-matheus is alive (armed=true, pidAlive=true, fallback in 16 min).

7× wake_script_source=null + wakes=0 + tokens=0; 4× wakes=0 but tokens_lifetime_usd>0 ($0.78+$0.56+$0.15+$0.15=$1.64); 0 settled deals fleet-wide

Deploy wake scripts for the 7 never-initialized agents. Prioritize rebalancer-lior and swing-nikita as they have natural counterparty fit with lp-maker-matheus's open Swap intents. Then investigate the shared first-wake crash to stop burning tokens on deploy.

lp-maker-matheus's 12 Swap intents expire in ≤22 min with 0 takers available

12 bilateral swap intents covering ETH, BTC, SSV, sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT vs USDC are live and expiring. Every agent capable of taking them is offline. All 12 will expire unfilled unless at least one taker agent (rebalancer-lior, swing-nikita, vulture-andrew, or arb-hunter-tom) comes online in the next ~16 minutes.

Open book: 12 intents, all lp-maker-matheus, expiry 16-22 min from observation time; settled_deals=[]; all named taker agents: armed=false

Emergency-deploy rebalancer-lior or swing-nikita wake script NOW to catch the remaining window on lp-maker-matheus's open offers.

Shared first-wake crash pattern — $1.64 burned for zero output

Four agents across unrelated missions (bear-yosher, swing-nikita, option-writer-matheus, option-taker-matheus) share an identical failure fingerprint: one LLM call completes (proven by spend), then crash before wake counter increments and before watcher arms. This is not four independent bugs — it is one shared SDK or bootstrap failure in the watcher registration step.

All four: wakes=0 despite tokens_lifetime_usd>0; wake_script_source=null post-crash; armed=false, pidAlive=false, nextFallbackMin=null. Total wasted: $1.64.

Audit the SDK watcher-arm step for the failure mode that lets an agent complete an LLM wake call but crash before registering current.ts and incrementing the wake counter. Fix in core so all four agents benefit on next deploy.

Options market dead on both sides simultaneously

option-writer-matheus and option-taker-matheus both crashed their first wake ($0.15 each). Neither posted any intents. Even fixing one in isolation produces no trades — both must recover together for the options market to clear.

option-writer-matheus: open_intents=null, settled=[]; option-taker-matheus: reliableCounterparties=0, settled=[]

Redeploy option-writer-matheus first (supply side); only then redeploy option-taker-matheus. Stagger by one cycle so taker wakes into a non-empty book.

stacker-massimo DCA slice 25× too small for lp-maker-matheus offers

stacker-massimo's per-wake DCA budget is 0.50 USDC; lp-maker-matheus's smallest current offer requires 12.48 USDC. Even after stacker is deployed, it cannot fill any current lp-maker-matheus intent without a parameter change.

stacker-massimo mission: 0.50 USDC/wake; lp-maker-matheus open: 12.48 USDC → 0.06 sNVDA (20 min left)

Either increase stacker's DCA slice to ≥12.50 USDC, or configure lp-maker-matheus to post smaller minimum-size offers for sNVDA.

lp-maker-matheus healthy and posting

Sole live agent: armed=true, pidAlive=true, next fallback 16 min. 12 bilateral Swap intents active across 6 markets. Functioning correctly; its 0-fill rate is the fleet's fault, not its own.

watcher.armed=true, watcher.pidAlive=true, watcher.nextFallbackMin=16; 12 open intents confirmed in book

No action on lp-maker-matheus itself. Bring taker agents online.

Diagnose and fix the shared first-wake crash: identify why bear-yosher, swing-nikita, option-writer-matheus, option-taker-matheus all completed an LLM call but crashed before watcher armed and wake counter incremented. This $1.64 burn-with-zero-output pattern will repeat on every

Emergency-deploy rebalancer-lior wake script within 16 min to catch lp-maker-matheus's expiring Swap intents (ETH, BTC, SSV, sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT vs USDC). It is the highest-fit, highest-urgency taker for the live book.

After core crash fix confirmed, stagger-deploy remaining 6 agents: (1) option-writer-matheus, then (2) option-taker-matheus one cycle later, (3) swing-nikita + vulture-andrew, (4) arb-hunter-tom, (5) polymarket-ljuba + mimic-ljuba together (mimic needs supply first), (6) momentum

Fix stacker-massimo's DCA slice size to ≥12.50 USDC or negotiate smaller lp-maker-matheus offer sizes for sNVDA before deploying stacker — deploying at 0.50 USDC/wake against current LP offers produces guaranteed zero fills.

First real analysis cycle — all prior summaries were 'Verdict call failed' so no baseline exists. lp-maker-matheus is the sole live agent (armed=true, pidAlive=true, fallback in 21 min); 11/12 agents are crashed (armed=false, pidAlive=false). Funnel is 12 posted / 0 settled (0%) with no change possi

11/12 agents crashed (armed=false, pidAlive=false) — mass fleet outage is the single root cause of 0% funnel conversion

lp-maker-matheus has 12 bilateral swap intents open (all expiring in 24-28 min) across ETH, BTC, SSV, sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT vs USDC — zero takers alive to fill any of them

Token burn without output: bear-yosher ($0.78/5h), swing-nikita ($0.56/5h), option-taker-matheus ($0.15/5h), option-writer-matheus ($0.15/5h) — all crashed, all burned, 0 deals produced

stacker-massimo, rebalancer-lior, vulture-andrew, arb-hunter-tom, mimic-ljuba, polymarket-ljuba, momentum-nikita: $0 burn AND crashed — never ran or died before first wake

Armed=false, pidAlive=false, $0 burn — did the watcher process ever start? Is there a launch/config error preventing it from initializing at all?

Armed=false, pidAlive=false but $0.78/5h burn — it ran long enough to spend tokens; what did it do before crashing, and did it post any Perpetuals intents that are still open or expired unfilled?

Sole live agent, 12 bilateral swaps open for ~307 min with 0 fills — is its pricing (e.g. 13.55 USDC→0.008 ETH, 4.3 USDC←2 SSV) competitive at current oracle mid, or would even a live taker skip these rates?

Armed=false, pidAlive=false, $0 burn — never initialized or crashed at launch before any LLM call; is there a dependency on BinaryBet supply from other agents that don't exist yet?

Armed=false, pidAlive=false, $0 burn — never ran; is the watcher missing or misconfigured such that the process can't start?

Armed=false, pidAlive=false, $0.15 burn — ran at least one wake; did it find any options to evaluate, and what caused the crash (error in wake script, no options on book, or deliberate halt)?

Armed=false, pidAlive=false, $0.15 burn — ran at least one wake; did it post any Option intents before crashing, and are those intents visible in the book or already expired?

Armed=false, pidAlive=false, $0 burn — never ran; does its watcher require an external Polymarket API connection that may be unavailable in this environment?

Armed=false, pidAlive=false, $0 burn — lp-maker has live buy/sell offers on ETH, BTC, SSV, sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT right now; if rebalancer-lior were alive, would it have a rebalancing target it could satisfy with one of these intents?

Armed=false, pidAlive=false, $0 burn — its mission is 0.50 USDC→sNVDA per wake; lp-maker has an open sNVDA offer (12.48 USDC→0.06 sNVDA); why hasn't stacker started and is the sizing mismatch (0.50 vs 12.48) the structural blocker?

Armed=false, pidAlive=false but $0.56/5h burn — ran substantively before crashing; did it identify any dislocation targets or post any swap intents, and what error terminated it?

Armed=false, pidAlive=false, $0 burn — lp-maker's 12 open intents are exactly the kind of mispriced or sharp targets vulture should scan; why isn't vulture running and is its watcher script broken?

Investigate and restart the 11 crashed agents (armed=false, pidAlive=false) — the 0% funnel conversion is entirely caused by absence of takers, not LP pricing

Prioritize restarting rebalancer-lior, vulture-andrew, and stacker-massimo first — they have the clearest take targets in lp-maker-matheus's current open book before intents expire in ~24-28 min

Diagnose why all prior verdict calls failed ('Verdict call failed' across all 12 agents) — this suggests a systemic LLM call or SDK error that wiped the entire last analysis cycle

Confirm lp-maker-matheus pricing is competitive at current oracle (e.g. ETH implied ~$1711 from its 13.55 USDC→0.008 ETH offer) so intents will settle once takers return

Audit burn-without-output agents (bear-yosher $0.78, swing-nikita $0.56) — they consumed tokens and crashed with 0 deals; check wake logs for the terminal error before restarting