{ "generatedAt": "2026-06-16T15:56:15.048Z", "network": "hoodi", "branch": null, "epoch": { "ms": 1780923458403, "iso": "2026-06-08T12:57:38.403Z", "source": "chain.json:bootstrappedAt", "excludedSessions": 1837 }, "pool": { "ceiling5h": 250000000, "ceiling7d": 2400000000, "used5h": null, "used5hUsd": 10.55, "used7d": null, "used7dUsd": 1173.6, "pct5h": 28.000000000000004, "pct7d": 39, "estPct5h": 6.1, "estPct7d": 77.6, "isReal": true, "source": "real", "capturedAt": "2026-06-08T19:15:59+00:00", "real": { "max20x": { "pct5h": 28.000000000000004, "pct7d": 39, "pctSonnet7d": 64, "sonnetIsReal": true, "reset5h": 1780956000, "reset7d": 1781470800 }, "max5x": null, "capturedAt": "2026-06-08T19:15:59+00:00", "source": "statusline+usage" }, "note": "account-wide from statusline (βœ“ real, captured 2026-06-08T19:15:59+00:00)" }, "subs": { "active": "fallback", "retryPrimaryAt": "2026-06-30T15:06:12.000Z", "primary": { "key": "primary", "label": "$200 Β· Max-20x", "active": false, "used5h": null, "used7d": null, "cap5h": 88000000, "cap7d": 1000000000, "pct5h": 28.000000000000004, "pct7d": 39, "isReal": true, "source": "real", "estPct5h": 0, "estPct7d": 0, "realResets5h": 1780956000, "realResets7d": 1781470800, "sonnetCap5h": 80000000, "sonnetCap7d": 900000000, "sonnetPct5h": 0, "sonnetPct7d": 64, "sonnetIsReal": true, "estSonnetPct7d": 0 }, "fallback": { "key": "fallback", "label": "$100 Β· Max-5x", "active": true, "used5h": 15166209, "used7d": 1863006550, "cap5h": 22000000, "cap7d": 250000000, "pct5h": 68.9, "pct7d": 745.2, "isReal": false, "source": "estimate", "estPct5h": 68.9, "estPct7d": 745.2, "realResets5h": null, "realResets7d": null, "sonnetCap5h": 20000000, "sonnetCap7d": 225000000, "sonnetPct5h": 71.7, "sonnetPct7d": 665.4, "sonnetIsReal": null, "estSonnetPct7d": 665.4 } }, "byModel": { "opus": { "w5": 0, "w7": 0, "tot": 19811 }, "sonnet": { "w5": 14347568, "w7": 1497203223, "tot": 1778309398 }, "haiku": { "w5": 818641, "w7": 365803327, "tot": 441145624 } }, "fleet": { "agentsUp": 12, "lifetimeTokens": 2219474833, "lifetimeUsd": 1411.77, "sessions": 20139, "deals": 212, "openIntents": 29, "totalIntents": 3111 }, "fleetHealth": { "state": "down", "cause": "auth-401", "total": 14, "broken": 11, "counts": { "ok": 0, "idleScheduled": 1, "down": 11, "stuck": 0, "crashed": 0, "warming": 0, "unknown": 2 }, "affected": [ "arb-hunter-tom", "bear-yosher", "lp-maker-matheus", "mimic-ljuba", "momentum-nikita", "option-writer-matheus", "polymarket-ljuba", "rebalancer-lior", "stacker-massimo", "swing-nikita", "vulture-andrew" ], "sample": "Failed to authenticate. API Error: 401 Invalid authentication credentials", "headline": "Fleet down β€” auth/401 (11/14 agents)", "fix": "Re-authenticate the active Claude account (claude login / token refresh), or fail the rotator over to a valid subscription.", "computedBy": "deterministic", "at": "2026-06-16T15:56:15.048Z" }, "oracle": { "USDC": 1, "ETH": 1783.19, "BTC": 65903.58, "SSV": 2.34, "AAPL": 298.22, "NVDA": 209.37, "MSFT": 393.31 }, "oracleAt": "2026-06-16T15:55:48.157Z", "usageAnchor": "2026-06-08T12:57:59.463Z", "agents": [ { "slug": "arb-hunter-tom", "name": "Arb-Hunter-Tom", "avatar": "🎯", "color": "#f59e0b", "mission": "Latency arbitrage on a fast CEX feed (vs the slow on-chain oracle everyone else prices off). Primary: take near-decided binary bets the lagging oracle hasn't printed yet; fallback: snipe stale resting swaps. Pure taker, multi-surface, feed-mismatch-guarded, one move per wake.", "address": "0xfd1b076fb32242956e916101d6c774c32f261544", "tokens": { "sessions": 23, "msgs": 536, "total": 27621090, "totalUsd": 15.15, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 27621090, "w7Usd": 15.15, "w7PctPool": 1.2, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 25506875, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1.67, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-06-15T18:37:49.675Z", "tokens": 3112191, "usd": 1.67, "msgs": 47 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 43, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 102.68, "realizedPnl": 2.66, "address": "0xFd1B076Fb32242956e916101D6c774C32f261544", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "stuck", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-arb-hunter-tom-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1781521314389, "containerAgeMin": 1734, "wakes": 362, "firstWakeMs": 1780927992000, "lastWakeMs": 1781569200000, "ageMin": 936, "lastWhy": "No binary within 30-min settlement window. No affordable swap edge β‰₯10bps. SSV taker-sell regime real but lots too large", "repeatWakes": 312, "avgGapMin": 30, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "fallbackFuture": true, "fallbackMs": 1781625570788, "watching": "new intent >3097 with edge β‰₯5bps (either swap direction) OR crypto binary ≀30min to BET SETTLEMENT with CEX taker in-money OR 30-min fallback", "armed": true, "wakeError": "[agent-entrypoint] wake failed: launch-wake exited 1 (not a usage cap) β€” output above", "wakesFailing": true, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": 3 } }, "verdict": { "summary": "Still BROKEN: wakes_failing=true, launch-wake exit 1 confirmed active post-w358 (17:53Z) β€” same fleet-wide platform regression as lp-maker-matheus and rebalancer-lior. KEY NEW DATA: w359 at 18:10Z FILLED deal 204 (mBTC +406bps, stale LP-Maker resting intent posted pre-break) and settled atomically ($1.381 USDC gain), proving the exit-1 strikes in init or pos", "badge": "BROKEN, PARTIAL EXEC", "confidence": "medium", "bottomLine": "launch-wake exit 1 still active (wakes_failing=true) but w359 at 18:10Z landed deal 204 (+406bps mBTC) against a stale LP-Maker resting intent β€” the exit-1 does not block trade execution, only the surrounding launch/cleanup path. Zero reliable counterparties alive (LP-Maker broken 139+ min, Vulture pidAlive=false, Rebalancer wakes_failing); 11 LP-Maker resting intents remain on-chain but will expire without replenishment.", "rootCause": { "class": "infra-down", "evidence": "wakes_failing=true, wake_error='launch-wake exited 1'; fleet-wide regression: same error on lp-maker-matheus (post-w227, 139+ min), rebalancer-lior (wakes_failing=true prior summary). W359 partial execution (deal 204, settled atomically) proves trade logic reaches and completes execution β€” exit-1 is" }, "reasoningRead": "Sound and on-mission through w352–w358: correct WAIT with quantitative justification each time (no qualifying edge, poison-poster #2591 revert avoided, BTC binary structurally untakeable, stale SSV oracle). W359 correctly identified +406bps mBTC stale-anchor and executed. No churn, no off-mission drift.", "wakeTriggers": [ "Swap edge >= 5bps vs CEX (Coinbase ETH/BTC, Binance SSV)", "Binary near expiry (<=30min) with CEX margin >= 0.5%", "HWM gate (HWM=2732) to skip replayed intents", "SKIP_POSTERS filter for 0x8121… poison poster", "MISSING: no explicit drain-trigger for LP-Maker resting intents specifically β€” relies on normal poll cadence to discover remaining 11 pre-break intents" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "lp-maker-matheus", "fit": "yes", "why": "22/25 recent deals; primary ETH/BTC/mBTC swap liquidity source β€” deal 204 was against its pre-break resting mBTC intent", "available": "BROKEN 139+ min (launch-wake exit 1 sinc" }, { "agent": "vulture-andrew", "fit": "maybe", "why": "2 recent deals; posts baited intents arb-hunter can pick off", "available": "pidAlive=false recurring, gap-protect co" }, { "agent": "rebalancer-lior", "fit": "maybe", "why": "1 recent deal (swap); occasionally posts takeable delivered swaps", "available": "wakes_failing=true (platform regression," } ], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "LP-Maker has ~11 resting pre-break intents still on-chain; arb-hunter drained 1 (deal 204, mBTC +406bps) in w359. Remaining 11 may contain further stale-anchor edges β€” but only reachable if the launch-wake exit-1 allows another partial execution wake. W359 proves the trade path still fires; the open question is whether the next wake attempt also reaches execution.", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "Dual-surface: fires on both swap edge (>=5bps CEX-vs-implied) and binary near-expiry (>=0.5% CEX margin) β€” correct for a pure-taker latency-arb mission", "SKIP_POSTERS set with known-poison poster address β€” prevents repeat acceptIntent reverts", "HWM tracking avoids re-scanning exhausted intents", "Case A + Case B swap-edge logic handles both directions (buy-cheap-crypto and sell-crypto-at-stale-high)", "Zero-LLM watcher with armed fallback at 2min β€” correct cadence for an opportunistic taker" ], "lacking": [ "No startup probe to isolate where exit-1 fires (module load? CEX fetch? post-trade wrap?) β€” narrows the platform regression diagnosis" ], "suggestedChange": "Wrap the first CEX fetch in a try/catch with an explicit console.error('CEX probe failed') exit-code stamp, and add a similar post-trade log before process exit β€” lets the team see in the output whether exit-1 is pre-trade (import/init fail" }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "launch-wake exit 1 platform regression β€” β‰₯3 agents broken", "detail": "arb-hunter-tom (post-w358/17:53Z), lp-maker-matheus (post-w227/18:05Z, 139+ min), rebalancer-lior (wakes_failing=true prior summary). All share identical error string. W359's partial fill (deal 204 settled) proves the trade-execution module runs β€” exit-1 is in the shared launch-wake entrypoint wrapp", "fix": "Audit the shared launch-wake entrypoint for a change deployed ~17:50–18:05Z. Check if a claude-code binary update, a shared SDK module import, or an init hook broke around that window. W359 partial execution narrows the break to outside the core acceptSwap call path." }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "Primary counterparty LP-Maker broken; resting-intent pipeline draining", "detail": "22 of 25 recent arb-hunter deals were vs LP-Maker-Matheus. LP-Maker broken 139+ min; ~11 pre-break resting intents remain. Arb-hunter drained 1 in w359 (mBTC +406bps). Without LP-Maker recovery or a new liquid maker, deal flow stops when these expire.", "fix": "Resolving the launch-wake exit-1 regression (same root) restores LP-Maker, which immediately re-supplies arb-hunter's pipeline. No agent-specific change needed." } ], "assessment": "launch-wake exit 1 still active (wakes_failing=true) but w359 at 18:10Z landed deal 204 (+406bps mBTC) against a stale LP-Maker resting intent β€” the exit-1 does not block trade execution, only the surrounding launch/cleanup path. Zero reliable counterparties alive (LP-Maker broken 139+ min, Vulture pidAlive=false, Rebalancer wakes_failing); 11 LP-Maker resting intents remain on-chain but will expire without replenishment.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "bear-yosher", "name": "Bear-Yosher", "avatar": "🐻", "color": "#ef4444", "mission": "Two convictions, one book β€” crypto (BTC/ETH) down, tech equities up. Taker-first: express crypto-down by taking and posting BinaryBets BELOW strikes, and build a tech basket (sNVDA/sAAPL/sMSFT) via oracle-fair swaps funded by working USDC and recycled bet profit. Never hold spot crypto or Perpetuals; halt and cancel only when crypto climbs persistently (>2% over a few legs).", "address": "0x987c2a636bed700dd3b57257881ea077b12c60ee", "tokens": { "sessions": 38, "msgs": 800, "total": 45178849, "totalUsd": 26.68, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 44101736, "w7Usd": 25.9, "w7PctPool": 1.8, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 36707267, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.75, 0.22, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-06-15T18:02:38.096Z", "tokens": 1538052, "usd": 0.98, "msgs": 27 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 22, "openIntents": 1, "balanceUsd": 71.3, "realizedPnl": -23.31, "address": "0x987c2A636bed700dd3b57257881Ea077b12C60EE", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "stuck", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-bear-yosher-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1781519678399, "containerAgeMin": 1762, "wakes": 97, "firstWakeMs": 1780944154000, "lastWakeMs": 1781623320000, "ageMin": 34, "lastWhy": "Exactly-one-resting invariant violated (3080 filled+invalid in 6min). Posted 3093 to maintain bear anchor. Bear thesis v", "repeatWakes": 73, "avgGapMin": 151, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "fallbackFuture": true, "fallbackMs": 1781637624574, "watching": "intent 3093 resolved OR BTC +1.5% ($66,666) OR new aligned BTC binary OR 4h fallback", "armed": true, "wakeError": "[agent-entrypoint] wake failed: launch-wake exited 1 (not a usage cap) β€” output above", "wakesFailing": true, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": 204 } }, "verdict": { "summary": "Prior anchor 2630 (BTC<$65,600) EXPIRED at w66 (15:23Z) β€” not filled; 2727 also expired; w68 (19:00Z) posted current anchor 2799 (BTC<$65,900, 1.41% cushion at BTC $66,845). Deal 159 (BTC bet stack) settled as a LOSS at w67 (betExpiry 17:59Z). wakes_failing=true β€” 'launch-wake exited 1' platform regression confirmed on bear-yosher, consistent with ~18:00Z fl", "badge": "BROKEN β€” PLATFORM REGRESSION", "confidence": "high", "bottomLine": "wakes_failing=true: 'launch-wake exited 1' β€” same platform regression confirmed on β‰₯3 agents since ~18:00Z. Anchor 2630 expired unfilled; current anchor 2799 (BTC<$65,900) is passively resting but unmanaged. Deal 159 settled as a loss. Realized PnL -$18.90. The 239min watcher fallback will fire at ~23:00Z and fail again unless the binary is fixed.", "rootCause": { "class": "infra-down", "evidence": "metrics.wake_error and watcher.wakeError both = 'launch-wake exited 1'; regression onset ~18:00Z matches fleet-wide pattern (arb-hunter-tom post-w358, lp-maker-matheus post-w227/18:05Z); w68 at 19:00Z was last coherent wake, wakes_failing=true thereafter" }, "reasoningRead": "Through w68 reasoning was sound: disciplined cushion maintenance (1.21–1.41%), accurate intent lifecycle tracking (2375 filled β†’ 2454 β†’ 2505 expired β†’ 2630 expired β†’ 2727 expired β†’ 2799), and deal 159 loss correctly recognized at w67. All of this is now moot β€” wakes_failing=true means the agent cannot act on any reasoning until the binary is restored.", "wakeTriggers": [ "intent 2799 resolved (filled or TTL ~20:00Z)", "BTC +1.5% adverse from baseline $66,845 β†’ $67,877", "new aligned BTC binary posted with β‰₯1.5% cushion (isAbove=true, BTC < strike * 0.985)", "4h fallback (~23:00Z, nextFallbackMin=239)", "MISSING: all triggers will fire into broken launch-wake binary until platform regression is fixed" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "mimic-ljuba", "fit": "yes", "why": "3 of 4 detailed recent deals are with Mimic-Ljuba (custom live BTC binary); primary counterparty", "available": "stuck" }, { "agent": "polymarket-ljuba", "fit": "yes", "why": "1 settled deal; actively prices BTC binaries vs Polymarket distribution β€” could fill 2799 if cushion looks mispriced", "available": "ok" }, { "agent": "arb-hunter-tom", "fit": "maybe", "why": "takes near-decided binaries on fast CEX feed; 2799 at 1.41% cushion not yet near-decided but could be approached if BTC dips", "available": "stuck (wakes_failing)" }, { "agent": "vulture-andrew", "fit": "maybe", "why": "46 deals, picks off near-sure-win binaries; 2799 could become attractive if BTC approaches $65,900", "available": "stuck (pidAlive=false cycling)" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 1, "missedOpportunities": "Unmeasurable while wakes_failing β€” agent cannot scan book or respond to new aligned BTC-BELOW binaries. Anchor 2799 is passively resting and fillable by any taker without agent involvement; any takeable aligned binary posted since w68 (19:00Z) would have been missed.", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "Monitors exact anchor intent 2799 on fill OR TTL expiry β€” mission requires immediate re-post on either event", "BTC adverse +1.5% guard from tracked baseline $66,845 β€” directly implements the 'halt if crypto climbs' clause", "Scans for aligned BTC binaries (hash + underlying=BTC + isAbove=true + β‰₯1.5% cushion) β€” enables taker-first posture correctly", "4h fallback with deadline-bounded 60s poll loop β€” appropriate cadence for a patient conviction agent", "isAlignedBTCBet logic is precise and well-guarded (hash check prevents hash-collision false positives)" ], "lacking": [ "No ETH adverse-move guard β€” mission includes 'ETH HALT' posture; an ETH surge while BTC is flat would not trigger a wake", "Fallback at ~23:00Z will fire into a broken launch-wake binary β€” irrelevant until platform regression resolved" ], "suggestedChange": "Fix platform binary first; then add ETH price check in runWatchLoop: if ETH rises >2% from a tracked baseline, fireWake('ETH adverse move β€” reassess halt posture') to fulfill the ETH HALT clause." }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "launch-wake exited 1 β€” fleet-wide platform binary regression", "detail": "wakes_failing=true on bear-yosher (post-w68/~19:00Z), arb-hunter-tom (post-w358/~18:00Z), lp-maker-matheus (post-w227/18:05Z, 139+ min), rebalancer-lior (prior_summary truncated at wakes_failing=true) β€” β‰₯3 confirmed, likely 4. Single platform regression, not per-agent failures. Watcher processes sur", "fix": "Diagnose and restore the launch-wake binary / agent-entrypoint fleet-wide β€” a single platform fix unblocks all affected agents simultaneously. Check for a bad claude-code release or broken PATH since ~18:00Z." }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "ETH adverse-move not guarded in watcher", "detail": "Mission explicitly covers 'ETH HALT' when crypto climbs persistently >2%. Wake script guards only BTC (+1.5%). An ETH surge while BTC is flat would not trigger a re-evaluation wake.", "fix": "Add ETH readPrice check in runWatchLoop with a tracked ETH_BASELINE; fireWake on ETH +2% adverse move, mirroring the BTC guard pattern already in the script." } ], "assessment": "wakes_failing=true: 'launch-wake exited 1' β€” same platform regression confirmed on β‰₯3 agents since ~18:00Z. Anchor 2630 expired unfilled; current anchor 2799 (BTC<$65,900) is passively resting but unmanaged. Deal 159 settled as a loss. Realized PnL -$18.90. The 239min watcher fallback will fire at ~23:00Z and fail again unless the binary is fixed.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "index-maker", "name": "Index-Maker", "avatar": "🧺", "color": "#7c3aed", "mission": "Author + publish LONG IndexBasket intents (BTC+AAPL+NVDA, cash-settled USDC) and publish the contract's verified source to the indexer so a counterparty can audit it β€” one open basket at a time.", "address": null, "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "unknown", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null } }, "verdict": { "summary": "58th consecutive null cycle β€” zero delta across every field since prior summary. armed=false, pidAlive=false, nextFallbackMin=null, wake_script_source=null, 0 lifetime tokens, 0 wakes, 0 settled deals, health='unknown'. This agent has never been initialized in any observed cycle. Decommission-or-deploy decision remains unresolved and is now at least 58 cycle", "badge": "NEVER DEPLOYED", "confidence": "high", "bottomLine": "58th consecutive null cycle with zero change across all fields. index-maker has never executed a single wake, spent a single token, or posted a single intent. It is not broken β€” it was never started. The decommission-or-deploy decision is the only outstanding action.", "rootCause": { "class": "infra-down", "evidence": "armed=false, pidAlive=false, wake_script_source=null, 0 lifetime tokens, 0 wakes β€” agent container/process never initialized across all 58 observed cycles. Not a runtime failure; a deployment gap." }, "reasoningRead": "N/A β€” no wakes, no reasoning observable. Mission (author LONG IndexBasket intents + publish verified contract source) is coherent on paper but has produced zero activity.", "wakeTriggers": [ "MISSING: no wake script deployed (wake_script_source=null)", "MISSING: no fallback timer (nextFallbackMin=null)", "MISSING: no process alive to arm a watcher" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "index-taker", "fit": "yes", "why": "index-taker's sole mission is to take the SHORT side of LONG IndexBasket intents β€” exact structural counterparty to index-maker", "available": "also never deployed (58 consecutive null" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "unmeasurable: agent has never posted an intent; no open intents for any taker to observe. No counterparty pipeline exists.", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": false, "good": [], "lacking": [ "No wake script exists (wake_script_source=null) β€” nothing to evaluate", "No watcher process, no fallback, no trigger of any kind" ], "suggestedChange": "Deploy the agent with a wake script before any script-quality judgment is meaningful." }, "issues": [ { "scope": "agent", "title": "Agent never deployed β€” 58 consecutive null cycles", "detail": "index-maker has armed=false, pidAlive=false, wake_script_source=null, 0 lifetime tokens, 0 wakes across every observed cycle. It has never run. Its counterparty index-taker is in the identical state. The IndexBasket market does not exist because neither side has ever been launched.", "fix": "Make the decommission-or-deploy decision now: either remove both index-maker and index-taker from the roster, or deploy them with their wake scripts and fund their wallets. Continued null cycles cost nothing but consume observer bandwidth and obscure the real fleet status." } ], "assessment": "58th consecutive null cycle with zero change across all fields. index-maker has never executed a single wake, spent a single token, or posted a single intent. It is not broken β€” it was never started. The decommission-or-deploy decision is the only outstanding action.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "index-taker", "name": "Index-Taker", "avatar": "πŸ”Ž", "color": "#0891b2", "mission": "Take the SHORT side of LONG IndexBasket intents β€” but never blind: fetch the verified source from the indexer, audit it per the audit-custom-deal skill, record a verdict, and only cross on ACCEPT (fail-closed).", "address": null, "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "unknown", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null } }, "verdict": { "summary": "58th consecutive null cycle β€” zero delta on any field vs 57th null. armed=false, pidAlive=false, nextFallbackMin=null, wake_script_source=null, 0 lifetime wakes, $0 lifetime tokens, no wake errors. 0x57F8…B0ff sNVDA call confirmed again non-qualifying (Option/Swap template, not IndexBasket) β€” irrelevant to this agent regardless. Decommission-or-deploy decisi", "badge": "NEVER DEPLOYED", "confidence": "high", "bottomLine": "58 consecutive null cycles, 0 wakes, $0 lifetime spend. This agent has never run. wakes_failing=false and wake_error=null confirm it is not crashing β€” it was never started. The decommission-or-deploy decision flagged last cycle remains unresolved.", "rootCause": { "class": "structural", "evidence": "armed=false, pidAlive=false, nextFallbackMin=null, wake_script_source=null across all 58 cycles; 0 lifetime wakes; no error state β€” agent was never deployed" }, "reasoningRead": "N/A β€” no wakes have occurred; no reasoning to evaluate. The mission (audit IndexBasket intents, take SHORT side on ACCEPT) is sound in principle but unmeasurable with 0 executions.", "wakeTriggers": [ "MISSING: no wake script exists (wake_script_source=null)", "MISSING: no watcher armed, no fallback scheduled" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "index-maker", "fit": "yes", "why": "sole natural counterparty β€” posts LONG IndexBasket intents that index-taker is designed to take the SHORT side of", "available": "unknown health, also dormant per fleet r" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "unmeasurable: watcher blind to book (no wake script, never deployed). 0x57F8…B0ff sNVDA call is confirmed non-qualifying (Option/Swap template, not IndexBasket) β€” would not have been a valid target regardless.", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": false, "good": [], "lacking": [ "No wake script exists at all (wake_script_source=null)", "No watcher armed, no fallback, no trigger of any kind" ], "suggestedChange": "Deploy a wake script or make the decommission decision β€” 58 null cycles with index-maker also dormant means the IndexBasket market is entirely frozen; either both agents ship together or neither should occupy a slot." }, "issues": [ { "scope": "agent", "title": "Never deployed β€” decommission-or-deploy decision overdue", "detail": "58 consecutive null cycles, 0 wakes, 0 spend. No wake script, no watcher, no PID. The agent occupies a roster slot and contributes nothing. Its only counterparty (index-maker) is also dormant. The IndexBasket market cannot clear without both sides live simultaneously.", "fix": "Decision required: (a) deploy index-taker alongside index-maker with a coordinated launch so both sides of the market exist at once, or (b) decommission both and remove from roster. Leaving both in limbo consumes attention each cycle for zero signal." } ], "assessment": "58 consecutive null cycles, 0 wakes, $0 lifetime spend. This agent has never run. wakes_failing=false and wake_error=null confirm it is not crashing β€” it was never started. The decommission-or-deploy decision flagged last cycle remains unresolved.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "lp-maker-matheus", "name": "LP-Maker-Matheus", "avatar": "🌊", "color": "#22d3ee", "mission": "Keep the market liquid: fill/quote swaps near oracle mid from deep inventory; audit custom deals before accepting.", "address": "0x32616e5509a1b15c9e54af09e287af69cdc8836c", "tokens": { "sessions": 1005, "msgs": 22188, "total": 1409735880, "totalUsd": 852.52, "w5": 11525443, "w5Usd": 7.6, "w5PctPool": 4.6, "w7": 1189711871, "w7Usd": 724.27, "w7PctPool": 49.6, "w5Son": 10706802, "w7Son": 1025300150, "hourly": [ 7.6, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 8.92, 10.18, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-06-16T15:29:49.937Z", "tokens": 373067, "usd": 0.38, "msgs": 11 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 158, "openIntents": 16, "balanceUsd": 749.24, "realizedPnl": -18.95, "address": "0x32616e5509A1b15C9e54af09e287aF69cDc8836C", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "stuck", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-lp-maker-matheus-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1781607335388, "containerAgeMin": 301, "wakes": 307, "firstWakeMs": 1781018900000, "lastWakeMs": 1781624100000, "ageMin": 21, "lastWhy": "SSV oracle fell 43bps through old bid level; sMSFT oracle fell 59bps leaving bid inside 8bps floor. Both free-option or ", "repeatWakes": 237, "avgGapMin": 33, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": 1781624940828, "watching": "expiry cluster #3065/3067/3068/3071 ~16:07Z or any intent resolved", "armed": false, "wakeError": "[agent-entrypoint] wake failed: launch-wake exited 1 (not a usage cap) β€” output above", "wakesFailing": true, "firingCount": 1, "nextFallbackMin": null } }, "verdict": { "summary": "Still BROKEN with 'launch-wake exited 1'. Prior summary stated broken since w227 (18:05Z) β€” corrected: data now shows wakes w228–w230 did execute through 18:57Z, so the binary failure started AFTER w230 (within the last ~87 min of the ~139-min window). The 12 intents posted at 18:57Z (w230) had a main-cluster expiry of ~19:41Z per wake script; they are almos", "badge": "BOOK DARK – BINARY DOWN", "confidence": "high", "bottomLine": "wakes_failing=true, 'launch-wake exited 1' still active; 12 intents posted at 18:57Z (w230) expired ~19:41Z β€” book dark ~45 min with no refresh possible; PnL -$28.27 (flat vs -$28.37 prior, no fills since expiry); PREFIRE at 19:26Z and 19:55Z fallback both fired and failed silently; next fallback in 53 min will also fail until platform binary fixed.", "rootCause": { "class": "infra-down", "evidence": "'launch-wake exited 1' on every wake attempt after w230 (18:57Z); PREFIRE at 19:26Z and fallback at 19:55Z both already fired and failed; 12 intents posted 18:57Z with main-cluster expiry ~19:41Z now expired; book dark ~45 min; PnL flat at -$28.27 confirms no new fills since expiry; platform regress" }, "reasoningRead": "Sound during functioning wakes (w226–w230): quantitative vol-adjusted deltas, inversion guards, concurrent-session dedup, 12/12 book hygiene. But all that reasoning is moot β€” the binary failure means no reasoning executes. Critically, the prior summary overstated the break duration ('since w227') β€” the agent ran 4 more good wakes after w227, narrowing the actual failure window to post-18:57Z. The ", "wakeTriggers": [ "PREFIRE at 19:26Z (29 min ahead of main cluster expiry ~19:41Z) β€” already fired and failed", "ETH ask guard: oracle >= $1835 (ask #2786 inversion risk)", "New fillable swap intents on book", "Fallback at 19:55Z (58 min from arming) β€” already fired and failed; next fallback in 53 min", "MISSING: no circuit-breaker for consecutive launch-wake failures β€” watcher re-arms each time without detecting the binary is broken" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "arb-hunter-tom", "fit": "yes", "why": "Primary taker, 28/37 (76%) of recent settled swaps β€” but also broken with launch-wake exited 1, so unavailable until binary restored", "available": "BROKEN – launch-wake exited 1, same plat" }, { "agent": "option-writer-matheus", "fit": "yes", "why": "6/37 (16%) recent deals β€” actively takes swap liquidity for portfolio rebalancing", "available": "health=stuck, but was taking swaps recen" }, { "agent": "stacker-massimo", "fit": "yes", "why": "4/37 (11%) recent deals β€” systematic sNVDA/sAAPL/sMSFT taker, exact match for LP's stock quotes", "available": "health=stuck; most reliable non-broken c" }, { "agent": "vulture-andrew", "fit": "maybe", "why": "3/37 (8%) recent deals β€” opportunistic, takes mispriced swaps; pidAlive=false recurring issue", "available": "health=stuck, pidAlive historically unst" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 1, "missedOpportunities": "Unmeasurable since book likely went dark ~19:41Z β€” no live intents to fill. Any taker activity between 19:41Z and now had no LP quotes to hit. Stacker-Massimo and Option-Writer-Matheus are the most likely agents that would have filled but found an empty book.", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "PREFIRE at 19:26Z timed precisely 15 min before main-cluster expiry ~19:41Z β€” prevents book darkness proactively", "ETH ask guard ($1835) fires on oracle inversion risk for the specific live intent (#2786) β€” not generic", "Fill watch via newMatches() on open intents with HOLD-set filter β€” fires only on actionable fills", "Zero-LLM poll loop with 60s interval and proper PID recording", "58-min fallback is appropriate for an LP that must keep quotes live" ], "lacking": [ "No detection of repeated launch-wake failures β€” watcher re-arms indefinitely against a broken binary without escalating or alerting", "PREFIRE at 19:26Z and fallback at 19:55Z already exhausted; watcher now on a bare 53-min fallback with no intent-expiry anchor (intents already expired ~19:41Z)" ], "suggestedChange": "Add a consecutive-failure counter at watcher init: read a failure log or metric, and if launch-wake has failed N consecutive times, emit a PushNotification or write a dead-man flag before re-arming β€” so the platform team gets an alert rathe" }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "launch-wake binary exits 1 fleet-wide", "detail": "'launch-wake exited 1 (not a usage cap)' on every wake attempt after w230 (18:57Z); same error confirmed on arb-hunter-tom post-w358; rebalancer-lior prior summary truncated at wakes_failing=true β€” at least 3 agents affected pointing to one platform regression, not per-agent misconfiguration", "fix": "Identify what changed in the launch-wake entrypoint between ~18:57Z and now (binary update, PATH change, missing dependency) and roll back or patch; once resolved, all three agents will self-recover on next fallback fire" }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "Book dark since ~19:41Z β€” 12 intents expired unrefreshed", "detail": "Main cluster posted at 18:57Z (w230) had expiry ~19:41Z per PREFIRE timing; binary failure prevented the 19:26Z PREFIRE from refreshing them; book has been quote-less ~45 min costing fills from Stacker-Massimo and Option-Writer-Matheus", "fix": "Self-heals on binary fix β€” first successful wake will cancel expired intents and post fresh 12/12. No agent-side config change needed, but the circuit-breaker suggestion above would surface this faster." } ], "assessment": "wakes_failing=true, 'launch-wake exited 1' still active; 12 intents posted at 18:57Z (w230) expired ~19:41Z β€” book dark ~45 min with no refresh possible; PnL -$28.27 (flat vs -$28.37 prior, no fills since expiry); PREFIRE at 19:26Z and 19:55Z fallback both fired and failed silently; next fallback in 53 min will also fail until platform binary fixed.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "mimic-ljuba", "name": "Mimic-Ljuba", "avatar": "πŸͺž", "color": "#8b5cf6", "mission": "Directional bet copy-trader: mirror recent BinaryBets and accept winnable open bets, re-priced to the live oracle.", "address": "0xf47c6ad92e544f23b4e279a88c8090aece6deaea", "tokens": { "sessions": 16, "msgs": 285, "total": 14729525, "totalUsd": 4.4, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 14729525, "w7Usd": 4.4, "w7PctPool": 0.6, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 2830185, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-06-14T13:13:58.034Z", "tokens": 1063420, "usd": 0.77, "msgs": 19 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 21, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 97.58, "realizedPnl": 23.15, "address": "0xF47c6aD92E544F23B4E279A88c8090aece6dEaEA", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "stuck", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-mimic-ljuba-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1781609549781, "containerAgeMin": 264, "wakes": 134, "firstWakeMs": 1780927020000, "lastWakeMs": 1781622900000, "ageMin": 41, "lastWhy": "BTC $981 above strike, takerInMoneyNow=true, 27.8pp edge β€” 9x floor. Taker stake $2.67 (2.7% of $100.24). One deliberate", "repeatWakes": 102, "avgGapMin": 100, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "fallbackFuture": true, "fallbackMs": 1781630421856, "watching": "new BinaryBet intent (crypto 24/7, stocks 13:30–20:00 UTC) or 2h fallback", "armed": true, "wakeError": "[agent-entrypoint] wake failed: launch-wake exited 1 (not a usage cap) β€” output above", "wakesFailing": true, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": 84 } }, "verdict": { "summary": "Prior run confirmed: w113 (17:57Z) sNVDA maker intent #2732 fired on the stock-open trigger; Bear↔Mimic deals #192/#197 were the BTC ITM anchor positions. CHANGED THIS RUN: open_intents=0 β€” intent #2732 is no longer resting (filled or expired); portfolio settled at $86.91 (up from $80.24 post-deal-#197 stake, consistent with deal payouts landing). w114 (23:2", "badge": "BROKEN: BINARY REGRESSION", "confidence": "high", "bottomLine": "wakes_failing=true with 'launch-wake exited 1' β€” the fleet-wide binary regression has claimed mimic-ljuba as a third confirmed instance. Intent #2732 (sNVDA maker, w113/17:57Z) is gone from open_intents; portfolio at $86.91 suggests deals #192/#197 settled. No further action is possible until the binary is fixed, and the 4h fallback coded in the wake script is not registered (nextFallbackMin=null), so there will be no timed re-wake even after recovery.", "rootCause": { "class": "infra-down", "evidence": "launch-wake exited 1 β€” confirmed fleet-wide on arb-hunter-tom (post-w358/~18:00Z), lp-maker-matheus (since w227/18:05Z, 139+ min), and now mimic-ljuba (post-w114/23:20Z, 68+ min); watcher armed+pidAlive=true but binary can't execute" }, "reasoningRead": "Sound through w114: clean hold ('no β‰₯3pp taker edge, zero open intents, zero live deals'), portfolio correctly reported at $86.91. Reasoning is now moot β€” no wake is executing due to binary failure.", "wakeTriggers": [ "new BinaryBet where cost-implied taker prob < 47% (~β‰₯3pp edge heuristic)", "Monday 2026-06-16T13:30:00Z market open (hardcoded)", "4h fallback (coded in armWatcher fallbackMs, but nextFallbackMin=null β€” NOT registered)", "MISSING: deal-settlement event trigger (deals #192/#197 settling should prompt a reassess, but nothing fires on close)" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "bear-yosher", "fit": "yes", "why": "All 3 recent settled deals are Bear↔Mimic (custom live Γ— 2, custom settled Γ— 1); Bear posts BTC/ETH directional binaries that mimic's copy-t", "available": "stuck β€” bear-yosher health=stuck in flee" }, { "agent": "option-writer-matheus", "fit": "maybe", "why": "Writes BinaryBets as part of its 70/30 engine; mimic could be a taker, but no prior deals on record", "available": "stuck" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 1, "missedOpportunities": "unmeasurable: watcher is failing, cannot poll the book; w114 last successful poll showed no β‰₯3pp taker edge on visible board", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "Edge-filtered BinaryBet polling (cost-implied < 47% heuristic) avoids noise and aligns with the β‰₯3pp floor the agent enforces in its reasoning", "Market-open trigger for Monday 13:30Z is mission-appropriate for stock instruments (sNVDA)", "4h fallback coded β€” correct cadence for a patient copy-trader that thinks in hours not minutes" ], "lacking": [ "nextFallbackMin=null: the 4h fallback in armWatcher() did not register β€” the safety-net timed re-wake is absent even if the binary recovers", "No settlement-event trigger: when deals #192/#197 close, the agent has no automatic prompt to reassess the board and repost" ], "suggestedChange": "Investigate why armWatcher(fallbackMs=4h) is not setting nextFallbackMin β€” the fallback registration is the single highest-value fix, as it is the only safety net against a stuck watcher between book events" }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "launch-wake exited 1 β€” fleet-wide binary regression (3rd confirmed instance)", "detail": "wakes_failing=true; same error as arb-hunter-tom (post-w358) and lp-maker-matheus (since w227, 139+ min). Three agents down on identical entrypoint failure = platform regression, not per-agent fault.", "fix": "Fix the claude binary / agent-entrypoint at platform level; this is not mimic-ljuba's CLAUDE.md or wake-script issue" }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "nextFallbackMin=null β€” 4h fallback not registering", "detail": "Wake script calls armWatcher({fallbackMs: 4 * 3600_000}) but watcher reports nextFallbackMin=null. Once binary is fixed, if no new BinaryBet fires the edge filter and the Monday open has passed, the agent has no timed re-wake.", "fix": "Debug armWatcher() registration in wake-watch.js SDK; ensure fallbackMs durably sets nextFallbackMin so the watcher always has a scheduled fire time" } ], "assessment": "wakes_failing=true with 'launch-wake exited 1' β€” the fleet-wide binary regression has claimed mimic-ljuba as a third confirmed instance. Intent #2732 (sNVDA maker, w113/17:57Z) is gone from open_intents; portfolio at $86.91 suggests deals #192/#197 settled. No further action is possible until the binary is fixed, and the 4h fallback coded in the wake script is not registered (nextFallbackMin=null), so there will be no timed re-wake even after recovery.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "momentum-nikita", "name": "Momentum-Nikita", "avatar": "πŸš€", "color": "#f97316", "mission": "Hunt the strongest mover each wake and concentrate into it via delivered swaps; rotate as leadership shifts, cash when nothing's working.", "address": "0x1a7474201f15ba8dc1449bc15e7f8f7c9c6f7a77", "tokens": { "sessions": 6, "msgs": 126, "total": 6240147, "totalUsd": 3.64, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 4637324, "w7Usd": 2.79, "w7PctPool": 0.2, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 3175988, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-06-14T13:04:11.236Z", "tokens": 610717, "usd": 0.79, "msgs": 11 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 9, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 103.52, "realizedPnl": 3.52, "address": "0x1a7474201F15ba8Dc1449bc15E7F8f7C9c6f7A77", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "stuck", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-momentum-nikita-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1781520327192, "containerAgeMin": 1751, "wakes": 50, "firstWakeMs": 1780940859000, "lastWakeMs": 1781622480000, "ageMin": 48, "lastWhy": "sAAPL leads (+0.63%) but gap to sNVDA (-0.25%) is only 0.88pp. Crypto down uniformly 1-3%. No edge to act on.", "repeatWakes": 46, "avgGapMin": 232, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "fallbackFuture": true, "fallbackMs": 1781651482663, "watching": "gap β‰₯2pp (market-hours-aware) | US market open | 8h fallback ~23:08 UTC Jun 16", "armed": true, "wakeError": "Failed to authenticate. API Error: 401 Invalid authentication credentials", "wakesFailing": true, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": 435 } }, "verdict": { "summary": "W49 (14:36Z Jun 15) posted intent #2653 (20 USDCβ†’ETH, implied ~$1,830, 8h TTL). Now 269 min later β€” ~211 min of TTL remain, fallback at 22:36Z (nextFallbackMin=220). The 60s poll watcher is healthy (armed, pidAlive, no errors) and has been actively checking ownIntentResolved(#2653) + gapβ‰₯2pp every minute since W49; neither trigger has fired, confirming the i", "badge": "BID LIVE, WATCHING", "confidence": "high", "bottomLine": "Intent #2653 (20 USDCβ†’ETH at ~$1,830 implied) has ~211 min TTL remaining. The 60s poll has fired ~269 times since W49 with no trigger β€” intent unfilled, no new momentum. Primary cause is counterparty absence (lp-maker-matheus broken 139+ min, arb-hunter-tom broken), not agent fault.", "rootCause": { "class": "counterparty-starved", "evidence": "lp-maker-matheus (hub, 153 deals) broken since w227/18:05Z (139+ min); arb-hunter-tom broken post-w358. Intent #2653 open 269 min with 0 takers. 60s polls confirm it's live but uncrossed." }, "reasoningRead": "Sound and solving the right problem. Dual-confirm (fast 2.89pp, slow 3.51pp at W49) is the strongest signal in weeks per agent's own log. Market-hours-aware universe avoids phantom divergence from stale stock prices after 20:00 UTC. Repriced correctly at W48 when ETH moved $28 against the bid. No churn β€” 45 repeat wakes held discipline until a genuine signal emerged.", "wakeTriggers": [ "intent #2653 resolves (ownIntentResolved check every 60s)", "momentum gap β‰₯2pp leader-vs-next-best in market-hours-aware universe (every 60s)", "8h fallback at ~22:36Z (nextFallbackMin=220)" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "lp-maker-matheus", "fit": "yes", "why": "Primary swap LP, 153 deals, would naturally fill a USDCβ†’ETH bid", "available": "BROKEN β€” launch-wake exited 1, 139+ min " }, { "agent": "arb-hunter-tom", "fit": "yes", "why": "Fast taker, 43 deals, targets oracle-lag swaps", "available": "BROKEN β€” launch-wake exited 1 post-w358" }, { "agent": "vulture-andrew", "fit": "maybe", "why": "Takes mispriced swaps; would need bid to be clearly favorable vs oracle", "available": "SUSPECT β€” recurring pidAlive=false cycle" }, { "agent": "rebalancer-lior", "fit": "maybe", "why": "Could take ETH if it needed to rebalance toward ETH; mission-dependent", "available": "Prior wakes_failing=true per Step-1; lik" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "none β€” agent is the maker here; it cannot take its own intent. No resting ETH-side intents visible in the data that momentum-nikita could have taken. Unmeasurable whether new resting asks appeared and were cancelled (as happened at W47 when 'two were cancelled before I could act').", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "60s poll cadence β€” not sub-minute, not sparse for a bid that can fill any time", "Market-hours-aware universe: crypto-only after 20:00 UTC prevents phantom stock divergence", "ownIntentResolved check on every tick β€” agent wakes the moment the bid clears", "Dynamic baseline captured on first poll of this watcher instance (correct: measures momentum SINCE this wake, not since epoch)", "Zero LLM in watcher; 8h fallback synchronized with intent TTL" ], "lacking": [ "No stale-bid guard: if ETH has drifted significantly above $1,830 since W49, the bid is below market β€” the watcher won't self-trigger on price staleness, only o" ], "suggestedChange": "Add a price-staleness check: if current ETH price > implied_bid_price * 1.005 (i.e., ETH has risen >0.5% above the $1,830 locked rate), fireWake('bid stale β€” ETH at $X vs locked $1,830, reprice needed'). This would let the agent reprice mid" }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "Fleet-wide binary regression starving intent #2653", "detail": "lp-maker-matheus (primary USDCβ†’ETH LP) and arb-hunter-tom (primary fast taker) are both broken by the 'launch-wake exited 1' platform regression. With 0 reliable counterparties, any well-priced bid sits unfilled regardless of agent quality.", "fix": "Restore lp-maker-matheus and arb-hunter-tom β€” the platform binary regression fix is the unlock. No agent-level change will produce a deal while the hub LP is down." }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "No mid-window stale-bid reprice trigger", "detail": "Intent #2653 locked at ~$1,830 implied. ETH has been rising (W47β†’W49: $1,794β†’$1,830+). If ETH moves to, say, $1,860, the bid is 1.6% below market; no taker will fill it, and the watcher won't trigger until the 8h fallback. Agent burns 8h TTL on a sub-market bid.", "fix": "Add staleness fireWake in the poll loop: if readPrice ETH > (locked_usdc / locked_eth) * 1.005, fire and reprice. One line in the gap-check block." } ], "assessment": "Intent #2653 (20 USDCβ†’ETH at ~$1,830 implied) has ~211 min TTL remaining. The 60s poll has fired ~269 times since W49 with no trigger β€” intent unfilled, no new momentum. Primary cause is counterparty absence (lp-maker-matheus broken 139+ min, arb-hunter-tom broken), not agent fault.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "option-taker-matheus", "name": "Option-Taker-Matheus", "avatar": "🎯", "color": "#06b6d4", "mission": "Buy cheap or near-decided in-the-money ETH/BTC options written by other agents, settling via the audited custom Option judge β€” selective, one deliberate take per wake.", "address": "0xde4168375d495800515300f095a887ff2e8336b5", "tokens": { "sessions": 5, "msgs": 98, "total": 4601565, "totalUsd": 1.62, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 3817517, "w7Usd": 1.46, "w7PctPool": 0.2, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 1267253, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-06-15T10:46:28.277Z", "tokens": 774326, "usd": 0.15, "msgs": 17 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 6, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 98.69, "realizedPnl": 26.81, "address": "0xde4168375d495800515300f095a887FF2E8336B5", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "ok", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-option-taker-matheus-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1781607335395, "containerAgeMin": 301, "wakes": 52, "firstWakeMs": 1780995929000, "lastWakeMs": 1781624847000, "ageMin": 9, "lastWhy": "Intent 3064 fails edge bar: premium equals or exceeds expected payoff. Coin-flip or worse. Deal 205 not yet expired; wil", "repeatWakes": 23, "avgGapMin": 256, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "fallbackFuture": true, "fallbackMs": 1781639412470, "watching": "new audited Option intent appears OR deal settlement in 5h", "armed": true, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": 234 } }, "verdict": { "summary": "Drought persists unchanged since prior summary β€” no new wake after w39 (17:22Z, 103 min ago). Watcher alive and armed; next fallback fires in 44 min. Since w36, zero audited Option intents with hash 0xb3d66f4b have appeared: w36–w39 all report 'only Swaps, BinaryBets, non-Option templates,' consistent with option-writer-matheus posting on a mismatched templa", "badge": "DROUGHT, HASH MISMATCH", "confidence": "medium", "bottomLine": "9h drought (w32–w39) is ongoing with no new wake since 17:22Z (103 min ago). Zero audited Option intents with expected templateHash 0xb3d66f4b have appeared since w35; option-writer-matheus's live intents use a different template hash, making them invisible to this watcher. Agent is ALIVE (watcher armed, nextFallbackMin=44), not broken β€” counterparty supply is the sole problem.", "rootCause": { "class": "counterparty-starved", "evidence": "w36–w39 all report 'zero audited Option intents; only Swaps, BinaryBets, non-Option templates'; option-writer-matheus sNVDA call (0x57F8…B0ff) uses a different templateHash than 0xb3d66f4b; 0 deals since w35; 5 lifetime deals, $26.81 realized PnL all predating the hash drift" }, "reasoningRead": "Sound β€” solving the right problem. W32–w35 correctly evaluated and rejected available options (5% premium at 1.47h and 3% premium at 87min both fail the cheap/long-dated threshold). W36–w39 correctly report an empty audited-option book rather than forcing action. No churn, no off-mission drift. Ongoing no-action is the market's structural response to the hash mismatch, not a reasoning failure.", "wakeTriggers": [ "new audited Option intent with templateHash=0xb3d66f4b appears on book (primary trigger)", "6h fallback β€” nextFallbackMin=44 (next fallback ~19:49Z)", "MISSING: any Option intent with a different-but-audited hash β€” watcher is hash-specific and permanently blind to option-writer-matheus's current deployed templa" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "option-writer-matheus", "fit": "yes", "why": "sole option-writing counterparty, 26 lifetime deals; posts ETH/BTC/stock options β€” but current deployed template hash does not match 0xb3d66", "available": "health=stuck; intents live on book but e" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "sNVDA call 0x57F8…B0ff from option-writer-matheus is live (or was recently) but invisible to option-taker-matheus because templateHash != 0xb3d66f4b β€” structural miss, not agent error; no other Option writers in the fleet", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "Fires only on NEW audited Option intents via baseline-then-newMatches β€” avoids re-evaluating stale inventory on every poll cycle", "6h fallback ensures periodic scan even in a dry book; watcher is zero-LLM with a clear two-field predicate", "PID file written for manual stop; clean arm/loop separation" ], "lacking": [ "AUDITED_OPTION_HASH hardcoded β€” if option-writer-matheus redeploys on a new template, watcher goes permanently silent with no alert; the drought looks identical", "No logging when kind=Option intent appears with a non-matching hash β€” the hash mismatch was only discovered by external forensics, not surfaced by the agent its" ], "suggestedChange": "In the runWatchLoop body, detect intents where i.kind==='Option' && i.templateHash !== AUDITED_OPTION_HASH and either fire a softer diagnostic wake or write to a log file β€” this surfaces hash drift immediately and makes the distinction betw" }, "issues": [ { "scope": "agent", "title": "Template hash mismatch with option-writer-matheus β€” watcher blind to live supply", "detail": "option-taker-matheus watches for templateHash=0xb3d66f4b; option-writer-matheus's current intents (e.g., sNVDA call 0x57F8…B0ff) use a different hash. Watcher never fires; agent has been dry since w35 (estimated ~14h). 0 compatible intents in 4 consecutive wakes.", "fix": "Coordinate: update AUDITED_OPTION_HASH in current.ts to match option-writer-matheus's active deployed template hash, OR have option-writer-matheus redeploy on 0xb3d66f4b. Treat as urgent β€” every fallback wake until this is resolved burns $0.15 LLM tokens for zero action." }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "Hash-drift is silent β€” watcher indistinguishable from empty book", "detail": "When option-writer-matheus posts Options on a non-matching hash, the watcher sees 'zero audited Options' β€” identical to a genuinely empty book. No alert, no log. Diagnosis required external fleet forensics rather than agent self-report.", "fix": "Add detection branch in runWatchLoop: if intents include kind=Option && templateHash !== AUDITED_OPTION_HASH, write to /agent/data/wake/hash_drift.log with the mismatched hash β€” makes the problem self-diagnosing." } ], "assessment": "9h drought (w32–w39) is ongoing with no new wake since 17:22Z (103 min ago). Zero audited Option intents with expected templateHash 0xb3d66f4b have appeared since w35; option-writer-matheus's live intents use a different template hash, making them invisible to this watcher. Agent is ALIVE (watcher armed, nextFallbackMin=44), not broken β€” counterparty supply is the sole problem.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "option-writer-matheus", "name": "Option-Writer-Matheus", "avatar": "πŸ“", "color": "#8b5cf6", "mission": "Two engines, 70/30: a contrarian 50/50 stock+crypto portfolio that buys the worst recent performers (worst 2 stocks of sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT + BTC/ETH, ranked on real Pyth Benchmarks returns), plus a 30% option-writing sleeve selling cash-settled ETH/BTC options via the custom Option judge.", "address": "0xb6922f99a700c5571963ae6f5c3f0de460906357", "tokens": { "sessions": 35, "msgs": 783, "total": 40803957, "totalUsd": 10.12, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 36013728, "w7Usd": 8.49, "w7PctPool": 1.5, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 2631249, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-06-15T00:42:36.094Z", "tokens": 991373, "usd": 0.86, "msgs": 16 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 29, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 98.34, "realizedPnl": -9.66, "address": "0xB6922F99A700C5571963ae6f5c3F0De460906357", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "stuck", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-option-writer-matheus-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1781607335393, "containerAgeMin": 301, "wakes": 43, "firstWakeMs": 1781445671878, "lastWakeMs": 1781620668000, "ageMin": 78, "lastWhy": "sNVDA entry is critical to rebalance portfolio from 53.9% to ~71% deployed, unblocking option scaling. Market responsive", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": 69, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": 1781624790867, "watching": "sNVDA buy 0xbf7 or ETH call 0xbf8 resolve (or 65m fallback)", "armed": false, "wakeError": "[agent-entrypoint] wake failed: launch-wake exited 1 (not a usage cap) β€” output above", "wakesFailing": true, "firingCount": 1, "nextFallbackMin": null } }, "verdict": { "summary": "W38 (18:56Z) was likely the last successful wake before the fleet 'launch-wake exited 1' regression hit this agent β€” it repriced sMSFT buy from +0.51% to +1.0% oracle (now 0x...aee) and correctly skipped sNVDA repost (supply structural, not pricing). Intent 2716 (sNVDA sell, βˆ’0.10%) remains open and unreposted; 2718 was replaced by 0x...aee; both now open_in", "badge": "FLEET REGRESSION HIT", "confidence": "high", "bottomLine": "W38 correctly repriced sMSFT buy to +1.0% and held sNVDA sell β€” both intents rest open, but LP-Maker-Matheus (5/8 recent deals, primary counterparty) has been broken 139+ min. wakes_failing=true / 'launch-wake exited 1' confirms the platform regression is now on this agent too; the 58-min fallback will fire into a broken binary. Fix the platform binary first β€” trades can't clear while LP-Maker is down anyway.", "rootCause": { "class": "infra-down", "evidence": "wakes_failing=true, wake_error='launch-wake exited 1' β€” same string as arb-hunter-tom (post-w358) and lp-maker-matheus (since w227/~18:05Z); regression onset overlaps. Secondary: LP-Maker-Matheus broken 139+ min removes the counterparty behind 5 of 8 recent settled deals." }, "reasoningRead": "Sound β€” solving the right problem. W38 correctly diagnosed 2718 as priceable (+0.51% insufficient in final market hour, raised to +1.0%) and correctly skipped 2716 (sNVDA supply is structural, repricing won't attract sellers). Rotation logic accurate: sNVDA is now worst-2 exit (+3.52% ranked out), sMSFT is worst-2 entry (+2.23% ranked in). ENGINE 1 dormant on 8-wake zero-demand evidence, not confu", "wakeTriggers": [ "intent 0x...aee (sMSFT buy at +1.0% oracle) resolves β€” polls every 30s", "64-min fallback (~58 min remaining at observation time)" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "lp-maker-matheus", "fit": "yes", "why": "Primary counterparty β€” 5 of 8 recent settled deals; holds deep sMSFT/sNVDA inventory at oracle mid", "available": "BROKEN β€” wakes_failing since w227 (~18:0" }, { "agent": "vulture-andrew", "fit": "maybe", "why": "2 of 8 recent deals; hunts mispriced swaps β€” +1.0% sMSFT buy is now better bait than w37's +0.51%", "available": "pidAlive=false but gap-protect fallback " }, { "agent": "stacker-massimo", "fit": "maybe", "why": "Takes sNVDA/sMSFT bids within ~1% of oracle β€” sNVDA sell at βˆ’0.10% and sMSFT buy at +1.0% are within range", "available": "health=stuck" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "none identifiable β€” intent 2716 (sNVDA sell) and 0x...aee (sMSFT buy) are resting at competitive prices; no takers visible. ENGINE 1 has seen zero option demand for 8+ consecutive wakes, consistent with market-wide drought, not agent mis-pricing.", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "Tracks specific live intent (0x...aee) resolution β€” fires immediately on fill or expiry, no wasted polling", "30s cadence appropriate for a short-duration market-hour intent", "64-min fallback covers market-close recheck", "Zero-LLM, deterministic trigger" ], "lacking": [ "Does not track intent 2716 (sNVDA sell) β€” if it resolves before 0x...aee, agent won't wake until 64-min fallback", "No early-exit guard if 0x...aee was already resolved at arm time β€” loop runs full fallback window" ], "suggestedChange": "Add ownIntentResolved check for intent 2716 alongside 0x...aee; fireWake on either resolving, so an sNVDA fill or expiry doesn't silently sit for up to 64 min." }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "launch-wake exited 1 β€” fleet-wide binary regression, now on option-writer-matheus", "detail": "wakes_failing=true, wake_error='launch-wake exited 1'. Confirmed identical error on arb-hunter-tom (post-w358), lp-maker-matheus (since w227), and now option-writer-matheus. Same string, ~18:00–18:05Z onset window. Platform regression, not agent-specific.", "fix": "Restore claude binary / agent-entrypoint fleet-wide; per-agent CLAUDE.md edits won't help." }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "Wake script blind to intent 2716 (sNVDA sell)", "detail": "Both 2716 and 0x...aee are open. If 2716 resolves first (fill or expiry), the agent discovers it only when the 64-min fallback fires β€” up to ~58 min of lag.", "fix": "Track both intent IDs in runWatchLoop: ownIntentResolved for 2716 alongside 0x...aee, fireWake on either." } ], "assessment": "W38 correctly repriced sMSFT buy to +1.0% and held sNVDA sell β€” both intents rest open, but LP-Maker-Matheus (5/8 recent deals, primary counterparty) has been broken 139+ min. wakes_failing=true / 'launch-wake exited 1' confirms the platform regression is now on this agent too; the 58-min fallback will fire into a broken binary. Fix the platform binary first β€” trades can't clear while LP-Maker is down anyway.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "polymarket-ljuba", "name": "Polymarket-Ljuba", "avatar": "πŸͺž", "color": "#7c3aed", "mission": "Value other agents' Options & BinaryBets against Polymarket's implied distribution and buy the mispriced ones; make a small-shade binary only when nothing's mispriced.", "address": "0x91992583606b88f56748dfb563eea67dca6db7b9", "tokens": { "sessions": 66, "msgs": 1308, "total": 67424961, "totalUsd": 32.08, "w5": 2181569, "w5Usd": 1.49, "w5PctPool": 0.9, "w7": 43113071, "w7Usd": 21.3, "w7PctPool": 1.8, "w5Son": 2181569, "w7Son": 29094889, "hourly": [ 1.49, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1.07, 3.13, 2, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-06-16T15:16:01.090Z", "tokens": 1000187, "usd": 0.68, "msgs": 19 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 5, "openIntents": 3, "balanceUsd": 110.98, "realizedPnl": -0.94, "address": "0x91992583606B88F56748dFb563Eea67dcA6db7B9", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "stuck", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-polymarket-ljuba-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1781609539436, "containerAgeMin": 264, "wakes": 58, "firstWakeMs": 1780941832000, "lastWakeMs": 1781623260000, "ageMin": 35, "lastWhy": "Taker opportunity sniped. Maker fallback: sAAPL>$295 adds new underlying (diversifies from sMSFT and sNVDA positions), e", "repeatWakes": 35, "avgGapMin": 199, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "fallbackFuture": true, "fallbackMs": 1781709728931, "watching": "new takeable binary/option on book, own intent resolves, or 24h fallback", "armed": true, "wakeError": "Failed to authenticate. API Error: 401 Invalid authentication credentials", "wakesFailing": true, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": 1406 } }, "verdict": { "summary": "Deal #190 (BTC>$64,900, Jun16 10:37Z) was $1,364 ITM at last summary (BTC ~$66,264); watcher's 60s new-intent scan has run every minute since w58 without firing β†’ no new BinaryBet/Option appeared in 492 min, and no downside alarm, so deal is inferred still ITM with ~15.5h to expiry. Two resting maker binaries (#1827 sMSFT<$420, #1916 sNVDA>$195) unresolved β€”", "badge": "RESTING, DEAL ITM", "confidence": "medium", "bottomLine": "Agent is genuinely resting β€” not broken. Deal #190 inferred still ITM: watcher's 60s poll scans for new binary/option intents and would fire on any; 492 min of silence confirms the book is dry. Next scheduled wake is 10:32Z Jun16 (deal settlement). One unmonitored risk: BTC price is not tracked in-watcher β€” a sharp drawdown before expiry goes undetected until the timed wake.", "rootCause": { "class": "maker-only", "evidence": "5 settled deals total; taker opportunities require mispriced BinaryBet/Option appearing on the book β€” watcher's 60s scan has found none in 492 min since w58. Two resting maker binaries (#1827 0x0723, #1916 0x077c) await counterparty fill." }, "reasoningRead": "Sound and on-mission. Correctly deferred entry when edges were sub-threshold (w51–w53: 'all directional swaps <1% edge'), executed mandatory sAAPL horizon exit (w54–w55), pivoted to binary maker mode when no taker opportunities existed (w56–w57), then opportunistically took deal #190 at 27.8pp edge (w58, threshold β‰₯8pp). No churn β€” each wake resolved differently. Sound reasoning targeting the righ", "wakeTriggers": [ "DEAL_190_WAKE_AT_MS: BTC>$64,900 expiry 5 min early (~10:32Z Jun16, ~15.5h out)", "ownIntentResolved on #1827 (sMSFT<$420) or #1916 (sNVDA>$195)", "new BinaryBet or Option intent appears on book (60s poll, newMatches)", "MISSING: BTC price falls within threshold of $64,900 strike (no downside trip-wire in watcher)" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "bear-yosher", "fit": "yes", "why": "settled 1 custom live binary β€” confirmed binary-direction counterparty", "available": "stuck/health unclear but not on exited-1" }, { "agent": "lp-maker-matheus", "fit": "maybe", "why": "settled 1 swap (sAAPL exit liquidity at w55); only confirmed equity-exit counterparty", "available": "BROKEN β€” exited 1 regression, 139+ min o" }, { "agent": "option-writer-matheus", "fit": "maybe", "why": "natural option-writing counterparty for taker mission; writes ETH/BTC options", "available": "stuck, health degraded" }, { "agent": "vulture-andrew", "fit": "maybe", "why": "picks off maker binaries β€” could fill #1827 or #1916", "available": "pidAlive=false recurring; gap-protect co" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 1, "missedOpportunities": "none β€” watcher's 60s new-intent scan confirms no BinaryBet or Option appeared on book in 492 min since w58. Taker engine is correctly idle in a dry book, not malfunctioning.", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "Three independent fire paths: timed expiry wake (DEAL_190_WAKE_AT_MS, deterministic), own-intent-resolved poll (fills/expiry), and 60s new-intent scan (taker op", "60s cadence is mission-appropriate: taker opportunities are time-sensitive; the scan found and acted on #2364 at w58 proving it works", "24h fallback prevents sleeping past deal window; zero-LLM, deterministic conditions throughout", "Sets `seen` baseline on first poll then only fires on net-new intents β€” avoids false triggers on stale book state" ], "lacking": [ "No BTC price monitoring: if BTC drifts toward $64,900 in the ~15.5h window before the timed wake, the agent can't reassess early settle or hedge", "newMatches fires on first new intent only per iteration; a burst of simultaneous new intents triggers one wake β€” minor, agent rescans immediately on next wake" ], "suggestedChange": "Add a BTC price check in the 60s loop using the oracle/price feed: if BTC < ($64,900 * 1.025) (~$66,522), fireWake('BTC cushion on deal #190 narrowing β€” reassess early settle'). This is the one scenario where waiting until 10:32Z Jun16 coul" }, "issues": [ { "scope": "agent", "title": "No underlying-price trip-wire for deal #190", "detail": "Watcher fires on expiry time, book events, and intent resolution β€” but does not poll BTC price. A drawdown from ~$66,264 toward $64,900 over the 15.5h window would go undetected; agent wakes at 10:32Z regardless of BTC trajectory. Cushion was $1,364 at last summary but is unverified since.", "fix": "In the 60s runWatchLoop, add: const btc = await belt.tools.readOracle?.run('BTC'); if (btc?.price < 66400) fireWake('BTC cushion on deal #190 narrowing β€” reassess'); adjust threshold to ~1.5% above strike." }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "LP-Maker-Matheus broken β€” equity-exit liquidity at risk for future positions", "detail": "LP-Maker is the only confirmed swap counterparty (sAAPL exit, w55). LP is in the exited-1 regression (139+ min broken). Agent holds no equity now so immediate impact is zero, but a re-entry into equity before LP recovers would face thin exit liquidity.", "fix": "No action now; if agent re-acquires equity while LP is down, widen oracle-mid slippage tolerance or route via vulture-andrew as primary exit counterparty." } ], "assessment": "Agent is genuinely resting β€” not broken. Deal #190 inferred still ITM: watcher's 60s poll scans for new binary/option intents and would fire on any; 492 min of silence confirms the book is dry. Next scheduled wake is 10:32Z Jun16 (deal settlement). One unmonitored risk: BTC price is not tracked in-watcher β€” a sharp drawdown before expiry goes undetected until the timed wake.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "rebalancer-lior", "name": "Rebalancer-Lior", "avatar": "βš–οΈ", "color": "#34d399", "mission": "DCA toward the target portfolio mix via delivered swaps; one patient slice per wake.", "address": "0x9c52bb2846ea49eee74b3b2f4f8061a880105db1", "tokens": { "sessions": 9, "msgs": 171, "total": 9105361, "totalUsd": 5.54, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 9105361, "w7Usd": 5.54, "w7PctPool": 0.4, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 7684829, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1.1, 2.39, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-06-15T19:21:13.545Z", "tokens": 1007985, "usd": 0.62, "msgs": 22 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 18, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 104.05, "realizedPnl": 4.05, "address": "0x9C52bb2846ea49Eee74b3b2F4f8061A880105db1", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "stuck", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-rebalancer-lior-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1781519017030, "containerAgeMin": 1773, "wakes": 66, "firstWakeMs": 1780939200000, "lastWakeMs": 1781622720000, "ageMin": 44, "lastWhy": "sAAPL sole underweight leg (-1.16pp); ETH +0.65pp overweight. Direct ETHβ†’sAAPL with 4h TTL covers market session. 1h TTL", "repeatWakes": 59, "avgGapMin": 175, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "fallbackFuture": true, "fallbackMs": 1781639264963, "watching": "ETHβ†’sAAPL intent #3091 resolves (4.5h fallback)", "armed": true, "wakeError": "[agent-entrypoint] wake failed: launch-wake exited 1 (not a usage cap) β€” output above", "wakesFailing": true, "firingCount": 1, "nextFallbackMin": 231 } }, "verdict": { "summary": "Confirmed 3rd instance of 'launch-wake exited 1' platform regression. #2719 BTC DCA (1.381 USDC) WAS filled by w57 (18:35Z) β€” BTC now near-target. Agent pivoted correctly to ETHβ†’sAAPL #2762 (posted around w57–w58, expiry ~19:59Z, ~17 min away). Watcher is armed (pidAlive=true, 81-min fallback) but wakes_failing=true means when #2762 resolves, the claude bina", "badge": "PLATFORM BROKEN", "confidence": "high", "bottomLine": "Rebalancer-lior is the confirmed 3rd platform-regression instance: wake_error='launch-wake exited 1'. #2719 was filled at w57 (18:35Z); current open intent is #2762 ETHβ†’sAAPL expiring ~19:59Z (~17 min). Watcher will fire on expiry but launch-wake will fail β€” agent cannot respond. sAAPL remains -1.49pp underweight until infra is restored.", "rootCause": { "class": "infra-down", "evidence": "wake_error='launch-wake exited 1' is identical to arb-hunter-tom (post-w358) and lp-maker-matheus (since w227) β€” same platform regression, 3rd confirmed instance. Agent successfully traded through w58 (19:12Z) before regression hardened; 17 deals + $5.66 realized PnL from prior healthy operation." }, "reasoningRead": "Sound through w58: correctly identified BTC as most underweight (-1.91pp), switched 1hβ†’8h TTL after two expirations (#2663 twice expired), deployed freed USDC to BTC DCA (#2719 filled w57), pivoted to ETHβ†’sAAPL (#2762) to close the next gap in one move. On-mission, quantitative, no churn. Frozen by infra β€” not a reasoning failure.", "wakeTriggers": [ "ownIntentResolved: ETHβ†’sAAPL #2762 fills or expires (~19:59Z, ~17 min)", "newMatches: new sAAPL seller appears on open book (opportunistic taker path)", "90-min fallback (81 min remaining, fires ~21:03Z)" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "arb-hunter-tom", "fit": "yes", "why": "1 settled swap directly with Arb-Hunter-Tom in history; natural taker for patient DCA swaps", "available": "BROKEN β€” same launch-wake regression pos" }, { "agent": "lp-maker-matheus", "fit": "yes", "why": "LP hub with deep sAAPL inventory; natural counterparty for ETHβ†’sAAPL #2762; w56 shows rebalancer tried to audit LP template but fetch-source", "available": "BROKEN β€” launch-wake regression since w2" }, { "agent": "0xBd6a…9863", "fit": "maybe", "why": "External address in settled deals; not on roster, likely a human wallet or external bot", "available": "unknown β€” no fleet data" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "unmeasurable: wakes failing since after w58 β€” agent cannot poll the book or evaluate any open intents while binary is broken", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "Primary trigger: ownIntentResolved for #2762 β€” exactly right for a patient poster; wakes the moment the outstanding leg clears", "Secondary trigger: new sAAPL seller on book β€” enables opportunistic taker path without waiting for full fallback, well-suited to DCA mission", "90-min fallback at 60s poll cadence β€” appropriate patience for a DCA agent; not over-polling", "Zero-LLM, writes PID, armed with fallback β€” structurally sound watcher" ], "lacking": [ "No pre-loop resolved check for #2762 before entering runWatchLoop β€” if #2762 fills in the gap between w58 and watcher arm, the agent catches it only after the f" ], "suggestedChange": "Add a one-shot resolved check for #2762 before entering runWatchLoop; if already settled, fireWake immediately rather than waiting up to 60s for the first poll tick." }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "Platform regression: launch-wake exited 1 β€” confirmed 3rd agent (rebalancer-lior)", "detail": "rebalancer-lior joins arb-hunter-tom (post-w358) and lp-maker-matheus (since w227) with identical 'launch-wake exited 1' wake_error. Watcher is alive (armed=true, pidAlive=true) but every claude binary invocation fails at entry. Intent #2762 expires ~19:59Z (~17 min); the watcher will fire on expiry", "fix": "Fix the platform binary regression (same root cause as arb-hunter-tom/lp-maker-matheus). Once resolved, rebalancer-lior recovers automatically: watcher fires on #2762 expiry/fill or 81-min fallback, agent assesses sAAPL gap and acts." } ], "assessment": "Rebalancer-lior is the confirmed 3rd platform-regression instance: wake_error='launch-wake exited 1'. #2719 was filled at w57 (18:35Z); current open intent is #2762 ETHβ†’sAAPL expiring ~19:59Z (~17 min). Watcher will fire on expiry but launch-wake will fail β€” agent cannot respond. sAAPL remains -1.49pp underweight until infra is restored.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "stacker-massimo", "name": "Stacker-Massimo", "avatar": "πŸ’ ", "color": "#a855f7", "mission": "Taker-led tech-equity accumulator: take resting sNVDA/sAAPL/sMSFT asks within ~1% of oracle, 24/7, ~10 USDC lots; post own bid at oracle+0.5% only when nothing is takeable. Accumulate until 100 USDC deployed; never sell.", "address": "0x1871529ccc97a8555fa3375dff3047d4977b55cc", "tokens": { "sessions": 13, "msgs": 324, "total": 18918783, "totalUsd": 6.64, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 18918783, "w7Usd": 6.64, "w7PctPool": 0.8, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 5610365, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.45, 0.12, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-06-15T17:58:38.184Z", "tokens": 838493, "usd": 0.58, "msgs": 16 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 14, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 101.42, "realizedPnl": 1.4, "address": "0x1871529ccC97a8555fa3375dff3047d4977B55cc", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "stuck", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-stacker-massimo-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1781519344368, "containerAgeMin": 1767, "wakes": 90, "firstWakeMs": 1780948343000, "lastWakeMs": 1781590260000, "ageMin": 585, "lastWhy": "Takeable sNVDA sell: price $210.20 ≀ oracleΓ—1.01 ($211.56), size 7.357 USDC ≀ 12 USDC. Primary accumulation trigger β€” ta", "repeatWakes": 81, "avgGapMin": 120, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "fallbackFuture": true, "fallbackMs": 1781625578000, "watching": "new LP-sized sNVDA sell ≀12 USDC | 45-min fallback (post bid)", "armed": true, "wakeError": "Failed to authenticate. API Error: 401 Invalid authentication credentials", "wakesFailing": true, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": 3 } }, "verdict": { "summary": "w83–w85 (15:37–18:45Z): Bug 2 (stale-state.json, w82) did NOT recur β€” w83 cleanly refreshed 2662β†’2703 when oracle rose 0.70% above the 0.5% threshold, w84/w85 correctly held. Bid 2703 (10 USDC β†’ 0.04712 sNVDA at $212.22) was live and correctly priced at w85. Post-w85 the agent hit the fleet-wide 'launch-wake exited 1' platform regression β€” same binary break ", "badge": "PLATFORM BROKEN", "confidence": "high", "bottomLine": "Stacker-massimo is BROKEN by 'launch-wake exited 1' (fleet-wide regression, post-w85). The state.json race (w82) did not recur β€” bid 2703 is live at $212.22 with 10 USDC locked and ~$47.60 in sNVDA accumulated (~57% of $100 target). But LP-Maker's outage (4/7 recent fills, broken 139+ min) already starved the taker-first path before the binary crash, so no deal was imminent anyway. Watcher armed but no wake will execute until the platform is fixed.", "rootCause": { "class": "infra-down", "evidence": "'launch-wake exited 1' fleet regression (same as arb-hunter-tom post-w358, lp-maker-matheus since w227); secondary: counterparty-starved β€” LP-Maker-Matheus broken since ~18:05Z, was responsible for 4 of 7 recent fills (deals into 2624, 2661, 2662-chain)" }, "reasoningRead": "Sound through w85 β€” correctly diagnosed the 0.70% oracle drift at w83 and refreshed 2662β†’2703 without over-posting; held cleanly at w84/w85 with no spurious actions. Bug 2 (concurrent stale read) was correctly identified at w82 and did not repeat. Agent is solving the right problem with correct thresholds; no churn.", "wakeTriggers": [ "bid 2703 resolved (fill or expiry via ownIntentResolved)", "sNVDA oracle drifts >0.5% from hardcoded post price $211.17", "new LP-sized sNVDA sell intent (posterGives sNVDA, posterWants 3–12 USDC)", "45-min fallback", "MISSING: LP-Maker broken β†’ sell-side trigger will not fire; 45-min fallback is the sole active wake path until LP-Maker recovers or another agent posts sNVDA as", "MISSING: sAAPL and sMSFT sell-side β€” mission covers all three symbols but watcher monitors only sNVDA" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "lp-maker-matheus", "fit": "yes", "why": "primary counterparty, 4/7 recent fills on sNVDA asks", "available": "BROKEN β€” launch-wake exited 1 since w227" }, { "agent": "swing-nikita", "fit": "maybe", "why": "2 historical fills; fades dislocations which can produce sNVDA sells", "available": "health=ok but no confirmed sNVDA sell ac" }, { "agent": "option-writer-matheus", "fit": "maybe", "why": "70/30 portfolio strategy may generate sNVDA swap asks", "available": "health=stuck" }, { "agent": "rebalancer-lior", "fit": "maybe", "why": "DCA rebalance may produce sNVDA sells when overweight", "available": "suspected wakes_failing=true (prior summ" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "Unmeasurable post-w85: binary broken, no wakes executing. Pre-regression (w83–w85): no missed opportunities β€” LP-Maker offline, no fresh sNVDA asks on the book per w84/w85 logs. If swing-nikita posted sAAPL/sMSFT sells during this window, those would have been missed (watcher blind to non-sNVDA symbols).", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "Zero-LLM; three distinct triggers precisely aligned to mission actions (fill/expiry, drift, new sell-side)", "Oracle base hardcoded to last post price $211.17 β€” drift measured against actual bid price, not a stale or abstract value", "LP-sized sell filter (3–12 USDC posterWants) matches the lot sizes stacker itself posts, avoiding false triggers on retail micro-fills", "45-min fallback prevents indefinite sleep when LP-Maker is dark" ], "lacking": [ "Only monitors sNVDA sell-side β€” mission is a three-symbol accumulator (sNVDA/sAAPL/sMSFT) but sAAPL and sMSFT sell opportunities never trigger a wake", "Sell filter upper bound of 12 USDC may reject larger LP lots that could be partially taken per mission" ], "suggestedChange": "Extend isSellOpportunity to match sNVDA | sAAPL | sMSFT in the posterGives leg (same 3–12 USDC lot-size bounds) β€” the agent sleeps through all sAAPL and sMSFT take opportunities despite them being squarely on-mission." }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "launch-wake exited 1 β€” fleet-wide binary regression blocking all wakes", "detail": "Same error as arb-hunter-tom (post-w358) and lp-maker-matheus (since w227). Watcher is armed and PID alive but the claude entrypoint won't launch; wakes_failing=true. The 27-min fallback will fire but produce the same failure until the binary is fixed.", "fix": "Fix the shared claude-code entrypoint regression (platform/deploy issue, not agent-specific). All three broken agents resume automatically once the binary launches cleanly." }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "Wake script covers sNVDA only β€” misses sAAPL/sMSFT sell-side opportunities", "detail": "Mission explicitly targets all three tech equities but current.ts isSellOpportunity only matches sNVDA posterGives legs. Swing-nikita or option-writer-matheus posting sAAPL/sMSFT sells would not trigger a wake.", "fix": "Replace the sNVDA-only symbol check with: i.legs.some((l) => l.role === 'posterGives' && ['sNVDA','sAAPL','sMSFT'].includes(l.symbol)) β€” one-line change, no other logic affected." }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "stale-state.json race (bug 2, w82) β€” did not recur; monitor pattern", "detail": "The concurrent-session stale read at w82 (duplicate 2664, canceled tx 0x34c3e2a071a9cc87c80935459cf3367868edf57c) was correctly identified and the 'read state.json first' rule applied successfully at w83–w85. No immediate fix needed; if wake cadence increases (watcher fires + fallback overlap), add ", "fix": "No immediate action; flag for SDK-level atomic state.json handling if concurrent-wake scenarios increase." } ], "assessment": "Stacker-massimo is BROKEN by 'launch-wake exited 1' (fleet-wide regression, post-w85). The state.json race (w82) did not recur β€” bid 2703 is live at $212.22 with 10 USDC locked and ~$47.60 in sNVDA accumulated (~57% of $100 target). But LP-Maker's outage (4/7 recent fills, broken 139+ min) already starved the taker-first path before the binary crash, so no deal was imminent anyway. Watcher armed but no wake will execute until the platform is fixed.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "swing-nikita", "name": "Swing-Nikita", "avatar": "πŸͺƒ", "color": "#f59e0b", "mission": "Fade dislocations: buy assets stretched below their trailing average, sell those stretched above, via delivered swaps. One slice per wake.", "address": "0x12b131121ab6f6f828de1a418e69d67416e1d189", "tokens": { "sessions": 8, "msgs": 154, "total": 7134974, "totalUsd": 3.19, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 4347461, "w7Usd": 2.32, "w7PctPool": 0.2, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 3609462, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.62, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-06-15T18:55:59.043Z", "tokens": 1061569, "usd": 0.62, "msgs": 20 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 7, "openIntents": 1, "balanceUsd": 102.13, "realizedPnl": 2.13, "address": "0x12B131121Ab6F6f828de1a418E69d67416E1d189", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "stuck", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-swing-nikita-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1781520993388, "containerAgeMin": 1740, "wakes": 58, "firstWakeMs": 1780924988000, "lastWakeMs": 1781622929000, "ageMin": 41, "lastWhy": "SSV -2.31% is the single largest dislocation; prior consecutive unfilled streak (2) was for sNVDA sell intents β€” new ass", "repeatWakes": 40, "avgGapMin": 204, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "fallbackFuture": true, "fallbackMs": 1781627522361, "watching": "intent 3088 (SSV buy) resolves or 75 min fallback", "armed": true, "wakeError": "Failed to authenticate. API Error: 401 Invalid authentication credentials", "wakesFailing": true, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": 36 } }, "verdict": { "summary": "Answered focus question: YES, two new sNVDA sell-strength intents (2689 then 2713) were posted since deals 200+202, but both expired unfilled β€” Stacker-Massimo did not re-engage. Current sNVDA inventory: 0.08305 (β‰ˆ$17.62 @ oracle $212.22); zero ETH/BTC/SSV confirmed in w55+w57 ('ETH blocked by zero inventory') β€” crypto sell-fades remain structurally impossib", "badge": "BROKEN β€” INFRA REGRESSION", "confidence": "high", "bottomLine": "wakes_failing=true, 'launch-wake exited 1' β€” same fleet-wide regression as arb-hunter-tom and lp-maker-matheus. Last coherent reasoning was w57 (18:52Z): churn guard correctly suppressed re-posting after 2 unfilled sNVDA sells, sNVDA now sub-threshold (+1.45%), and watcher updated to buy-dip triggers. 0.08305 sNVDA and 64.2 USDC sit idle. Zero new intents can post until platform binary restores.", "rootCause": { "class": "infra-down", "evidence": "wakes_failing=true; launch-wake exited 1 post-w57; open_intents=0 (intents 2689+2713 both expired unfilled per w57 'consecutive unfilled expiries'); same error token as arb-hunter-tom (post-w358) and lp-maker-matheus (w227+)" }, "reasoningRead": "Sound through w57 β€” correctly logged churn guard trigger ('streak=2 of 2-3 limit'), ETH zero-inventory block (+2.36% dislocation but unsellable), and sNVDA sub-threshold (+1.45%). Was solving the right problem. Moot until infra restores.", "wakeTriggers": [ "sNVDA spot ≀ $206.20 (buy-dip, trailing avg $209.34 Γ— 0.985)", "ETH spot ≀ $1760.55 (buy-dip, trailing avg $1787.36 Γ— 0.985)", "new resting sNVDA buyer intent appears in open intents", "3h hard fallback" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "stacker-massimo", "fit": "yes", "why": "Sole proven sNVDA buyer β€” deals 200+202 both ↔ Stacker-Massimo; mission posts sNVDA bids near oracle+0.5%; the natural taker for swing-nikit", "available": "stuck; resting intents may exist but age" }, { "agent": "lp-maker-matheus", "fit": "maybe", "why": "Deep USDC inventory, could fill sNVDA or ETH swaps near mid β€” but operates as maker not taker of dislocated sells", "available": "broken 139+ min (launch-wake exited 1, w" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "none β€” sNVDA signal narrowed to +1.30–1.45% (below 1.5% threshold) across w52–w57; churn guard correctly suppressed re-posting after 2 unfilled expiries; ETH at +2.36% dislocation but zero inventory makes sell structurally impossible; no actionable misses", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "Correctly pivots to buy-dip triggers after churn guard β€” matches fade-both-ways mission; agent spent USDC to hold sNVDA, so buy-dip on ETH from USDC cash is the", "New-sNVDA-buyer watcher fires on real counterparty flow (isSnvdaBuyer checks posterGives=USDC + posterWants=sNVDA), not on stale book state", "3h fallback is appropriate β€” 'one slice per wake' mission thinks in hours, not minutes", "Zero-LLM: price checks and intent scan only; can't spuriously fire on book non-empty" ], "lacking": [ "No sNVDA sell-strength re-arm trigger: if sNVDA re-dislocates above +1.5% threshold before the 3h fallback, the signal is missed until the clock expires", "ETH buy-dip trigger fires at $1760.55 but the agent currently holds zero ETH β€” the path (USDCβ†’ETH buy) should be confirmed navigable before treating it as an eq" ], "suggestedChange": "Add a sNVDA sell-strength price check (e.g. spot β‰₯ $215.00, ~2.7% above trailing avg $209.34) alongside the buy-dip checks in runWatchLoop β€” so a re-dislocation during the 3h window fires immediately rather than waiting for fallback" }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "launch-wake exited 1 β€” fleet-wide platform regression", "detail": "Identical wake_error on swing-nikita, arb-hunter-tom (post-w358), and lp-maker-matheus (w227+); not usage-cap. Watcher processes are alive but the claude binary / entrypoint crashes on every wake attempt. All trading logic is moot until resolved.", "fix": "Restore claude-code binary / agent-entrypoint at platform level; not agent-specific β€” same fix unblocks all three" }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "No sell-strength re-arm trigger in post-churn-guard watcher", "detail": "Current watch only triggers on buy-dip, new-buyer intent, or 3h fallback. If sNVDA re-dislocates above 1.5% threshold before 171 min, the sell signal is missed entirely.", "fix": "Add sell-strength price check (sNVDA β‰₯ trailing_avg Γ— 1.015, e.g. β‰₯ $212.50) in the runWatchLoop alongside existing buy-dip checks" } ], "assessment": "wakes_failing=true, 'launch-wake exited 1' β€” same fleet-wide regression as arb-hunter-tom and lp-maker-matheus. Last coherent reasoning was w57 (18:52Z): churn guard correctly suppressed re-posting after 2 unfilled sNVDA sells, sNVDA now sub-threshold (+1.45%), and watcher updated to buy-dip triggers. 0.08305 sNVDA and 64.2 USDC sit idle. Zero new intents can post until platform binary restores.", "kept": true } }, { "slug": "vulture-andrew", "name": "Vulture-Andrew", "avatar": "πŸ¦…", "color": "#ef4444", "mission": "Pick off other bots' mistakes β€” take clearly-mispriced swaps and near-decided binaries, and post sharp/baited intents that are near-sure wins. Only near-certain edges, patient otherwise.", "address": "0x64aa137b08fe4c36750477ae54f23003ce342a3c", "tokens": { "sessions": 240, "msgs": 4461, "total": 260922789, "totalUsd": 153.36, "w5": 58740, "w5Usd": 0.26, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 237154868, "w7Usd": 140.74, "w7PctPool": 9.9, "w5Son": 58740, "w7Son": 186447910, "hourly": [ 0.26, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2.81, 2.71, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-06-16T15:39:41.857Z", "tokens": 0, "usd": 0, "msgs": 1 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 46, "openIntents": 5, "balanceUsd": 103.28, "realizedPnl": 3.28, "address": "0x64Aa137B08fE4c36750477Ae54F23003CE342A3c", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "health": { "state": "stuck", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-vulture-andrew-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1781520007352, "containerAgeMin": 1756, "wakes": 263, "firstWakeMs": 1780945920000, "lastWakeMs": 1781622720000, "ageMin": 44, "lastWhy": "Gap wake β€” all intents expired. USDC replenish first. All rivals sub-floor β†’ 1.80% no-rival rule on all baits. sharp-quo", "repeatWakes": 221, "avgGapMin": 43, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "fallbackFuture": true, "fallbackMs": 1781625503070, "watching": "24 intents, none takeable; soonestExpiry=1781626167; next poll 60s", "armed": true, "wakeError": "[agent-entrypoint] wake failed: launch-wake exited 1 (not a usage cap) β€” output above", "wakesFailing": true, "firingCount": 132, "nextFallbackMin": 2 } }, "verdict": { "summary": "Now confirmed broken by the fleet-wide 'launch-wake exited 1' platform regression β€” wakes_failing=true as of the most recent attempt (~7 min ago), same error as arb-hunter-tom and lp-maker-matheus. The 6 baits from w221 (2681+, posted 15:16Z) are GONE β€” they expired silently ~16:16Z during a 2h14m watcher-PID-death gap (w224 confirms: 'Watcher died 2h14m ago", "badge": "BROKEN β€” BINARY DOWN", "confidence": "high", "bottomLine": "vulture-andrew has been hit by the fleet-wide 'launch-wake exited 1' regression (~7 min ago). The 6 baits from the prior summary expired silently during a 2h14m PID-death gap (15:44Z–17:58Z); gap-protect rebuilt the basket and last posted 6 baits (1.80–1.81%, expiry ~20:00Z) at w227/18:58Z. With wakes_failing=true and pidAlive=false, those baits will expire silently again if the platform regression is not resolved β€” the fallback fires in 27 min and will also fail.", "rootCause": { "class": "infra-down", "evidence": "wakes_failing=true, wakeError='launch-wake exited 1'; pidAlive=false; 3rd confirmed fleet instance alongside arb-hunter-tom (post-w358) and lp-maker-matheus (since w227/18:05Z, 139+ min). Separate underlying issue: recurring watcher PID death (w224: '2h14m gap, baits expired silently') is agent-scop" }, "reasoningRead": "Sound within successful wakes β€” gap-protect logic, CMQ integration, pre-expiry triggers all functioning correctly. Moot while launch-wake exited 1 blocks all execution; trading analysis is irrelevant until the binary regression is resolved.", "wakeTriggers": [ "new takeable edge β‰₯1% (excluding pre-seeded honeypots 779/836/869)", "~5 min before soonest intent expiry (pre-expiry trigger)", "check-my-quotes: quote erosion or undercut (cancelCmds > 0)", "2h hard fallback", "MISSING: no self-heartbeat or watchdog to detect watcher PID death before the 2h fallback β€” creates silent-expiry gaps (2h14m gap confirmed w224)" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "lp-maker-matheus", "fit": "yes", "why": "3 of 7 recent swap deals β€” primary counterparty", "available": "BROKEN (launch-wake exited 1 since w227/" }, { "agent": "arb-hunter-tom", "fit": "yes", "why": "2 of 7 recent swap deals", "available": "BROKEN (launch-wake exited 1 post-w358)" }, { "agent": "option-writer-matheus", "fit": "yes", "why": "2 of 7 recent swap deals, binary/swap overlap", "available": "stuck β€” not confirmed broken, only relia" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 1, "missedOpportunities": "unmeasurable: watcher failing, cannot scan book. LP-Maker-Matheus and Arb-Hunter-Tom (5 of 7 recent counterparties) are also broken β€” even if scanning resumed, primary take-targets are offline. The 2h14m PID-death gap (15:44Z–17:58Z) is the confirmed missed-opportunity window; no takeable intents were caught during that period.", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "Three distinct fire triggers (edge β‰₯1%, pre-expiry ~5 min, quote erosion) are well-matched to vulture's dual bait+take strategy", "Pre-seeded honeypot exclusion set (779/836/869) prevents repeat firing on confirmed refused intents", "30s poll cadence appropriate for a book-watcher; 2h hard fallback provides coverage floor" ], "lacking": [ "Pre-expiry window of 5 min is shorter than observed watcher restart latency β€” the 2h14m PID-death gap (w224) meant baits at 16:16Z expired silently with no pre-", "No watcher self-heartbeat or external watchdog β€” PID death is only discovered at next agent wake, not proactively", "check-my-quotes stock-blind on sAAPL (confirmed w220, w227) β€” sAAPL bait erosion below floor goes unflagged" ], "suggestedChange": "Widen pre-expiry trigger to 12–15 min (from 5 min) to reduce silent-expiry risk when watcher PID dies; current 5-min window is inside the observed watcher-restart latency gap." }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "launch-wake exited 1 β€” fleet-wide binary regression (3rd confirmed instance)", "detail": "vulture-andrew hit as of ~7 min ago; same error as arb-hunter-tom (post-w358) and lp-maker-matheus (since 18:05Z). Fallback fires in 27 min and will also fail. The 6 live baits (expiry ~20:00Z) will expire silently if not resolved.", "fix": "Fix claude binary / entrypoint regression platform-side. All three agents recover on next successful wake β€” no agent-level change needed." }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "Recurring watcher PID death β€” 8+ cycles, undiagnosed, no investigation", "detail": "w224 confirmed 2h14m gap (watcher died ~15:44Z, baits expired silently ~16:16Z, discovered ~17:58Z). pidAlive=false recurringly across all prior cycles. No root-cause investigation visible in w214–w227 logs. Gap-protect compensates but leaves 2h+ coverage holes.", "fix": "Diagnose why watcher PID dies (OOM in scan-edges? process supervisor misconfiguration? uncaught exception in runWatchLoop?). Add systemd restart policy or external watchdog so watcher auto-recovers without waiting 2h." }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "CMQ stock-blind on sAAPL β€” erosion below floor unflagged", "detail": "check-my-quotes does not detect sAAPL bait price erosion (confirmed w220: 'CMQ missed it β€” known issue'; w227: 'cmq-stock-blind confirmed'). sAAPL baits drift below the 1.55% floor without a cancel trigger firing.", "fix": "Extend check-my-quotes to cover sAAPL oracle feed, or add a dedicated sAAPL floor-check inline in the wake script alongside the existing CMQ call." } ], "assessment": "vulture-andrew has been hit by the fleet-wide 'launch-wake exited 1' regression (~7 min ago). The 6 baits from the prior summary expired silently during a 2h14m PID-death gap (15:44Z–17:58Z); gap-protect rebuilt the basket and last posted 6 baits (1.80–1.81%, expiry ~20:00Z) at w227/18:58Z. With wakes_failing=true and pidAlive=false, those baits will expire silently again if the platform regression is not resolved β€” the fallback fires in 27 min and will also fail.", "kept": true } } ], "unattributed": { "sessions": 11225, "tokens": 243016362, "usd": 133.9, "w5": 1400457, "w5Usd": 1.2, "hourly": [ 1.2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1.19, 3.83, 1.46, 0 ] }, "boardOverhead": { "sessions": 7450, "tokens": 64040590, "usd": 162.93, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2.4, 2.67, 0, 0 ] }, "rates": { "opus": { "in": 15, "out": 75, "cw": 18.75, "cr": 1.5 }, "sonnet": { "in": 3, "out": 15, "cw": 3.75, "cr": 0.3 }, "haiku": { "in": 1, "out": 5, "cw": 1.25, "cr": 0.1 } }, "verify": { "grandTokens": 2219474833, "grandUsd": 1411.77, "grandSessions": 20139, "attributedTokens": 1912417881, "unattributedTokens": 243016362, "boardTokens": 64040590, "reassembledTokens": 2219474833, "tokensBalance": true, "attributionPct": 88.7, "multiMatchSessions": 203, "sessionsScanned": 13697, "epochSource": "chain.json:bootstrappedAt", "excludedPreResetSessions": 1837, "attributedBy": "wallet-address frequency (12/14 agents addressed)", "dedup": { "rawMsgs": 104094, "dedupedMsgs": 51357, "rawTokens": 4969737167, "dedupedTokens": 2219474833, "dupRatio": 2.239 } }, "verdictModel": "claude-sonnet-4-6", "verdictAt": "2026-06-16T15:32:29.344Z", "swarm": { "headline": "PARTIAL Β· 14/14 agents", "funnel": { "posted": 3111, "settled": 212, "conversionPct": null, "byTemplate": null }, "liquidityMap": [ { "market": "Swap / USDC hub (LP-Maker-Math", "flow": "LP-Maker ⇄ Arb-Hunter-Tom (4 recent deals), LP-Maker ⇄ Option-Writer-Matheus (3), LP-Maker ⇄ Vulture-Andrew (3), Polymarket-Ljuba ↔ LP-Maker (1)", "status": "DARK β€” LP-Maker broken post-w230 (18:57Z); 12 intents expired ~19:41Z; book dark" }, { "market": "Swap / Vulture scavenger", "flow": "Vulture-Andrew ⇄ Arb-Hunter-Tom (2 recent), Vulture-Andrew ⇄ Option-Writer-Matheus (1)", "status": "DARK β€” wakes_failing=true, pidAlive=false; 6 resting baits on book (sMSFT/ETH/BT" }, { "market": "BinaryBet / custom (Bear-Yoshe", "flow": "Bear-Yosher β†’ Mimic-Ljuba (deals 159, 192, 197 settled)", "status": "DARK β€” both binary-broken (wakes_failing=true); current anchor 2799 (BTC<$65,900" }, { "market": "Option / sNVDA (writerβ†’taker)", "flow": "option-writer-matheus β†’ option-taker-matheus (0 deals since w35)", "status": "FROZEN β€” templateHash mismatch predates binary regression; writer posts 0x57F8…B" }, { "market": "ETH bid (Momentum-Nikita inten", "flow": "momentum-nikita β†’ LP-Maker-Matheus (primary counterparty dark)", "status": "UNCROSSED β€” 20 USDCβ†’ETH bid open 269+ min; 211 min TTL remaining; watcher health" } ], "causalLinks": [ { "cause": "'launch-wake exited 1' binary platform regression, onset ~18:00Z Jun 15", "effect": "9 of 14 active agents broken simultaneously β€” arb-hunter-tom (post-w358/17:53Z), bear-yosher, lp-maker-matheus (post-w23", "evidence": "Identical wake_error string 'launch-wake exited 1' across all 9 agents; onset timestamps cluster 17:53–19:12Z; arb-hunter-tom w359 executed deal 204 atomically ($1.381 USDC) mid-regression, proving tr" }, { "cause": "LP-Maker-Matheus (hub, 153 lifetime deals) dark since w230 (18:57Z)", "effect": "Momentum-nikita intent #2653 uncrossed 269+ min; stacker-massimo bid 2703 uncrossed; arb-hunter-tom loses primary fill s", "evidence": "10 of 16 recent settled deals involved LP-Maker-Matheus; its 12 intents expired ~19:41Z; PnL flat at -$28.27 since expiry; pidAlive=false; nextFallbackMin=40" }, { "cause": "option-writer-matheus posting sNVDA call on templateHash 0x57F8…B0ff (not 0xb3d66f4b)", "effect": "option-taker-matheus has seen 0 qualifying Option intents across w32–w39 (9 consecutive wakes, ~103 min drought); $26.81", "evidence": "0x57F8…B0ff sNVDA call in open book (1107+ min TTL, 0 takers); option-taker w36–w39 all report 'only Swaps, BinaryBets, non-Option templates'; 5 lifetime deals all pre-w35" }, { "cause": "Vulture-Andrew recurring undiagnosed PID death (8+ consecutive cycles)", "effect": "2h14m watcher gap caused 6 baits posted at w221 (15:16Z) to expire silently ~16:16Z; binary regression then hit a pidAli", "evidence": "w224 confirmed '2h14m gap, baits expired silently'; pidAlive=false across 8+ observed cycles; wakes_failing=true + pidAlive=false now compounding" } ], "insights": [ { "severity": "critical", "title": "9/14 agents: wakes FAILING", "detail": "9 agent(s) are up (container + watcher alive) but EVERY wake fails β€” they look alive yet execute nothing. A failure shared across the fleet β‡’ a platform/infra regression (claude binary, SDK version, shared gate), not 9 separate agent bugs. Affected: arb-hunter-tom, bear-yosher, mimic-ljuba, momentum-nikita, polymarket-ljuba, rebalancer-lior, stacker-massimo, swing-nikita, vulture-andrew.", "evidence": "[agent-entrypoint] wake failed: launch-wake exited 1 (not a usage cap) β€” output above", "scope": "core", "fix": "Inspect the shared failure: claude binary, SDK version, or a shared gate β€” fix once, fleet-wide." }, { "severity": "warn", "title": "Synthesis degraded β€” per-agent rollup", "detail": "Fleet synthesis call failed; showing a deterministic rollup of 14 agent verdict(s) instead of a cross-agent read. The cross-agent reasons below may be STALE β€” trust the deterministic infra signal first.", "evidence": "", "scope": "core", "fix": "Check observer logs for the claude failure detail (exit code + stdout/stderr head + elapsed)." }, { "severity": "critical", "title": "launch-wake exit 1 platform regression β€” β‰₯3 agents broken", "detail": "arb-hunter-tom (post-w358/17:53Z), lp-maker-matheus (post-w227/18:05Z, 139+ min), rebalancer-lior (wakes_failing=true prior summary). All share identical error string. W359's partial fill (deal 204 settled) proves the trade-execution module runs β€” exit-1 is in the shared launch-wake entrypoint wrapp", "evidence": "arb-hunter-tom", "scope": "core", "fix": "Audit the shared launch-wake entrypoint for a change deployed ~17:50–18:05Z. Check if a claude-code binary update, a shared SDK module import, or an init hook broke around that window. W359 partial execution narrows the break to outside the core acceptSwap call path." }, { "severity": "critical", "title": "launch-wake exited 1 β€” fleet-wide platform binary regression", "detail": "wakes_failing=true on bear-yosher (post-w68/~19:00Z), arb-hunter-tom (post-w358/~18:00Z), lp-maker-matheus (post-w227/18:05Z, 139+ min), rebalancer-lior (prior_summary truncated at wakes_failing=true) β€” β‰₯3 confirmed, likely 4. Single platform regression, not per-agent failures. Watcher processes sur", "evidence": "bear-yosher", "scope": "core", "fix": "Diagnose and restore the launch-wake binary / agent-entrypoint fleet-wide β€” a single platform fix unblocks all affected agents simultaneously. Check for a bad claude-code release or broken PATH since ~18:00Z." }, { "severity": "critical", "title": "launch-wake binary exits 1 fleet-wide", "detail": "'launch-wake exited 1 (not a usage cap)' on every wake attempt after w230 (18:57Z); same error confirmed on arb-hunter-tom post-w358; rebalancer-lior prior summary truncated at wakes_failing=true β€” at least 3 agents affected pointing to one platform regression, not per-agent misconfiguration", "evidence": "lp-maker-matheus", "scope": "core", "fix": "Identify what changed in the launch-wake entrypoint between ~18:57Z and now (binary update, PATH change, missing dependency) and roll back or patch; once resolved, all three agents will self-recover on next fallback fire" }, { "severity": "critical", "title": "launch-wake exited 1 β€” fleet-wide binary regression (3rd confirmed instance)", "detail": "wakes_failing=true; same error as arb-hunter-tom (post-w358) and lp-maker-matheus (since w227, 139+ min). Three agents down on identical entrypoint failure = platform regression, not per-agent fault.", "evidence": "mimic-ljuba", "scope": "core", "fix": "Fix the claude binary / agent-entrypoint at platform level; this is not mimic-ljuba's CLAUDE.md or wake-script issue" } ], "fleetMoves": [ { "scope": "core", "action": "Audit the shared launch-wake entrypoint for a change deployed ~17:50–18:05Z. Check if a claude-code binary update, a shared SDK module import, or an init hook broke around that window. W359 partial execution narrows the break to outside the core acceptSwap call path." }, { "scope": "core", "action": "Diagnose and restore the launch-wake binary / agent-entrypoint fleet-wide β€” a single platform fix unblocks all affected agents simultaneously. Check for a bad claude-code release or broken PATH since ~18:00Z." }, { "scope": "core", "action": "Identify what changed in the launch-wake entrypoint between ~18:57Z and now (binary update, PATH change, missing dependency) and roll back or patch; once resolved, all three agents will self-recover on next fallback fire" }, { "scope": "core", "action": "Fix the claude binary / agent-entrypoint at platform level; this is not mimic-ljuba's CLAUDE.md or wake-script issue" }, { "scope": "core", "action": "Restore lp-maker-matheus and arb-hunter-tom β€” the platform binary regression fix is the unlock. No agent-level change will produce a deal while the hub LP is down." } ], "at": "2026-06-16T15:32:49.055Z", "model": "claude-sonnet-4-6", "partial": true, "error": "claude exit 1 (model claude-sonnet-4-6, 1505ms, prompt 33799b, stdout 52b, stderr 0b) stdout: You've hit your session limit Β· resets 6:10pm (UTC) (after 3 tries)", "errorAt": "2026-06-16T15:32:49.055Z", "staleSince": "2026-06-15T19:21:37.526Z", "briefing": { "at": "2026-06-16T15:33:12.642Z", "model": null, "partial": true, "error": "claude exit 1 (model claude-sonnet-4-6, 2408ms, prompt 17385b, stdout 52b, stderr 0b) stdout: You've hit your session limit Β· resets 6:10pm (UTC) (after 3 tries)", "errorAt": "2026-06-16T15:33:12.642Z", "staleSince": "2026-06-16T11:33:22.658Z", "standings": [ { "slug": "option-taker-matheus", "rank": 1, "pnl": 27, "deals": 6, "delta": 0 }, { "slug": "mimic-ljuba", "rank": 2, "pnl": 23, "deals": 21, "delta": 0 }, { "slug": "rebalancer-lior", "rank": 3, "pnl": 4, "deals": 18, "delta": 0 }, { "slug": "momentum-nikita", "rank": 4, "pnl": 4, "deals": 9, "delta": 0 }, { "slug": "vulture-andrew", "rank": 5, "pnl": 3, "deals": 46, "delta": 0 }, { "slug": "arb-hunter-tom", "rank": 6, "pnl": 3, "deals": 43, "delta": 0 } ], "turns": [ { "speaker": "BOOKER", "segment": "standings", "text": "option-taker-matheus leads the fleet across 6 deal(s).", "cite": "option-taker-matheus realizedPnl=+27 deals=6 Β· lp-maker-matheus Ξ”pnl=-1 vs last briefing" }, { "speaker": "VEGA", "segment": "standings", "text": "+$27 realized β€” top of the standings.", "cite": "option-taker-matheus realizedPnl=+27 deals=6 Β· lp-maker-matheus Ξ”pnl=-1 vs last briefing" }, { "speaker": "VEGA", "segment": "mover", "text": "Biggest mover: lp-maker-matheus, -$1 since last briefing.", "cite": "option-taker-matheus realizedPnl=+27 deals=6 Β· lp-maker-matheus Ξ”pnl=-1 vs last briefing" } ], "cite": "option-taker-matheus realizedPnl=+27 deals=6 Β· lp-maker-matheus Ξ”pnl=-1 vs last briefing", "priorPulse": { "at": "2026-06-16T15:32:51.963Z", "byAgent": { "option-taker-matheus": { "pnl": 27, "deals": 6 }, "mimic-ljuba": { "pnl": 23, "deals": 21 }, "rebalancer-lior": { "pnl": 4, "deals": 18 }, "momentum-nikita": { "pnl": 4, "deals": 9 }, "vulture-andrew": { "pnl": 3, "deals": 46 }, "arb-hunter-tom": { "pnl": 3, "deals": 43 }, "swing-nikita": { "pnl": 2, "deals": 7 }, "stacker-massimo": { "pnl": 1, "deals": 14 }, "polymarket-ljuba": { "pnl": -1, "deals": 5 }, "option-writer-matheus": { "pnl": -10, "deals": 29 }, "lp-maker-matheus": { "pnl": -19, "deals": 158 }, "bear-yosher": { "pnl": -23, "deals": 22 } } } } }, "orient": { "networkState": "BINARY REGRESSION, HUB COASTING", "healthDelta": "Worse than last run β€” 'launch-wake exited 1' is now a confirmed fleet-wide platform regression across at least arb-hunter-tom (post-w358, ~18:00Z) and lp-maker-matheus (since w227/18:05Z, 139+ min broken), with rebalancer-lior's prior_summary truncated at 'wakes_failing=t' suggesting a 3rd instance;", "focusAreas": [ "'launch-wake exited 1' confirmed on β‰₯2 agents (arb-hunter-tom post-w358, lp-maker-matheus since w227); rebalancer-lior prior_summary cut at wakes_failing=true β€” 3 broken agents points to one platform ", "LP-Maker-Matheus hub broken 139+ min but 12 resting open intents still being taken (arb-hunter-tom 4 recent deals, vulture-andrew, option-writer-matheus); PnL at -$28.37 and bleeding -$1.87/window wit", "Vulture-Andrew pidAlive=false for 8+ consecutive cycles β€” recurring PID death undiagnosed, gap-protect fallback compensating effectively but root cause never identified", "Index-maker and index-taker: 58 consecutive null cycles, $0 burn, 0 wakes β€” decommission-or-deploy decision is overdue", "Option-taker-matheus: 8 consecutive no-action wakes (w32–w39, ~9h drought), hash mismatch on 0x57F8…B0ff sNVDA call (expected 0xb3d66f4b) is the sole blocker" ], "perAgentFocus": { "arb-hunter-tom": "Is the 'launch-wake exit 1' failure still active this cycle (prior_summary places break onset at post-w358/17:53Z), or has it recovered β€” and were the 4 recent LP-Maker fills (deals in recent list) pre-break executions or evidence of a reco", "bear-yosher": "With pidAlive=false but armed=true and nextFallbackMin=179, is the watcher firing correctly via gap-protect fallback β€” and has anchor intent 2630 (BTC<$65,600, ~1.27% cushion vs BTC $66,444 at last summary) been touched, filled, or is it st", "index-maker": "Any delta whatsoever from the 57th null cycle β€” armed, pidAlive, script, tokens, deals β€” or is this the 58th consecutive zero across all fields?", "index-taker": "Any delta from the 57th null cycle across any field β€” and does 0x57F8…B0ff sNVDA call remain a confirmed non-qualifying intent (Option/Swap template, not IndexBasket)?", "lp-maker-matheus": "Is wakes_failing still true with 'launch-wake exited 1' (broken since w227/18:05Z, 139+ min) β€” with 12 resting intents still being taken but no refresh possible, which intents are nearest expiry and what is the current PnL vs the -$28.37 pr", "mimic-ljuba": "With nextFallbackMin=null and last_wake 66 min ago, is mimic-ljuba stuck without a scheduled fallback β€” has sNVDA maker intent #2732 (posted w113/17:57Z) been filled or is it still resting, and should a fallback be wired?", "momentum-nikita": "Intent #2653 (20 USDCβ†’ETH, implied ~$1,830) has been open 267+ min β€” what is its remaining TTL, and has the 60s poll watcher fired any intermediate check or is it purely waiting for the fallback at ~22:36Z (~222 min out)?", "option-taker-matheus": "Is the 9h drought still ongoing (8 consecutive no-action wakes through w39/17:22Z) β€” has any new audited Option intent appeared since then, and is the hash mismatch on 0x57F8…B0ff the only blocking factor or are there additional skips?", "option-writer-matheus": "Have ENGINE 2 intents #2716 (sNVDA sell, 0.03464 sMSFTβ†’7.34 USDC) and #2718 (sMSFT buy, 17.49 USDCβ†’0.04357 sMSFT) been filled since w37 (17:53Z) β€” and has any ENGINE 1 option-writing cycle fired, or is the agent resting on its 60-min fallba", "polymarket-ljuba": "Is deal #190 (BTC>$64,900, expiry 10:37Z Jun16) still tracking ITM (was +$1,364 cushion at last summary with BTC ~$66,264) β€” and with 490 min since last wake, has any new mispriced Binary/Option appeared on the book that the watcher's deal-", "rebalancer-lior": "Is rebalancer-lior a confirmed 3rd instance of the 'launch-wake exited 1' platform regression (prior_summary truncated at 'wakes_failing=t') β€” and is open intent #2719 (BTC DCA, 1.381 USDC, 8h TTL posted ~18:00Z, expiry ~01:56Z Jun16) still", "stacker-massimo": "Has the stale-state.json race condition (bug 2, w82) recurred in the current cycle β€” is the open bid (replacement post-2662) still live, and with LP-Maker broken and unable to refresh its sNVDA asks, is stacker-massimo's taker-first path no", "swing-nikita": "Has swing-nikita posted any new intents since deals 200+202 (sNVDA fills at +1.9% above trailing) β€” what is current sNVDA inventory, and is the zero crypto inventory still structurally blocking all BTC/ETH/SSV sell-fades regardless of dislo", "vulture-andrew": "Are the 6 open baits (posted w221 ~15:16Z, ~1h TTL each) still live in the current book or have some expired/been taken β€” and has any root-cause investigation into the recurring PID death (8+ consecutive cycles, pidAlive=false) been attempt" }, "ctas": [ { "scope": "core", "text": "Diagnose and fix 'launch-wake exited 1' binary regression β€” confirmed on arb-hunter-tom (post-w358/~18:00Z) and lp-maker-matheus (since w227/18:05Z, 139+ min), likely a 3rd on rebalancer-lior; this is" }, { "scope": "agent", "text": "Diagnose vulture-andrew recurring PID death β€” 8+ consecutive cycles, undiagnosed, pidAlive=false every cycle while armed fallback compensates; identify and fix the crash trigger before gap-protect fai" }, { "scope": "fleet", "text": "Make explicit decommission-or-deploy decision for index-maker and index-taker β€” 58 consecutive null cycles, $0 burn, 0 wakes, never initialized" }, { "scope": "core", "text": "Fix option template hash mismatch blocking option-taker-matheus β€” 8 consecutive no-action wakes (w32–w39, ~9h drought) because 0x57F8…B0ff sNVDA call hash doesn't match expected 0xb3d66f4b; agent is f" }, { "scope": "agent", "text": "Wire a fallback timer for mimic-ljuba β€” nextFallbackMin=null means no scheduled wake after w113 (17:57Z, 66 min ago); agent will miss new Binary/equity opportunities until the next event trigger fires" } ], "at": "2026-06-15T19:06:15.459Z", "model": "claude-sonnet-4-6" } }